Jets have 55% chance to draft 6.5 sack edge No. 2 overall in 2026 NFL Draft

Q: What is the likelihood of the Jets drafting Arvell Reese in 2026?

The Jets have a 55% chance of drafting Arvell Reese with the No. 2 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft.

Q: Who are the top prospects for the Jets' No. 2 pick in the 2026 NFL Draft?

The top prospects for the Jets' No. 2 pick are Arvell Reese from Ohio State and David Bailey from Texas Tech.

Q: What are the sack statistics for Arvell Reese in college?

Arvell Reese recorded 6.5 sacks during his college career at Ohio State.

Q: What is David Bailey's chance of being drafted by the Jets in 2026?

David Bailey has a 40% chance of being selected by the Jets with the No. 2 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft.

Jets have 55% chance to draft 6.5 sack edge No. 2 overall in 2026 NFL Draft originally appeared on The Sporting News. Add The Sporting News as a Preferred Source by clicking here.

The New York Jets own the No. 2 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, and have a few different options they could go with at this spot.

However, with the draft date approaching, the Jets are seemingly down to two options with this top pick. Those two players have been widely discussed as Ohio State's Arvell Reese and Texas Tech's David Bailey.

Zack Rosenblatt for The Athletic revealed that one of those players had a 55% chance of being taken No. 2 overall, while the other was at just 40%. The edge with the higher chance of being the second overall pick is the 6.5 sack Ohio State edge in Reese.

Jets have 55% chance to take Arvell Reese No. 2 overall

"It is most likely down to two players if the Jets stick at No. 2," Rosenblatt writes. "Let's break it down by percentage: Who is going to be the Jets' pick if they stick at No. 2? 55 percent: Arvell Reese, LB, Ohio State. 40 percent: David Bailey, edge, Texas Tech."

Rosenblatt predicts that the Jets have a 55% chance of taking Reese with the No. 2 overall pick, while Bailey, the prototypical edge rusher, is at just 40%.

For Jets fans, seeing Reese and Bailey make up 95% of the possible scenarios with the No. 2 pick isn't a surprise. It would be a major surprise if someone else were taken.

Sonny Styles, Carnell Tate, or Caleb Downs all could, in theory, be the No. 2 pick. But, it would be a major surprise if any of them ended up as this No. 2 overall pick.

Jeremiyah Love isn't an option with Breece Hall, and this is far too early to even consider Ty Simpson out of Alabama.

More: Jets ideal pick at No. 2 overall is Arvell Reese out of Ohio State

Reese, the 6.5 sack linebacker who is trying to transition to an edge rusher in the NFL, is the most likely pick with this top selection in the 2026 NFL Draft.

What is interesting is that this isn't a 50% to 45% comparison; it's a difference of 15% in favor of Reese over Bailey. Rosenblatt believes Reese is the pick, despite recent buzz leaning towards the 14.5 sack Texas Tech edge rusher.

While Reese might be in the lead, there's still plenty of time left for things to change. Bailey might be the pick still, or Darren Mougey could pull a stunner and take someone else entirely.

But, Reese, ironically, has the edge over Bailey for the No. 2 pick and for good reason. The upside is sky-high with Reese, and Rosenblatt believes the Ohio State linebacker/edge rusher is the most likely player to be taken No. 2 overall.