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Oneil Cruz and Max Muncy are highlighted as top home run bets for April 27, 2026. The season's record stands at 5-16-1, with a total profit of $745 for $100 wagers on previous suggestions.
Oneil Cruz has jaw-dropping power and an opportunity to hit another home run tonight.
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After slinking to a 3-14 record with one no bet, and $0 in profit for the season, the MLB best home run bets have heated up. Each of the previous two editions of this piece has produced a winning wager, lifting the seasonâs record to 5-16-1. Furthermore, readers and gamblers whoâve placed a $100 wager on each of the suggested home run props are up $745, leaving ample wiggle room for another cold streak.
Of course, just because a cold streak is inevitable because of the long-shot nature of home run bets doesnât mean that the cold streak must begin tonight. Thereâs an opportunity tonight to add to the seasonâs profits with two more eye-catching home run bets. Two left-handed hitters with massive power are compelling, albeit chalky, home run bets tonight.
Over 0.5 Home Runs (+375) at Hard Rock Bet
Oneil Cruzâs +375 odds to hit a home run offered at Hard Rock bet are the best across the industry. Unfortunately, Hard Rock Bet operates in a limited number of states. Still, the +361 odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook are close enough to warrant betting in markets where DraftKings Sportsbook is available, and Hard Rock Bet isnât available.
Cruz is a Statcast darling. Among 276 qualified batters this year, Cruz is eighth in barrels per plate appearance rate (13.1%), fifth in barrels per batted-ball event rate (23.2%), fourth in hard-hit rate (63.8%), second in fly-ball and line-drive exit velocity (102.3 mph), first in maximum exit velocity (119.0 mph) and tied for 94th in launch-angle sweet-spot rate (36.2%).
Cruzâs gaudy batted-ball data has translated to fence-clearing power, hitting eight home runs in 27 games and 122 plate appearances this year. He has an 8.2-degree launch angle, 18.8% line-drive rate, 34.8% fly-ball rate and 33.3% home runs per fly-ball rate this year. The sluggerâs fly-ball rate leaves something to be desired, but the ball frequently finds the seats when he lifts it.
The best home run bets for April 27, 2026, feature Oneil Cruz and Max Muncy as top picks.
The current season record for MLB home run bets is 5-16-1.
Readers who placed $100 wagers on suggested home run props are up $745 this season.
Home run bets are considered a long shot due to their unpredictable nature and the inherent risk involved.
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Cruz has a favorable matchup tonight. Dustin May has allowed 18 home runs, 1.79 home runs per nine innings (HR/9), a 22.0% line-drive rate, 38.2% fly-ball rate and 18.2% home run per fly-ball rate to 405 left-handed batters since last season.
May has also yielded all three of his home runs in his two road starts of five starts overall this season. The 28-year-old righty has struggled mightily to keep the ball in the yard on the road. Heâs allowed 15 homers (2.05 HR/9) to 298 batters faced on the road since 2025. Cruz wonât make Mayâs life easy tonight, and Pittsburghâs slugger has an excellent chance to hit a home run.
Max Muncy has a mouthwatering matchup against a homer-prone pitcher tonight.
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Over 0.5 Home Runs (+310) at BetRivers Sportsbook
Chris Paddack has a significant home run problem. The 30-year-old righty has allowed five home runs (1.88 HR/9) in five appearances (four starts) this season, coughing up at least one homer in all four of his starts and avoiding a home run in his relief appearance.
Paddack has also allowed 24 home runs (2.08 HR/9) to 440 batters faced since last season. The 407 left-handed batters whoâve faced Paddack since last year have rattled off 20 home runs (1.91 HR/9). Paddack will almost certainly allow at least one home run tonight.
Max Muncy will give Shohei Ohtani a run for his money for the most likely Dodger to hit a homer against Paddack, and, of course, both players could do so. Muncy has hit nine homers this year, belted six homers in 81 plate appearances against righties, five home runs in 49 plate appearances at home and three in 37 plate appearances against right-handed pitchers at home.
The 35-year-old left-handed slugger has excelled with the platoon advantage at home. In 319 plate appearances against righties at home since 2024, Muncy has hit 23 home runs, with a 19.7% line-drive rate, 52.7% fly-ball rate and 23.2% home runs per fly-ball rate.
Muncyâs batted-ball data also looks great this year. Among 276 qualified hitters, Muncy is tied for 15th in barrels per plate appearance rate (11.5%), 15th in barrels per batted-ball event rate (19.0%), 23rd in hard-hit rate (54.0%), tied for 33rd in fly-ball and line-drive exit velocity (96.5 mph) and tied for 138th in launch-angle sweet-spot rate (33.3%).
Muncy also has a 13.3-degree launch angle, 15.9% line-drive rate, 41.3% fly-ball rate and 34.6% home run per fly-ball rate this year. Muncyâs fly-ball rate should play well in his homer-friendly ballpark tonight against a pitcher who struggles to keep the ball in the yard.
Since 2024, UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium has had the highest park factor (130) for home runs. Muncyâs odds for his home run prop are chalky, but the likelihood he hits a homer tonight warrants making the wager.
This article was originally published on Forbes.com