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NBA player prop picks, odds: Three best 2026 NBA Playoffs prop bets for Saturday, May 9
TL;DR
The Thunder lead the series 2-0 against the Lakers, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected to score 32 points in Game 3. James Harden is also expected to excel in rebounds against the Pistons, with an over/under of 5.5.
Key points
- Thunder lead series 2-0 against Lakers
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected to score 32 points
- James Harden expected to grab over 5.5 rebounds
- Model has returned over $10,000 in profit for $100 players
- Model has a 74% success rate on NBA spread picks this season
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderJames HardenOklahoma City ThunderLos Angeles Lakers
Imagn Images
The Thunder have raced out to a 2-0 series lead over the Lakers, and reigning MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been an effective shooter thus far. Gilgeous-Alexander is knocking down 53.6% of his field goal attempts against Los Angeles, and he's expected to be a focal point for NBA prop picks on Saturday. Gilgeous-Alexander ranked second in the NBA in scoring during the regular season with 31.1 points per game, and his over/under for total points scored against Los Angeles in Game 3 is 29.5. The SportsLine Projection Model projects he'll exceed that total against the Lakers, predicting he'll finish with 32 points, and identifies it as one of Saturday's top NBA player props and NBA best bets today.
SportsLine NBA expert Doug Kralstein is also high on Cavaliers guard James Harden to be a productive rebounder against the Pistons on Saturday. Harden has pulled down 14 rebounds during the first two games against Detroit, and his over/under for rebounds in Game 3 is 5.5. Before locking in Saturday's NBA prop picks and other NBA bets on betting sites like FanDuel, be sure to check out top picks from the proven computer model and team of experts at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons. The model entered the second round of the 2026 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 26-9 roll (74%) on top-rated NBA spread picks this season. Anyone following its NBA betting advice at online betting sites and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Top NBA player prop picks on Saturday
- James Harden, Cavaliers, Over 5.5 rebounds
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Thunder, Over 29.5 points
Q&A
What are the top NBA prop bets for May 9, 2026?
The top NBA prop bets include Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to score over 29.5 points and James Harden to grab over 5.5 rebounds.
How has Shai Gilgeous-Alexander performed in the playoffs so far?
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has shot 53.6% from the field and scored an average of 32 points in the first two games against the Lakers.
What is James Harden's rebound average in the playoffs against the Pistons?
James Harden has averaged 14 rebounds in the first two games against the Pistons.
What is the SportsLine Projection Model's success rate for NBA picks?
The SportsLine Projection Model has a 74% success rate on top-rated NBA spread picks this season, with a record of 26-9.
