Blue Jays vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

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No pitcher in baseball has more strikeouts over the last five years than Toronto Blue Jays right-hander Dylan Cease, and I expect him to continue to rack up the Ks in tonight’s matchup against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Read on to see why he’ll be the feature player in my Blue Jays vs. Brewers predictions and free MLB picks for Wednesday, April 15.

Blue Jays vs Brewers predictions

Blue Jays vs Brewers best bet: Dylan Cease Over 6.5 strikeouts (-155)

The Toronto Blue Jays' pitching staff largely baffled the Milwaukee Brewers in the series opener with 12 strikeouts, and I expect that trend to continue with Dylan Cease on the mound tonight.

Cease has faced the Brewers four times in his career, and went Over today’s 6.5 strikeout total in each outing, averaging eight K’s per contest.

The slider has been his most effective putaway pitch this season, garnering 10 strikeouts on a 58% whiff rate and a .053 opponent batting average.

Milwaukee has the ninth-highest strikeout rating against the slider with a 33% K-rate.

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Cease's 38.8% strikeout rate is second among MLB starters to throw at least 10 innings this season.

Blue Jays vs Brewers same-game parlay (SGP)

The Blue Jays' bats seem to be coming around, sporting a .294 average over their last five games, averaging 10.4 hits per game. So I’ll continue to bet on the bats and take Over 4.5 hits against Brewers’ starter Chad Patrick.

Additionally, Patrick’s main pitch is his cutter, a pitch in which the Jays own a .389 batting average against this season.

I’m also going to keep the Daulton Varsho train rolling and take Over 0.5 hits for the outfielder. He’s recorded a hit in five straight, totaling nine base knocks in that stretch. It’s also a great matchup for him, as Varsho posted a .500 average against the cutter last season.

Blue Jays vs Brewers SGP

• Dylan Cease Over 6.5 strikeouts
• Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 hits
• Chad Patrick Over 4.5 hits allowed

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Blue Jays vs Brewers home run pick: Daulton Varsho (+335)

I’ll continue to bet on Varsho today, who looks to be turning things around at the plate with five extra-base hits in his last five games.

Three of those have been of the home run variety, and this is a plus-matchup for him to hit one out of the park again tonight. Not only did Varsho have a .500 average against the cutter last season, but his xSLG was also .752 with a 35% hard-hit rate.

Additionally, Patrick is a flyball pitcher who ranks in the 25th percentile in hard-hit rate. Varsho’s raw power should shine through tonight.

2026 Transparency record

• Best bets: 5-10, -2.25 units
• SGPs: 2-13, -5.5 units
• HR picks: 3-12, +0.4 units

Blue Jays vs Brewers odds

• Moneyline: Toronto -130 | Milwaukee +110
• Run line: Toronto -1.5 (+135) | Milwaukee +1.5 (-155)
• Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-110) | Under 7.5 (-110)

Blue Jays vs Brewers trend

The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+5.75 Units / 35% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Brewers.

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