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2026 Kentucky Derby predictions, horses, odds, date, post positions: Surprising picks via horse racing expert
TL;DR
The 2026 Kentucky Derby takes place on May 2 at 6:57 p.m. ET, featuring trainer Chad Brown's Emerging Market at 15-1 odds. Favorites include Further Ado and Commandment, both at 6-1 odds.
Key points
- 2026 Kentucky Derby is on May 2 at 6:57 p.m. ET
- Chad Brown's horse is Emerging Market at 15-1 odds
- Favorites include Further Ado and Commandment at 6-1 odds
- Brown is 0-for-9 in previous Kentucky Derby attempts
- Last horse with two career starts to win was Leonatus in 1883
Mentioned in this story
Chad BrownChurchill Downs
Kentucky Derby 2026
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Trainer Chad Brown has another shot at breaking his drought Saturday in the 152nd running of the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs. The five-time Eclipse Award winner and two-time Preakness champion is 0-for-9 in the Kentucky Derby, and winning will be tough. Brown won the Preakness with Cloud Computing in 2017 and Early Voting in 2022, and both had qualified for the Kentucky Derby but skipped it. Now, after top contender Paladin was shut down and with Iron Honor skipping the race, Brown's only chance is Emerging Market, a horse that has raced twice and comes in at 15-1 odds. A horse entering the Run for the Roses after two career starts hasn't won the race since Leonatus in 1883, but Brown is confident in his unbeaten colt for the 2026 Kentucky Derby.
Post time is 6:57 p.m. ET on May 2 in Louisville, Ky. The morning-line Kentucky Derby 2026 odds list Further Ado (6-1), Commandment (6-1), Chief Wallabee (8-1) and The Puma (10-1) as the 2026 Kentucky Derby favorites. Before making any 2026 Kentucky Derby picks, you'll want to see what racing reporter and analyst Michelle Yu has to say before making any 2026 Kentucky Derby bets.
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In a wide-open Kentucky Derby in 2021, Yu gave out Medina Spirit, who crossed the finish line first, as the winner at 12-1. In Pool 5 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager three years ago, she suggested a play on All Other 3-Year-Olds, which cashed at a whopping 18-1 when Rich Strike won.
She started off 2025 by correctly going all-in on Citizen Bull to win the Robert B. Lewis Stakes, and she also predicted Forever Young's win in the Saudi Cup, Journalism's win in the San Felipe Stakes, Sandman's win in the Arkansas Derby and Mindframe's win in the Churchill Downs Stakes. She also hit the exacta in the Kentucky Derby. In August she hit the Fierceness-Journalism exacta in the Pacific Classic, and in March 2026 she nailed the Renegade-Silent Tactic-Taptastic trifecta in the Arkansas Derby. Anyone who has followed her on those picks on betting sites like , and could be up huge.
Q&A
What are the odds for the 2026 Kentucky Derby favorites?
The favorites for the 2026 Kentucky Derby are Further Ado and Commandment, both listed at 6-1 odds.
Who is Chad Brown's horse in the 2026 Kentucky Derby?
Chad Brown's horse in the 2026 Kentucky Derby is Emerging Market, which has 15-1 odds.
When does the 2026 Kentucky Derby start?
The 2026 Kentucky Derby is scheduled to start at 6:57 p.m. ET on May 2.
How many times has Chad Brown attempted to win the Kentucky Derby?
Chad Brown has attempted to win the Kentucky Derby nine times without success.