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The Buffalo Bills are focusing on wide receivers and defensive players for the 2026 NFL Draft, with a notable spike in visits to wide receiver prospects. The data set for this year is smaller, making predictions more challenging.
I believe pretty darn well. In 2024 I finally did it. I correctly picked the Billsâ first selection when I said the Analytics Method pointed toward Keon Coleman. Thatâs arguably my finest hour, but letâs take a look at last yearâs guesses, found . For the short version, I predicted that would have been the target had his draft stock not plummeted from pre-draft assault allegations. Having to pivot away from Bond, I noted some difficulty in sifting through the data but predicted cornerback as the first pick. The Bills picked Maxwell Hairston, meaning I had the position right. For the record, Amos was still on the board so I donât have that as an out. I also predicted a defense-heavy draft with more specific predictions toward a second-round defensive tackle pick that I felt Brandon Beane might trade up for. I also predicted a linebacker to be picked, with or Pooh Paul being the likely candidates. I also felt Buffalo would pick Bond in Round 3. I didnât get the names right, and the signed Bonds as an undrafted free agent, but I donât think I did too badly. The Bills did in fact trade up in Round 2 to select a defensive tackle (). was next, with EDGE being as close as they got to linebacker. The Billsâ first five picks went to defense, with six of their nine total selections being defense.
The Buffalo Bills are prioritizing wide receivers and defensive players, with a significant focus on wide receivers.
The Bills met with 42 players for the 2026 NFL Draft, which is the smallest data set ever recorded for their draft visits.
Three players from Georgia and seven other schools had two players each meet with the Buffalo Bills.
The predictions included a focus on defense, with the Bills selecting Maxwell Hairston and trading up for a defensive tackle.
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I spent more time tooting my own horn above, because the 2026 data is about as not fun as it gets for someone like me. With only 42 players I could find visit information for, itâs the smallest data set Iâve ever had to work from. Not by a ton mind you (weâve had numbers in the 40s a couple times before). Itâs still not great.
Exacerbating that, thereâs not a ton to go from when looking at schools. Usually this can indicate interest toward specific player as they may want to canvas teammates or opponents of a coveted player.
This year, the closest thing to a spike is three players from Georgia having visits with the Bills. Seven other schools had two players meet with Buffalo. Realistically, the schools in isolation reveal *pretty* much nothing with this yearâs data. So letâs move on to position data.
To stay faithful to the model, I have to pick wide receiver, right? That said, tiebreakers are going to be tough with no players meeting with Buffalo more than twice. Making it even harder, only two receivers met with Buffalo twice. K.C. Concepcion out of Texas A&M, and Malik Benson, from Oregon. The premise of this exercise is that time and limited resources like top 30 visits are valuable and an indicator of interest. I bring this up, because Iâve toyed with the idea of a âweightedâ visit tracker for years. Something like local visits counting as 0.25 visits and Top 30 visits counting as 2.0 visits or something similar like that. The middle type of visits make it tough though. Is a virtual visit worth more or less than a local? Is a combine visit our base of 1.0? Where do private workouts and pro days fit in? Anyway⊠I didnât weight the visits this year but Benson did not have a top 30 visit. While he did meet with the Bills twice, it was a pro day and a private workout. Is that more or less significant than Chris Bell out of Lousville? Bell is the only other receiver to have a top 30 visit. I swear that I donât look up draft projections before I do these, but I do have to take a peek in order to make sure the analytics arenât haywire. Hereâs a good example of that to be fair. I question the data a bit on Malik Benson and pundits have him as a possibility of a late round, but not shocking to go undrafted. Meanwhile, the other two players the data flags; Concepcion and Bell, are both being projected as late first/early second round picks. Right where Buffalo is picking. Cutting to the chase, while I donât love the data set this year there is a decently good fit with K.C. Concepcion being a wide receiver (10 players met with for 12 visits), meeting with Buffalo twice (tied for most), and being one of only two players at the position having a top 30 visit with Buffalo. SoâŠ
K.C. Concepcion is the analytics-based pick for this year. Below is some extra picks/thoughts I have for this year, some of which sounds like me hedging my bets. Make no mistake, Concepcion is locked in as my official pick and the thoughts below that might go against that should be considered less âgreat job Skareâ if they happen than the Concepcion pick.