NBA player prop picks, odds: Three best 2026 NBA Playoffs prop bets for Monday, May 11

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Pistons forward Tobias Harris has been on a tear in the 2026 NBA Playoffs, scoring 20 or more points in each of his past eight games. Harris' recent performances will likely make him a focal point in NBA prop bets when Detroit takes on the Cleveland Cavaliers at 8 p.m. ET on Monday. Harris is knocking down 50% of his field goal attempts through three games against Cleveland, and his over/under for total points + rebounds in Game 4 is 24.5. SportsLine NBA expert Mike Barner is backing Harris to exceed that total against the Cavaliers, noting that Harris is averaging 21.3 points and 7.7 rebounds over Detroit's past 10 games overall.

For Game 4 of Lakers vs. Thunder, SportsLine expert Doug Kralstein is high on Thunder guard Ajay Mitchell to be effective on the offensive end of the floor. Mitchell finished with 24 points in his last outing against Los Angeles, and his over/under points + assists on Monday is 21.5. Before locking in Monday's NBA prop picks and other NBA bets on betting sites like FanDuel, be sure to check out top picks from the proven computer model and team of experts at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons. The model entered the second round of the 2026 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 26-9 roll (74%) on top-rated NBA spread picks this season. Anyone following its NBA betting advice at online betting sites and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

Top NBA player prop picks on Monday

• Tobias Harris, Pistons, Over 24.5 points + rebounds
• James Harden, Cavaliers, Over 18.5 points
• Ajay Mitchell, Thunder, Over 21.5 points + assists