Antonio Williams: Fantasy Football Model Comps and NFL Draft Fit

Dec 21, 2024; Austin, Texas, USA; Clemson Tigers wide receiver Antonio Williams (0) in action during the game between the Texas Longhorns and the Clemson Tigers in the CFP National Playoff First Round at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images

Film Profile | Analytical Profile

Prospect Information

College: Clemson
Height/Weight: 5'11"/187
Hands: 9 1/4"
Age: 22 (at the time of the 2026 season opener)

Important NFL Combine/Pro Day Numbers

40-Yard Dash: 4.41
Vertical Jump: 39.5"
Broad Jump: 10'4"
20-Yard Shuttle: N/A
3-Cone: 7.0

Model Overview

My Wide Receiver Rookie Model evaluates receiver prospects through the traits that historically translate best to fantasy production. The model weighs target earning, market-share production, route efficiency, role deployment, ball skills, athletic translation, age, breakout timing, teammate competition, team context and historical outcome trends.

Williams stands out as a fantasy-friendly slot-driven receiver with strong athletic support, quality route-level production and a profile built around earning volume underneath and in the intermediate areas. He is not a classic boundary alpha, but there is real utility in the type of role he projects to fill.

The model views Williams as an inside-oriented movement receiver whose fantasy appeal comes from separation-friendly usage, target earning and the ability to create value after the catch.

Model Derived Athletic Scores

BMI: 25.4
Speed Score: 98.9
Burst Score: 49.8
Agility Score: 0.33
Composite Athleticism Score: 0.23
Historical Athleticism Percentile: 80th

Understanding the Athleticism Score

The Composite Athleticism Score blends size-adjusted speed, burst, agility and model-derived translation when full testing is unavailable. The percentile compares Williams to historical wide receiver prospects in the database.

Williams projects as an above-average athlete in this model. He does not win through size, but the testing and movement profile support a receiver who can separate, work in space and create efficient touches from a slot-heavy role.

Receiving Efficiency Metrics

Yards per Route Run: 2.19
Yards per Target: 8.51
Touchdowns per Target: 7.6%
First Downs per Route: 0.109
Targets per Route: 0.259

Williams' efficiency profile is solid across the board, and the most important number is the targets per route run. He consistently earned the ball, which is one of the more important projection signals for fantasy-friendly receivers who do much of their work from the slot.

Usage and Alignment

Average Depth of Target: 8.6
Catch Rate: 75.7%
Contested Catch Rate: 44.8%
Contested Target Rate: 19.5%
Drop Rate: 4.9%
Yards After Catch per Reception: 5.2
Slot Rate: 77.2%
Wide Rate: 22.0%

Williams' deployment was clearly slot-driven. He lived inside, worked short-to-intermediate areas and brought enough after-catch value to project as a receiver who can create fantasy points without relying on extreme depth of target.

Production Snapshot

2025
Games: 10.5
Targets: 74
Receptions: 56
Receiving Yards: 643
Receiving Touchdowns: 6
Routes Run: 297.5
Yards per Game: 59.1
Touchdowns per Game: 0.53

Target Share: 15.9%
Yard Share: 17.7%
TD Share: 20.7%
Dominator Rating: 19.2%
Yards per Team Pass Attempt: 1.28

Williams' 2025 production profile is more good than overwhelming, but the role and target-earning signals still matter. He was a meaningful part of Clemson's passing offense and did his work in a way that fits how fantasy-relevant slot receivers often translate.

Positive Indicators

Strong slot-driven target earning

Williams' route-level usage and targets per route run support a receiver who can earn volume from the inside.

Above-average athletic profile

The combine and model translation both support a receiver with enough movement ability to separate and create after the catch.

Fantasy-friendly role

His deployment gives him a path to PPR-friendly usage if an NFL team leans into his slot strengths.

Areas of Concern

Lower market-share ceiling than top names

Williams' production profile is solid, but it does not carry the same market-share dominance as the top receivers in the class.

Slot-heavy deployment

His projection is tied more to inside usage than to a versatile every-alignment alpha role.

Moderate fantasy ceiling

The profile is useful, but it likely needs the right offensive fit to reach a true starter-level fantasy outcome.

Historical Model Comps

Amon-Ra St. Brown
Tre Tucker
Luther Burden III
Rashee Rice
Emeka Egbuka

This comp cluster reflects slot or movement-based receivers whose fantasy value comes from target earning, route efficiency and the ability to create usable volume from fantasy-friendly alignments.

Historical Fantasy Tier Outcomes

WR1 (Top 12): 16.3%
WR2 (13—24): 3.7%
WR3 (25—36): 16.5%
WR4 (37—48): 3.4%
Outside WR4 / Bust: 60.1%

These outcomes are exclusive and sum to 100%. Williams' distribution points to a useful fantasy path if the landing spot supports his role, but it also shows a meaningful amount of volatility outside the top tier of the class.

Early Career Fantasy Outlook

Year 1: WR40—WR55
Year 2—3: WR24—WR40

Williams projects as an early complementary contributor with a chance to become a useful fantasy option if his NFL team gives him stable slot volume and lets his movement-based strengths show up.

Dynasty Translation

Williams profiles as a deeper dynasty target for managers who value slot-driven volume paths and movement-based receivers.

He brings good athletic support, solid target-earning traits and a role that can translate into PPR usability if the landing spot is right. That gives him a believable path to fantasy relevance even without a classic perimeter build.

The model sees Williams as a receiver who can become a useful fantasy piece if his NFL team leans into his slot role and allows his separation and after-catch ability to generate consistent opportunity.

This article originally appeared on The Huddle: Antonio Williams: Fantasy Football Model Comps and NFL Draft Fit