Champions League almost sewn up but race for Europe tighter than ever

TL;DR
The Champions League qualification seems nearly decided after Liverpool, Aston Villa, and Manchester United secured crucial wins. However, the race for Europa League spots remains extremely tight, with only three points separating sixth to twelfth place in the Premier League.
Key points
- Champions League qualification appears settled.
- Liverpool, Aston Villa, and Manchester United secured crucial wins.
- Three points separate sixth to twelfth place in the Premier League.
- This is the smallest margin ever on this date in Premier League history.
- Six points separate sixth and fourteenth places.
The race for Champions League qualification appears to be settled after two dramatic second-half injury-time winners on Sunday.
Liverpool scored in the 100th minute and Aston Villa netted in the 93rd. Add in Manchester United's win on Saturday and those three teams look set join Arsenal and Manchester City in the top five come the end of the season.
But while there might be a seven-point gap separating Liverpool in fifth and Chelsea in sixth, scrolling further down the table, the Europa League and Europa Conference League spots are anyone's guess.
Just three points separate the sixth and 12th places - the smallest margin ever on this date in the Premier League's 34-season history.
Six points separate sixth and 14th.
Only once before in Premier League history has the gap between sixth and 14th been tighter on this date (19 April) and that was in the very first season of the competition in 1992-93 (five points).
Back then only the top three got into the Europe, whereas this year 10 English clubs could potentially end up playing continental football next term.
So, with even ninth place possibly good enough for a European tour next campaign, BBC Sport takes a look at the state of play.
Man Utd, Villa and Liverpool set for Champions League?
This season the Premier League's top five all qualify for the Champions League.
Title-chasers Arsenal and Manchester City are both already assured of a top-five finish.
Manchester United are third, level on 58 points with Aston Villa who beat Sunderland 4-3 in a thrilling encounter on Sunday.
United and Villa are 10 points clear of sixth-placed Chelsea with only 15 more to play for. They both need just six more points to qualify for Europe's premier competition.
In fifth are Liverpool, who left it late to beat rivals Everton 2-1. They are seven points clear of Chelsea.
Which Premier League places will lead to Europe?
Whoever finishes sixth in the Premier League gets a Europa League spot and seventh will receive a Europa Conference League berth.
The winner of the FA Cup also qualifies for the Europa League.
But if the FA Cup is won by a team already in the Champions League or Europa League by league position, everything shifts down a place.
So sixth and seventh could be good enough for the Europa League and eighth for the Europa Conference League.
Chelsea, Manchester City, Leeds and Championship side Southampton make up this year's FA Cup semi-finals.
English clubs winning any of the three European competitions this season could also add extra spots - with potentiality ninth earning a spot in the Europa Conference League.
Sixth-placed Chelsea are on a torrid run of form having lost five of their past six matches. They have 48 points, the same as Brentford and Bournemouth.
Below them are Brighton and Everton, in ninth and 10th respectively, on 47 points. Sunderland are 11th with 46 points and Fulham 12th with 45.
Crystal Palace and Newcastle, in 13th and 14th with 42 points, may even challenge for a top-eight finish.
And with Leeds in 15th with 39 points still not mathematically safe from the drop zone, there's an argument that at this stage of the season every single team still has something to play for.
Q&A
Which teams are likely to qualify for the Champions League this season?
Liverpool, Aston Villa, Manchester United, Arsenal, and Manchester City are the teams likely to qualify for the Champions League.
What is the current points gap between sixth and twelfth place in the Premier League?
There is only a three-point gap separating sixth and twelfth places, marking the smallest margin in Premier League history at this stage.
How many points separate sixth place from fourteenth place in the Premier League?
Six points separate the sixth place from the fourteenth place in the Premier League.
What were the key results that impacted the Champions League race?
Liverpool scored in the 100th minute, Aston Villa netted in the 93rd, and Manchester United won their match, significantly impacting the Champions League qualification race.
