MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Tuesday, April 14

Q: What are the best MLB home run prop bets for April 14?

The top MLB home run prop bets for April 14 include players like Oneil Cruz and Pete Alonso, who are expected to perform well in today's matchups.

Q: Why are home runs expected to increase in today's MLB games?

Home runs are expected to increase today due to favorable weather conditions and players hitting the ball with more power.

Q: Who is predicted to hit a home run in the MLB games today?

Oneil Cruz and Pete Alonso are among the players predicted to hit home runs in today's MLB games.

Q: What are the odds for MLB home run bets on April 14?

The odds for MLB home run bets on April 14 vary, but notable bets include a +1040 homer bet that gained attention yesterday.

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The dingers were finally flying yesterday, and I hit a monster +1040 homer to help my crawl out of the early-season basement.

The weather is turning, and the balls are flying. It's time to hit the MLB player props and back the bats on Dinger Tuesday.

I'm leaning on some familiar names today, but at prices I like in these settings and matchups. Very few people are hitting the ball on the screws with a harder swing than Oneil Cruz, and Pete Alonso has found his power and is the bat to back in Baltimore today.

These are my favorite home run props for Tuesday, April 14.

Best MLB home run props today

Player to hit a HR	Odds
Oneil Cruz	+330
Pete Alonso	+390

Oneil Cruz (+330)

When I go square, I want all the checkmarks, and I’m getting them in this Pittsburgh Pirates spot.

Oneil Cruz is a Top-5 hitter in baseball in swing speed and leads all batters in Blast Contact%, a stat that combines fast swings with barrels. Swing hard and square it up — simple.

Cruz gets a heavenly matchup vs. Miles Mikolas, who might be looking for a new job soon. Mikolas has been getting lit up, allowing 19 runs in just over 12 innings with five home runs surrendered.

He’s unlikely to go deep, and Pittsburgh should also get cracks at a taxed Nationals bullpen after hanging 16 runs on them last night. There might be four arms unavailable today from that Washington pen.

Elite form, double-digit winds blowing out, a great matchup, and a depleted bullpen all point to upside. I’m willing to go a bit shorter here at +330 and would still play it down to +300.

Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
Where to watch: SportsNet Pittsburgh, Nationals.TV

Pete Alonso (+390)

There were seven homers hit at Camden Yards yesterday, with one coming off the bat of Pete Alonso, who is +EV for a dinger today at +390 with a fair price around +340, per THE BAT.

It’s another great setting with double-digit winds blowing out and Merrill Kelly making his first start of the season before handing it over to a bullpen that got tagged for seven runs over just nine outs yesterday.

Alonso is the bat to target in this lineup, boasting the best Blast Contact% numbers in the clubhouse — roughly double that of Gunnar Henderson.

The final piece is familiarity. Alonso has seen Kelly 19 times, which leans in the hitter’s favor, and the Polar Bear has gone deep three times in those matchups.

Time: 6:35 p.m. ET
Where to watch: MASN, Dbacks.TV

Jinglis' 2026 Transparency Record

HR picks: 3-24, -1.1 units

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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