Can CSK qualify for top 4? R Ashwin makes bold IPL 2026 playoff prediction

Ravichandran Ashwin has shared his IPL 2026 playoff predictions and laid out the difficult qualification path facing Chennai Super Kings after another dramatic shift in the points table following Kolkata Knight Riders’ emphatic win over Delhi Capitals.

KKR kept their playoff hopes alive with a dominant victory while chasing 143. Despite early wickets, Finn Allen and Cameron Green steadied the innings brilliantly, with Allen smashing his maiden IPL century to guide Kolkata to a comfortable win. The result tightened an already congested playoff race.

At the top of the table, Sunrisers Hyderabad continue to lead with 14 points from 11 matches, while Punjab Kings sit second with 13 points from 10 games. Royal Challengers Bengaluru and Rajasthan Royals occupy the third and fourth spots respectively with 12 points each. Gujarat Titans also remain firmly in contention with 12 points, though their negative net run rate could become a major concern later in the tournament. Meanwhile, Chennai Super Kings sit sixth with 10 points from 10 matches and still have work to do to stay alive in the race.

Speaking about the playoff battle in his YT channel Ash Ki Baat, Ashwin predicted that SRH and RCB are almost certain to qualify, while the remaining two spots will likely be contested between Gujarat Titans, Rajasthan Royals and Punjab Kings.

“SRH and RCB are confirmed. Between GT, RR and PBKS, the other two playoff spots will be decided,” Ashwin said.

The veteran spinner also explained why CSK cannot afford any slip-ups in their remaining fixtures.

“For CSK to qualify, they must win all four remaining matches. They can’t leave it to chance. Even with 16 points, qualification will depend on RR losing three out of four, PBKS dropping points and CSK maintaining a strong NRR,” he added.

Ashwin stressed the importance of net run rate and highlighted Chennai’s upcoming matches against Lucknow Super Giants as potential turning points in their season.

“That’s where net run rate becomes important. I feel if Chennai win both matches against LSG, they won’t just qualify, they could go all the way, just like in 2010. Every match from here is a blockbuster.”