2026 Kentucky Derby predictions, horses, odds, post time: Surprising picks by proven horse racing expert

Now, with the 2026 Kentucky Derby post positions set and odds on the board, Yu is sharing her 2026 Kentucky Derby betting picks and 2026 Kentucky Derby predictions over at SportsLine. You can head to SportsLine now to see them.

Top 2026 Kentucky Derby predictions

One surprise: Yu is fading Commandment, despite his status as one of the favorites at 6-1. Even though Commandment won the Florida Derby, his finish at the race was concerning. "The Florida Derby winner has been on a tear lately, racking up four straight wins for trainer Brad Cox ... I don't like that his win margins have diminished as the races have gotten longer," Yu says. "He was very game in his Florida Derby score though." The Kentucky Derby is longer than the Florida Derby, so Commandment's potential fade late will be more problematic.

Struggling to close is certainly an issue if the Derby field is tight but Commandment also has a jockey that has failed to achieve any sort of success in the Kentucky Derby with Luis Saez. Saez has won two of the last four Kentucky Oaks races heading into 2026 but has not finished first or second in 12 Derby starts. He's unlikely to get the best out of Commandment. See which other 2026 Kentucky Derby horses to avoid at SportsLine.

Another curveball: Yu is high on Chief Wallabee at 8-1. The Bill Mott-trained colt hasn't won since breaking his maiden in January of this year, but he's been right there in the Fountain of Youth Stakes and the Florida Derby, finishing a close second and third, respectively, in those races.

"The Bill Mott bandwagon has been strong with this lightly raced son of Constitution, and he has become the wiseguy horse," Yu told SportsLine. "An excellent drill over the strip has bettors foaming as he adds blinkers, and of course his connections can get it done." See which other horses to back at SportsLine, and you can sign up for FanDuel Racing for the Kentucky Derby here to get $25 in bonuses with a $5 wager:

How to make 2026 Kentucky Derby picks

Moreover, Yu's top pick is a horse who is "screaming for more ground." She's also is high on a double-digit longshot who "drew perfectly." She's sharing which 2026 Kentucky Derby horses to back at SportsLine.

So who wins the 2026 Kentucky Derby? What double-digit longshot is a must-back, and how has Yu constructed her wagers? Visit SportsLine to see Yu's picks for the Kentucky Derby, all from the Santa Anita-based racing insider who has a long history of success in the Kentucky Derby, and find out.

2026 Kentucky Derby odds, post positions