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MLB futures odds: How Tarik Skubal's injury affects Tigers' AL Central, ALCS and World Series chances
TL;DR
Tarik Skubal, the Detroit Tigers' ace and two-time Cy Young winner, will undergo elbow surgery and miss an indefinite amount of time. Despite this setback, projections indicate minimal impact on the Tigers' chances in the AL Central, ALCS, and World Series.
Key points
- Tarik Skubal will undergo elbow surgery.
- He has been a two-time Cy Young winner.
- His current season record is 3-2 with a 2.70 ERA.
- The injury is expected to have minimal impact on the Tigers' season.
- Manager A.J. Hinch confirmed the surgery details.
Tarik SkubalDetroit Tigers
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Losing your ace and two-time defending Cy Young winner is never good news. But the SportsLine Projection Model says the Detroit Tigers losing Tarik Skubal for an indefinite amount of time will have a minimal effect on their season.
On Monday, manager A.J. Hinch said Skubal has loose bodies in his left elbow, and will undergo surgery to remove those bodies and "miss some time." That would normally be a killer for any team, considering Skubal's success. Over the 2024 and 2025 seasons, he went a combined 31-10 with a 2.30 ERA and won the American League Cy Young Award both years. This season he is 3-2 with a 2.70 ERA.
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But the SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, says there's no reason to bury Detroit.
The Tigers are currently 18-17 and tied with the Guardians for the lead in the AL Central. Had Skubal not been injured, the model had Detroit winning 85.2 games this season. With Skubal out until mid-July, which is the typical timeline for such a procedure, the model has the team winning 84.7 games, a difference of only 0.5.
The Tigers' chances to reach the playoffs and win the AL Central, ALCS and World Series also aren't significantly impacted, according to the model.
Q&A
How will Tarik Skubal's injury affect the Detroit Tigers' chances in the AL Central?
Skubal's injury is projected to have a minimal effect on the Tigers' chances in the AL Central, according to the SportsLine Projection Model.
What is Tarik Skubal's current performance record before his injury?
Before his injury, Tarik Skubal had a record of 3-2 with a 2.70 ERA this season.
What surgery is Tarik Skubal undergoing and what is the expected recovery time?
Tarik Skubal is undergoing surgery to remove loose bodies from his left elbow, and he is expected to miss an indefinite amount of time.
