How Dallas performs against the consensus draft board in Round 1

TL;DR

As the 2026 NFL Draft approaches, analysts predict the Dallas Cowboys may move into the top ten to secure a top defensive prospect. Recent drafts have shown mixed results, with notable successes like CeeDee Lamb and Micah Parsons, but also some misses.

Key points

Dallas Cowboys may move into top ten for 2026 NFL Draft
Recent drafts show mixed results for Cowboys' first-round picks
CeeDee Lamb and Micah Parsons are notable successes
Consensus rankings indicate some picks exceeded expectations

Dallas Cowboys

GREEN BAY, WISCONSIN - APRIL 24: A general view of the video board on stage with the Dallas Cowboys 12th pick during the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft on April 24, 2025 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. (Photo by Perry Knotts/Getty Images) | Getty Images With just a few days before the 2026 NFL draft, the picture is coming clearer of the Dallas Cowboys draft plans if you trust the pundits. Now more than ever, analysts are projecting the Cowboys to move up into the top ten to land one of the better defensive prospects in the draft. But if they stick and pick, who could be an option? The first round has not been kind to the Cowboys in recent drafts. Tyler Booker was a nice breath of fresh air in 2025, proving to be a quality rookie starter in year one, but both Tyler Guyton and Mazi Smith struggled to make positive impacts in the first few years of their rookie deals in Dallas. Guyton still has hope, Smith is long gone. When reviewing the last few draft classes for the Cowboys, CeeDee Lamb and Tyler Smith stick out as home runs. While Smith was not considered a “must take” at the time, Lamb certainly was. Taking a look at an NFL Draft Consensus Board over the last few years, Lamb is one of the few that stand out. In 2025, Tyler Booker was ranked 31st on the consensus board but was taken with the 12th pick. So far the Cowboys look to be right on that one. In 2024, Tyler Guyton was ranked 30th on the consensus board and was taken at 29. In 2023, Mazi Smith was ranked 49th on the consensus board, the Cowboys selected him at pick number 26. In 2022, Tyler Smith was ranked 47th on the consensus board but was drafted 24th. In 2021, was ranked 11th on the consensus board and the Cowboys got him at 12. In 2020, CeeDee Lamb was ranked ninth on the consensus board and was picked at 17. The book is still out on Tyler Booker, but he and Tyler Smith look like the two major wins for the Cowboys versus the consensus. Tyler Guyton is an incomplete grade so far, but could go down as a miss by the Cowboys ***and*** the consensus. Mazi Smith was a cautionary tale about straying too far from the consensus and letting need take over. Both Micah Parsons and CeeDee Lamb were major hits, with Parsons about level with the consensus, and Lamb representing a sliding player the Cowboys had to grab. If the Cowboys want to get as close to sure-things as they can, they would be wise to not go against the consensus. While it feels like a forgone conclusion the Cowboys will be drafting defensive players with their two first-round picks, given the numerous needs on that side of the ball, they really need to hit on both picks. Do you think Dallas will stick with the consensus on their picks, or will they take a chance on some players if the big-time defender prospects are already gone?

Q&A

What are the Dallas Cowboys' draft plans for 2026?

Analysts suggest the Cowboys may move up into the top ten to secure a top defensive prospect.

How have the Cowboys performed in recent NFL drafts?

The Cowboys have had mixed results, with successes like CeeDee Lamb and Micah Parsons, but also struggles with players like Mazi Smith and Tyler Guyton.

Who were the Cowboys' first-round picks in the last few drafts?

Recent first-round picks include CeeDee Lamb (2020), Micah Parsons (2021), Tyler Smith (2022), Mazi Smith (2023), Tyler Guyton (2024), and Tyler Booker (2025).

What does the NFL Draft Consensus Board indicate about the Cowboys' picks?

The Consensus Board shows that while some picks like Tyler Booker and CeeDee Lamb exceeded expectations, others like Mazi Smith did not align with consensus rankings.