Dubon flip-flops with Harris at bottom of lineup as Braves go for another series win

ATLANTA, GA - APRIL 14: Mauricio Dubón #14 of the Atlanta Braves hits a single in the third inning during the game against the Miami Marlins at Truist Park on April 14, 2026 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Jack Casey/Atlanta Braves/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Well, first these two teams took forever to get the lineups posted, and then I got snowed under by work, so now, I get to dump the Statcast graphic here for both lineups. Yay.

The “big” change for the Braves is flip-flopping Mauricio Dubon and Michael Harris II. This is the first time that’s happened this season against a right-hander, as to this point, all lineups against righties had Harris hitting either immediately ahead of Dubon, or a few spots up. Doing this creates more alternation in handedness, though the flip side is that Mike Yastrzemski has dropped behind Ozzie Albies as well, so this move largely just breaks up a chain of three straight lefties. Fun times.

The Marlins have put in a bit of a different lineup compared to their earlier efforts, with Deyvison De Los Santos starting at first and Heriberto Hernandez starting in left field. As a result, Otto Lopez moves up to third in Agustin Ramirez’ absence.

The batter-versus-pitcher stuff here is kinda fun, if ultimately meaningless. Every single guys in the Braves’ lineup has faced Chris Paddack, though only Yastrzemski and Smith have faced him enough to amass double-digit PAs. Yastrzemski has crushed him (.550 wOBA, .468 xwOBA); the combined line for this lineup is a .325 wOBA and .370 xwOBA in 76 PAs.

Elder has faced the Marlins a lot, but their cast of characters rotates a fair bit, so we’ve only got six of the nine guys in their lineup with direct major league experience against Elder — and no one has more than eight PAs. Collectively, it’s a .459 wOBA and .321 xwOBA in 26 PAs, with Hernandez and Xavier Edwards the two good xwOBAs among the six.