Chat, are the San Francisco Giants cooked?

TL;DR

The San Francisco Giants have started the season 13-21, indicating a high likelihood of a poor overall performance. Historically, only 10.8% of teams with such a record have finished with a winning season.

Key points

Giants started the season 13-21.
Only 10.8% of teams with this record have winning seasons.
Historical examples include the 2016 Astros and 2013 Dodgers.
Giants need 84-86 wins for a potential Wild Card spot.

San Francisco GiantsHouston AstrosLos Angeles Dodgers

SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA - APRIL 25: Tony Vitello #23 of the San Francisco Giants during the national anthem during the game between the Miami Marlins and the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park on April 25, 2026 in San Francisco, California. (Photo by Andy Kuno/San Francisco Giants/Getty Images) | Getty Images Baseball history isn’t predictive so much as it’s instructive. Even if batters aren’t hitting at the same rate as decades before, we can still know that hitters who live in the .190-.220 range are probably not very good at that skill. Pitchers with a 5.00 ERA are not good pitchers. And the same can be said about wins and losses, especially the Giants’ few wins and many losses. If a team doesn’t win very many games, that team isn’t very good. And if a team loses a lot of games early on, the chances of them recovering to have at least a winning season — to say nothing of sneaking into the postseason — are slim. There’s history and then there’s just the game being the game and the Giants have demonstrated here in the early season that they are a bad team that’s probably going to be bad by season’s end. Now, you might protest with this simple fact: there are still 128 games to go! A lot of baseball left! Anything can happen! Sure, sure. But that adage is the religious devotion angle of fandom. It’s a prayer. The eye test and the win-loss record are actually meaningful in this case because the results have been extreme. But you don’t need to look at advanced metrics or underlying metrics or even triple slash lines. The win-loss record is comprehensive. In MLB history, 167 teams have started as season 13-21. Just 18 times (10.8%) has that team gone on to have a winning record. Five of those instances have come this century:

Q&A

What is the significance of the San Francisco Giants' 13-21 record?

The Giants' 13-21 record suggests they are unlikely to achieve a winning season, as historically only 10.8% of teams with this start have done so.

How many teams have started the MLB season 13-21 and succeeded?

In MLB history, only 18 out of 167 teams that started 13-21 have finished with a winning record.

What historical examples exist of teams turning around after a 13-21 start?

The 2016 Astros and 2013 Dodgers are among the few teams that started 13-21 and went on to have winning seasons.

What would the Giants need to achieve to make the postseason?

The Giants would likely need to win 84-86 games to secure a Wild Card spot, requiring a significant turnaround from their current performance.

Chat, are the San Francisco Giants cooked?

TL;DR

Key points

Q&A

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