​Chicago Bears 2026 Win Total: Will Caleb Williams Top 9.5 Wins Again?

History isn't on Chicago's side, but if this team is truly different from previous Bears teams of the past, they will find a way to shatter those old narratives on the path towards another year that features postseason football in January.

Most sportsbooks have the Bears' win total listed at 9.5.

With the schedule set and all the challenges presented, here is my record prediction for the Bears in 2026.

• WK 1: Sept. 13 @ Carolina Panthers 1 ET -- W
• WK 2: Sept. 20 vs. Minnesota Vikings 1 ET -- W
• WK 3: Sept. 28 vs. Philadelphia Eagles (MNF) 8:15 ET -- L
• WK 4: Oct. 4 vs. New York Jets 1 ET -- W
• WK 5: Oct. 11 @ Green Bay Packers 4:24 ET -- W
• WK 6: Oct. 18 @ Atlanta Falcons 1 ET -- W
• WK 7: Oct. 22 vs. New England Patriots (TNF) 8:15 ET -- W
• WK 8: Nov. 2 @ Seattle Seahawks (MNF) 8:15 ET -- L
• WK 9: Nov. 8 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (SNF) 8:20 ET -- W
• WK 10: Bye week
• WK 11: Nov. 22 vs. New Orleans Saints 1 ET -- W
• WK 12: Nov. 26 @ Detroit Lions (Thanskgiving) 12:30 ET -- W
• WK 13: Dec. 6 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars 1 ET -- L
• WK 14: Dec. 13 @ Miami Dolphins 1 ET -- W
• WK 15: Dec. 19 @ Buffalo Bills (Saturday) 8:20 ET -- L
• WK 16: Dec. 25 vs. Green Bay Packers (Christmas) 1 ET -- W
• WK 17: Jan. 3 vs. Detroit Lions 4:25 ET -- L
• WK 18: Jan. 10 @ Minnesota Vikings 1 ET -- W

RECORD: 12-5

A few observations from my 2026 Bears' record prediction. I have the Bears going 5-1 in the NFC North, improving from the team's 2-4 performance in the division last season. Johnson's team also avoid two consecutive losses all year. In 2025, the Bears started the season on a two-game losing streak and ended the year the same way.

With nine home games at Soldier Field, I'm predicting the Bears to lose three of those contests -- one more than last season.

Against teams that made the playoffs last season, Chicago finishes 4-4 in those games.

As we get closer to the regular season, it will be a fun exercise to revist the 2026 schedule to see if this prediction changes.

Let me know what you think of my record prediction in the comments, and make sure to share how you think the Bears will do this season.