Louie Sutherland vs. Tai Tuivasa prediction, pick for UFC Fight Night 275

TL;DR

Louie Sutherland faces Tai Tuivasa at UFC Fight Night 275 in Perth, Australia. Sutherland seeks his first UFC victory after losing his initial two fights.

Key points

Louie Sutherland seeks first UFC win
Tai Tuivasa is Sutherland's opponent
Event takes place at RAC Arena in Perth, Australia
Sutherland has lost his first two UFC fights
Fight is part of UFC Fight Night 275 main card

Mentioned in this story

Perth, Australia

Louie SutherlandTai TuivasaUFC Fight Night 275

Louie Sutherland and Tai Tuivasa meet on the UFC Fight Night 275 main card Saturday at RAC Arena in Perth, Australia. Check out this quick breakdown of the matchup from MMA Junkie analyst Dan Tom.

Last event's results: 3-3
UFC main cards, 2026: 39-22

Louie Sutherland vs. Tai Tuivasa UFC Fight Night 275 preview

Sutherland (10-5 MMA, 0-2 UFC) is in search of his first UFC win. After a four-fight winning streak led to his opportunity, Sutherland lost his first two appearances against Valter Walker and Brando Pericic.

Tuivasa (14-9 MMA, 8-9 UFC) enters on a dreadful six-fight losing skid, in which he was stopped four times. Tuivasa's last victory came in February 2022 against Derrick Lewis.

Louie Sutherland vs. Tai Tuivasa UFC Fight Night 275 expert pick, prediction

Death, taxes, and the UFC matchmakers force-feeding us lower-level heavyweights on Fight Night main cards.

Despite having a slew of lighter-weight action fights to choose from, Mick Maynard and Sean Shelby saw fit to litter what's quietly the most important stretch of the card outside of the main event with big guy slopfests (as Joe Silva is probably somewhere shedding a tear over what has become of his once-bulletproof card formats). But I digress.

In the promotion's defense, Tai Tuivasa is the obvious fan favorite they're both trying to feature and service with this soft offer, as far as matchmaking goes.

Don't get me wrong: Louie Sutherland is a heavy-handed slugger who has takedowns in his back pocket, but the Brit is barely a month shy of a knockout loss to Brando Pericic and will be having to fly halfway across the world just to make the fight.

It's hard to be confident in Tuivasa given his undeniably depressing recent run of things, but I think that the Aussie gets back on track with a vintage knockout win in front of the home crowd in Round 1.