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The NFL will release the 2026 regular season schedule soon, revealing the Atlanta Falcons' opponents. While traditional metrics suggest they have an easy schedule, projections from oddsmakers indicate a tougher slate ahead.
The NFL will be releasing the 2026 regular season schedule later this week - and we'll finally get a look at what's on deck for the Atlanta Falcons this year.
One thing to watch out for is the prevalence of strength of schedule pieces for each team, which can be very misleading. The traditional way to calculate strength of schedule for a new season is based on the opponents' cumulative win percentage from the previous season.
If we go by that marker, then the Falcons would have one of the easiest schedules in the league this year - tied with the Indianapolis Colts at .465 for the fourth-easiest schedule overall.
However, that number is very much off the mark for how difficult Atlanta's slate of opponents will be. A much more accurate way to determine the SOS is based on projected win totals for the season from the oddsmakers in Vegas, which is what Warren Sharp uses for his strength of schedule calculations.
When we go by the projected win totals, the Falcons actually have one of the tougher schedules this year - ranking as the 20th most difficult in the NFL for the 2026 season.
As for specifics, we won't know when they'll play until Thursday evening, but we do know who their opponents are this year. Their slate includes home games against the Detroit Lions, Baltimore Ravens, San Francisco 49ers and the . They also have road games against the and .
The Falcons are projected to have one of the easiest schedules, tied for the fourth-easiest overall at a .465 win percentage based on last season's opponents.
Strength of schedule is traditionally calculated using opponents' cumulative win percentage from the previous season, but more accurate projections use expected win totals from oddsmakers.
Warren Sharp is known for using projected win totals from Vegas oddsmakers to calculate a more accurate strength of schedule for NFL teams.

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This article originally appeared on Falcons Wire: Atlanta Falcons' traditional strength of schedule is misleading