Champions League almost sewn up but race for Europe tighter than ever
TL;DR
The Champions League qualification race is nearly decided, with Liverpool, Aston Villa, and Manchester United securing crucial wins. However, the competition for Europa League spots remains highly contested, particularly between Chelsea and other teams below them.
Key points
- Champions League qualification race is nearly settled
- Liverpool, Aston Villa, and Manchester United secured crucial wins
- Chelsea is six points behind Liverpool in the standings
- The race for Europa League spots remains competitive
- Aston Villa is currently in fourth place
Aston Villa, in fourth, are 10 points clear of Chelsea in sixth [Getty Images]
The race for Champions League qualification appears to be settled after two dramatic second-half injury-time winners on Sunday.
Liverpool scored in the 100th minute and Aston Villa netted in the 93rd. Add in Manchester United's win on Saturday and those three teams look set join Arsenal and Manchester City in the top five come the end of the season.
But while there might be a seven-point gap separating Liverpool in fifth and Chelsea in sixth, scrolling further down the table, the Europa League and Europa Conference League spots are anyone's guess.
Just three points separate the sixth and 12th places - the smallest margin ever on this date in the Premier League's 34-season history.
Six points separate sixth and 14th.
Only once before in Premier League history has the gap between sixth and 14th been tighter on this date (19 April) and that was in the very first season of the competition in 1992-93 (five points).
Back then only the top three got into the Europe, whereas this year 10 English clubs could potentially end up playing continental football next term.
So, with even ninth place possibly good enough for a European tour next campaign, BBC Sport takes a look at the state of play.
Man Utd, Villa and Liverpool set for Champions League?
This season the Premier League's top five all qualify for the Champions League.
Title-chasers Arsenal and Manchester City are both already assured of a top-five finish.
Manchester United are third, level on 58 points with Aston Villa who beat Sunderland 4-3 in a thrilling encounter on Sunday.
United and Villa are 10 points clear of sixth-placed Chelsea with only 15 more to play for. They both need just six more points to qualify for Europe's premier competition.
In fifth are Liverpool, who left it late to beat rivals Everton 2-1. They are seven points clear of Chelsea.
Which Premier League places will lead to Europe?
Whoever finishes sixth in the Premier League gets a Europa League spot and seventh will receive a Europa Conference League berth.
The winner of the FA Cup also qualifies for the Europa League.
But if the FA Cup is won by a team already in the Champions League or Europa League by league position, everything shifts down a place.
So sixth and seventh could be good enough for the Europa League and eighth for the Europa Conference League.
Chelsea, Manchester City, Leeds and Championship side Southampton make up this year's FA Cup semi-finals.
English clubs winning any of the three European competitions this season could also add extra spots - with potentiality ninth earning a spot in the Europa Conference League.
Sixth-placed Chelsea are on a torrid run of form having lost five of their past six matches. They have 48 points, the same as Brentford and Bournemouth.
Below them are Brighton and Everton, in ninth and 10th respectively, on 47 points. Sunderland are 11th with 46 points and Fulham 12th with 45.
Crystal Palace and Newcastle, in 13th and 14th with 42 points, may even challenge for a top-eight finish.
And with Leeds in 15th with 39 points still not mathematically safe from the drop zone, there's an argument that at this stage of the season every single team still has something to play for.
Q&A
Which teams are likely to qualify for the Champions League this season?
Liverpool, Aston Villa, and Manchester United are likely to qualify for the Champions League, joining Arsenal and Manchester City.
What was significant about the recent matches for Liverpool and Aston Villa?
Liverpool scored a dramatic winner in the 100th minute, while Aston Villa netted a goal in the 93rd minute, both securing vital victories.
How far behind is Chelsea in the race for Champions League qualification?
Chelsea is currently six points behind Liverpool, who is in fifth place, creating a seven-point gap.
What is the current situation for Europa League qualification?
The race for Europa League and Europa Conference League spots is highly competitive, with several teams vying for positions below the Champions League spots.
