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NBA playoff predictions for 2026 highlight Nikola JokiÄ as the top player, with Victor Wembanyama emerging as a potential game-changer. Experts weigh in on key players and dark horse candidates for the playoffs.
Wemby will no doubt be the answer to this question at some point in the (perhaps not-too-distant) future. But for now, I defer to those with at least some playoff experience. For my money, JokiÄ still reigns supreme as the best player alive, and for that reason, heâs my pick. CDL
JokiÄ. Not since peak Shaq has there been an offensive force this inevitable. Heâs in the top 10 ever, already. 6ft 11in, 284lb, unguardable. Guardâs mind, centerâs mass, wingâs skill. Makes everyone around him better, putting a battery in their back. SreÄno. Thatâs Serbian for good luck. LE
Thereâs not a finer player on the planet right now than JokiÄ, who at 31 is on a course to be in my all-time top five by the time he calls it a career. Youâd truly never hear the end of it if he played in New York or LA. But at the moment, in a one-off and even as a playoff debutant, Iâd fancy a punt on the vertiginous upside of Wembanyama. Game 7s have a way of tilting on chaos and no one creates more of it by erasing shots, stretching defenses and warping opponentsâ decision-making. If he hits his ceiling for one night, whatever that may be, itâs a fait accompli. BAG
You know what? Gimme Victor. I donât think weâve fully reckoned with the Jordanesque scale of his competition problem. The Frenchman spent the previous offseason training with Shaolin monks, a fact that can never be overstated. He marked the Spursâ regular-season series triumph over the Thunder, who were threatening the 2016 Warriorsâ single-season wins record, by absorbing their supporter chants and squad culture like Thanos. He remained a viable MVP candidate even while playing under a wholly legitimate minutesâ restriction. Put all that in a 7ft 4in alloy of Steph off the dribble and Shaq in the paint and, sure, Iâll take my chances. AL
Call me nostalgic, but Iâm still pining for last seasonâs Indiana Pacers. It seems cruel and unusual that we had that team ripped from us in such dramatic and devastating fashion, and a playoffs without the scintillating Tyrese Haliburton and his never-say-die supporting cast is an objective downgrade.
Nikola JokiÄ and Victor Wembanyama are highlighted as the top players for the 2026 NBA playoffs.
JokiÄ is considered an offensive force with unmatched skills, making him a preferred choice in critical playoff moments.
Wembanyama's unique skill set and ability to create chaos on the court could significantly influence playoff outcomes.
The article suggests potential dark horse candidates but does not specify which teams; it focuses on key players instead.

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Missed â as in absent? The Lakers are technically in the playoffs, but not really: Luka DonÄiÄ and Austin Reaves are gone, and so is any illusion of the team being at full strength. LeBron James, once again, will drag whatâs left of the roster for as long as it lasts, maybe for the final time in LA. LE

Jalen Brunson (center) and New York Knicks are looking to break a 53-year championship drought. Photograph: Gregory Shamus/Getty Images
Itâs Miami for me. Only three teams seeded fifth or worse have managed to scratch their way into the NBA finals since 2000. Six teams ever. Two of them were Erik Spoelstra joints: the 2020 and 2023 Heat. Even in down years, thereâs an institutional culture in South Beach seemingly lab-made for postseason mayhem: adaptive, opportunistic, built for disorder. The East side of the bracket just feels less dangerous without Coach Spo scheming another batch of role players into playoff giant-killers. BAG
It still smarts to be denied the chance to see this newly emboldened version of Miamiâs Bam Adebayo who can apparently go for 83 points on any given night. It further feels especially cruel that the Hornets got to play on after LaMelo Ballâs dirty defense on Adebayo in their play-in matchup on Tuesday â though Ball was fined, which, I suspect, comes as little consolation to Spoelstraâs crew. AL
Conventional wisdom would say this is the Lakers, and thatâs probably the correct pick. But it feels a little too obvious to choose the team who lost their top two scorers, DonÄiÄ and Reaves. So keep an eye on the second-seeded Spurs. Theyâre set to face the winner of Nuggets-Timberwolves in round two, and if thatâs Denver, Iâd pick the more experienced team to survive and advance. CDL
The top-seeded Pistons, although this hinges on Charlotte making it through as the No 8 seed in Friday nightâs play-in. Matchups are fate. Detroit canât trade twos for threes with a Hornets team carrying the greatest shooting rookie ever and a pack of dawgs. That series could turn into carnage, fast. LE
Iâm afraid itâs the Knicks. The first-round series with Atlanta is dicier than a 3-6 matchup suggests. The Hawksâ length, shooting and post-All-Star surge make them dangerous floaters who have already shown they can push New York to the brink in three tightly wound regular-season contests, including last weekâs barn-burner played at playoff intensity. If Jalen Brunson gets crowded by Dyson Daniels and Nickeil Alexander-Walker and the Knicksâ deeper supporting cast stalls, it could get late early in Gotham. BAG
How about the Knicks drawing the short straw against Atlanta, one of the leagueâs most improved teams after the All-Star break? More impressively, the Hawks did so after turning over the core of their roster, making this a far trickier matchup for New York, who were lucky to make it out of Atlanta last week with a three-point win and keep themselves in the driverâs seat for the No 3 seed. The back-and-forth between Brunson and CJ McCollum has the potential to be box-office stuff. AL
Take a walk with me, if you will, down Pigs-flying-with-dodo-birds Lane. An NBA folk tale for the ages: LeBron James, one last time, puts a woefully ill-equipped team on his back, for one round ... just long enough to facilitate the return of DonÄiÄ and Reaves from injury. The Lakers then go on a memorable playoff run, lift the trophy and send James into retirement as a five-time champion. Is it likely? No. Would it be fun? The most. CDL
The Spurs. I called it pre-season. Theyâre ahead of schedule now, but Wemby sniffing a title in year three tells you what he is already. Around him: a swarm of fearless two-way wings and guards, a swarm of killer instinct. LE

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Oklahoma City are bidding to become the first repeat NBA champions since the Golden State Warriors won three straight between 2017 and 2019. Photograph: Joshua Gateley/Getty Images
The Pistons. Can a No 1 seed that paced the Eastern Conference for the final 157 days of the regular season really be considered a long shot? When the oddsmakers are pricing them as the seventh favorite to win the title, the answer is yes. Nobody seems to believe in Detroitâs youth movement, even after the third 60-win season in the teamâs 85-year history. Their edge is a workmanlike consistency: a deep, unselfish system thatâs held through injuries and doesnât beat itself. BAG
The Hawks have length, bounce and brilliant tactician in Quin Snyder â who may well have the best NBA roster heâs ever coached. Whatâs more, theyâve caused headaches for higher seeds in the past, pushing eventual champion Milwaukee to six games in the 2021 conference finals and spooking Boston in similar fashion in the 2023 first round. AL
JokiÄ will, once again, face a gargantuan task. To get to the finals, he will probably have to overcome the thorn in his side that is the Timberwolves, take down Wemby and a red-hot Spurs team, and, ultimately, dethrone the reigning champions. But I believe if anyone is capable of such a task, itâs the Serbian superstar. CDL
Gilgeous-Alexander. If his MVP trajectory falters â or worse, heâs injured â it derails OKCâs ascendent dynasty and throws the field into chaos, where anyone can bag the crown. LE

The San Antonio Spurs have emerged as a trendy pick to win the title behind 22-year-old star Victor Wembanyama. Photograph: Ronald Cortes/Getty Images
Wembanyama. The 22-year-old from the Paris suburbs was breathlessly hyped as the NBAâs best prospect since LeBron when he was still a gangly teenager, but heâs somehow managed to exceed those expectations while growing mentally, physically (heâs 7ft 5in now?!) and even spiritually. The Spurs have emerged as a trendy pick to win it all after besting the Thunder in four of their five regular-season meetings and their cheat code at center remains the biggest potential spanner in the defending champsâ repeat bid. BAG
Narratively, itâs Anthony Edwards. The Minnesota star already shown he can drag a team deep into the playoffs, albeit with a roster that hadnât yet peaked. But if he can manage the trick again â with a thinner supporting cast, in a return to the sixth seed â it sure would make a helluva statement. AL
Knicks over Pistons. CDL
Knicks over Pistons. LE
Pistons over Celtics. BAG
Celtics over Pistons. AL
Thunder over Nuggets. CDL
Spurs over Thunder. LE
Thunder over Spurs. BAG
Thunder over Spurs. AL
At the risk of dampening intrigue, I really do think the Thunder are likely to be repeat champions. They got healthy at the right time, their chemistry appears to be at an all-time high, SGA is favorite to win MVP and for some unknowable reason, Daryl Morey gift-wrapped them yet another perfectly suited bench player in Jared McCain. The Nuggets will give them a run for their money in the conference finals, but ultimately, I just canât pick against this Thunder machine. CDL
The Knicks. They already bloodied Boston and Detroit in last yearâs playoffs. Thereâs the revenge for 1999 angle; even the Spurs donât scare them. OKC, young and brilliant, wilt under MSGâs big city lights. Brunson, born to play basketball, takes the Knicks to the promised land, achieving sainthood. For a fanbase title-starved for more than five decades, this is more than a championship run. Weâre talking generational spiritual repair, the kind people chase in deserts, dreams and God. LE
The Thunder. Let the dynasty chatter begin. Oklahoma City are the most complete team with the deepest rotation in the most adaptable system. There are no weak points to attack. SGA is the MVP-caliber talent who anchors everything, but itâs the collective that makes them overwhelming. They can win fast or slow, big or small, ugly or pretty. The question now is whether anyone can consistently disrupt them. The Spurs managed it in the regular season, but knocking OKC out of the playoffs will require near-perfect basketball for four quarters, four times. I wouldnât bet on it. BAG
The Celtics. Less than a year after Jayson Tatum went down with a ruptured achilles and threw Bostonâs future in doubt, he roars back and leads the Celtics to their 19th championship, rekindling dynasty talk and putting the rumors of unrest between him and Jaylen Brown to rest for good. Joe Mazzulla, now undeniably a mad genius, celebrates by getting a pet wolf â but his wife says he canât keep it in the house. So the Celtics build a habitat outside the Garden, and fans make a tradition out of hurling the jerseys of their vanquished rivals, putting a basketball spin on the idea of being âthrown to the wolvesâ. AL