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2026 Kentucky Derby predictions, horses, odds, post positions, date: Surprising picks via horse racing expert
TL;DR
The 152nd Kentucky Derby will take place on May 2 at Churchill Downs, with post time at 6:57 p.m. ET. Renegade is the favorite at 4-1, followed by Commandment and Further Ado at 6-1.
Key points
- 152nd Kentucky Derby on May 2, 2026
- Post time at 6:57 p.m. ET
- Renegade is the betting favorite at 4-1
- Other contenders include Commandment and Further Ado at 6-1
- Event takes place at Churchill Downs, Louisville, KY
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Churchill Downs
Kentucky Derby
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The chase for the Triple Crown begins on Saturday, May 2 with the 152nd running of the Kentucky Derby from Churchill Downs in Louisville, Ky. Post time is set for 6:57 p.m. ET. Renegade is the favorite at 4-1, but Commandment (6-1), Further Ado (6-1) and Chief Wallabee (8-1) are not far behind in the latest Kentucky Derby 2026 odds.
Despite Renegade drawing the inside rail with Post 1, the horse is still considered a slight betting favorite. Other 2026 Kentucky Derby contenders include The Puma (10-1), So Happy (15-1) and Emerging Market (15-1). Before making any 2026 Kentucky Derby picks, you'll want to see what racing reporter and analyst Michelle Yu has to say before making any 2026 Kentucky Derby bets.
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In a wide-open Kentucky Derby in 2021, Yu gave out Medina Spirit, who crossed the finish line first, as the winner at 12-1. In Pool 5 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager three years ago, she suggested a play on All Other 3-Year-Olds, which cashed at a whopping 18-1 when Rich Strike won.
She started off 2025 by correctly going all-in on Citizen Bull to win the Robert B. Lewis Stakes, and she also predicted Forever Young's win in the Saudi Cup, Journalism's win in the San Felipe Stakes, Sandman's win in the Arkansas Derby and Mindframe's win in the Churchill Downs Stakes. She also hit the exacta in the Kentucky Derby. In August she hit the Fierceness-Journalism exacta in the Pacific Classic, and in March 2026 she nailed the Renegade-Silent Tactic-Taptastic trifecta in the Arkansas Derby. Anyone who has followed her on those picks on betting sites like , and could be up huge.
Q&A
What are the odds for the 2026 Kentucky Derby favorites?
Renegade is the favorite at 4-1, with Commandment and Further Ado both at 6-1.
When is the 2026 Kentucky Derby scheduled?
The 2026 Kentucky Derby is scheduled for May 2, with post time at 6:57 p.m. ET.
Where is the Kentucky Derby being held in 2026?
The 2026 Kentucky Derby will be held at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky.
Who are the top contenders for the 2026 Kentucky Derby?
Top contenders include Renegade, Commandment, Further Ado, and Chief Wallabee.