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2026 Kentucky Derby predictions, horses, odds, date: Surprising picks from top horse racing expert
TL;DR
The 2026 Kentucky Derby is set for May 2 at 6:57 p.m. ET, featuring favorites like Renegade (4-1) and longshots from trainer Bob Baffert. Bettors are weighing options between top contenders and potential upsets.
Key points
- 2026 Kentucky Derby on May 2 at 6:57 p.m. ET
- Renegade is the favorite at 4-1 odds
- Bob Baffert has two horses in the race
- Longshots include Potente at 20-1 and Litmus Test at 30-1
- Bettors should weigh options between favorites and longshots
Mentioned in this story
Bob Baffert
RenegadeFurther AdoCommandmentChief Wallabee
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The last two Triple Crown winners were both trained by Bob Baffert, and the horse racing staple has two horses in the field at the 152nd running of the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Ky. Post time for the 2026 Kentucky Derby is on Saturday, May 2, at 6:57 p.m. ET, and Baffert will look for Potente (20-1) and Litmus Test (30-1) to overcome the odds and shock the field in the Run for the Roses. The favorite for the Kentucky Derby 2026 in the latest 2026 Kentucky Derby odds is Renegade (4-1), winner of the Arkansas Derby. He's followed by Further Ado (6-1), Commandment (6-1), Chief Wallabee (8-1) and The Puma (10-1).
Should bettors be looking at one of the favorites when making their wagers on the Kentucky Derby 2026 at top horse racing betting apps, or are they be better off backing longshots who will be operating under a historically successful trainer like Baffert for a higher payout? Before making any 2026 Kentucky Derby picks, you'll want to see what racing reporter and analyst Michelle Yu has to say before making any 2026 Kentucky Derby bets.
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In a wide-open Kentucky Derby in 2021, Yu gave out Medina Spirit, who crossed the finish line first, as the winner at 12-1. In Pool 5 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager three years ago, she suggested a play on All Other 3-Year-Olds, which cashed at a whopping 18-1 when Rich Strike won.
She started off 2025 by correctly going all-in on Citizen Bull to win the Robert B. Lewis Stakes, and she also predicted Forever Young's win in the Saudi Cup, Journalism's win in the San Felipe Stakes, Sandman's win in the Arkansas Derby and Mindframe's win in the Churchill Downs Stakes. She also hit the exacta in the Kentucky Derby. In August she hit the Fierceness-Journalism exacta in the Pacific Classic, and in March 2026 she nailed the Renegade-Silent Tactic-Taptastic trifecta in the Arkansas Derby. Anyone who has followed her on those picks on betting sites like , and could be up huge.
Q&A
What are the latest odds for the 2026 Kentucky Derby?
The latest odds for the 2026 Kentucky Derby include Renegade at 4-1, Further Ado and Commandment both at 6-1, Chief Wallabee at 8-1, and The Puma at 10-1.
Who are the top trainers for the 2026 Kentucky Derby?
Bob Baffert is a notable trainer with two horses in the race, Potente at 20-1 and Litmus Test at 30-1.
When is the 2026 Kentucky Derby scheduled to start?
The 2026 Kentucky Derby is scheduled to start on May 2 at 6:57 p.m. ET.
Should I bet on favorites or longshots for the Kentucky Derby?
Bettors are advised to consider both favorites and longshots, especially those trained by historically successful trainers like Bob Baffert for potentially higher payouts.
