Arsenal vs. Atletico Madrid odds, prediction: Expert's best bets for Champions League match

Here are Eimer's best bets and analysis for Arsenal vs. Atletico Madrid on Tuesday, May 5.

Arsenal vs. Atletico Madrid best bets

• Arsenal Over 1.5 Team Total -125 (1 unit)
• Bukayo Saka to Score or Assist +110 (1 unit)****

It's too late for Atletico Madrid

The first leg saw both teams level after a cagey and somewhat bizarre 1-1 draw. Both teams scored on penalty kicks, and both the penalties called and reversed came under scrutiny from fans and analysts alike. The use of VAR was heavily criticized, and that could lead to the refs being wary of making some calls in this second leg.

With that being said, Atletico Madrid missed their chance to make something big happen in the first leg. Atleti should have left the Metropolitano with an aggregate lead but didn't. They had 16 shots and six corners and had an xG of over 2.2.

They desperately needed to capitalize at home, because they know how tough the second leg at Emirates is going to be. Atletico missed too many big chances to go ahead, and I don't believe their away form will be enough to stop Arsenal from advancing, especially after the Gunners found some confidence over the weekend domestically.

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Arsenal didn't rest, and that might be a good thing

While Atletico were able to rest their players in their weekend La Liga fixture to prep for this game, Arsenal didn't have the same chance, as they are still in a title race. Arsenal put out their best starting XI against Fulham over the weekend, and while many think that extra play might hurt them, I think it might actually help.

The weekend fixture against Fulham allowed Bukayo Saka to get in some much-needed playing time following his return from injury, and he scored and assisted in the first half.

Also, striker Victor Gyokeres had a brace in the match, giving the Swedish star some needed confidence going into this game. While the team with shorter rest normally has an advantage, I think the weekend fixture will help Arsenal's confidence greatly, as they have a chance to qualify for the UCL final.

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