The Pittsburgh Penguins face a must-win game against the Philadelphia Flyers after falling behind 0-3 in their playoff series. Historically, teams down 0-3 have a slim chance of coming back, but recent trends show that comebacks are possible.
Key points
Pittsburgh Penguins are down 0-3 in their playoff series.
Historically, teams down 0-3 have won only 4 times in NHL history.
The last successful 0-3 comeback was by the Los Angeles Kings in 2014.
Stuart Skinner emphasizes the pressure relief of being down 3-0.
Recent trends show an increase in attempted comebacks in hockey.
Pittsburgh PenguinsPhiladelphia FlyersLos Angeles KingsSan Jose Sharks
PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - APRIL 22: Owen Tippett #74 of the Philadelphia Flyers celebrates his empty net goal against the Pittsburgh Penguins in Game Three of the First Round of the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Xfinity Mobile Arena on April 22, 2026 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Flyers defeated the Penguins 5-2. (Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images) | Getty Images
PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - APRIL 22: Owen Tippett #74 of the Philadelphia Flyers celebrates his empty net goal against the Pittsburgh Penguins in Game Three of the First Round of the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Xfinity Mobile Arena on April 22, 2026 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Flyers defeated the Penguins 5-2. (Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images) | Getty Images
The Pittsburgh Penguins face their first truly must win game of the season tomorrow night in Philadelphia. If they can do that, they would have another in Pittsburgh on Monday. If they won that, itâd be another must win situation setup for Game 6 in Philadelphia. If somehow they won that too, then there would be a Game 7 back in Pittsburgh.
As we all know the odds of that happening, realistically, are grim right now. Perhaps even non-existent. The Pens have been outplayed in any and every facet over the first three games, and the only time they were leading a game got thrown away due to a post-whistle scrum that quickly put them back behind. The goaltending has been spotty, and certainly much better for the other club. The adjustments made have made little difference. We could go on and on, but you probably get the picture and have already accepted that Pittsburghâs impressive season is coming to a shockingly ugly end.
With that dose of reality out of the way, why not dream a little? Itâs Friday, thereâs no game today and 0-3 comebacks (completed or attempted) are on the rise in hockey. Itâs still a fact that the series is almost a foregone conclusion â teams up 3 games to 0 have ended up winning 209 out of 213 times in NHL history in a stat from the , but that doesnât necessarily mean all the drama has to be over just yet.
No one would know that better than . In 2024, the fell down 3-0 to the . Skinner, of course, was the goalie for the Oilers back then. Edmonton won the next three games to force a Game 7. Theyâd lose 2-1 to come so close to the âreverse sweepâ of winning four straight games after falling into a big hole.
âPlayoffs are intense,â . âThereâs a lot of pressure, a lot of noise going on everywhere. I feel like when you go down 3-0, what really helped me in my experience was it kind of just frees you up. You donât really have anything to lose. And weâre in a spot where we donât have anything to lose, and they do. If we catch them a couple times â just talking about momentum â you can change momentum, and when that happens, things can go in your favor.â
By the way, Skinnerâs performances in Games 4-7 of the â24 Stanley Cup Final were outstanding. He only allowed seven goals over the four games (1.76 GAA) and posted a .935 save%, he played some extremely great hockey with his back to the wall, so his words about getting freed from the pressure sound like they worked. Itâs not like the first round against the Flyers carries the same burdens of playing for a Canadian team in the SCF where every question is built around if can ever win âhisâ Cup, so who knows how much that will change the performance this time around. At this point that sounds like one of the best straws to grasp at that at least the Penguins have a goalie who has been in this exact situation before and handled it extremely well.
The most recent time for a 0-3 series comeback in the NHL dates back to 2014, when the pulled the trick against the in the first round. The Kings would go onto win the Stanley Cup that year. Itâs crazy to think how close that was to going out the window in the very opening games of the playoffs, which goes to provide yet another instance of just how thins the margins are in the NHL this time of year between winning and losing.
Back in 2011, there were two close calls: the Sharks almost blew a 3-0 lead against , but SJ held on and earned a Game 7 victory. In that very same year and round, the then-defending Cup champion dropped an overtime Game 7 to fall just short of making an 0-3 comeback of their own against at the very same time the SJ/DET series was going on.
The year prior, in 2010, Philadelphia was able to overcome a 0-3 deficit to the in the conference semifinals and advance. There must have been something in the water during that 2010-14 time frame with a couple close calls (Detroit and Chicago in â11) and then a pair of successful comebacks (LA in â14 and Philadelphia in â10) all happening in the same period.
For historical completion, the Penguins have been involved in a 0-3 series comeback, albeit on the wrong end. The made the massive comeback in 1975, serving as a sore spot for the franchise for many years, especially considering that â75 series made for a recurring trivia note since it was the only time from 1943-2009 that an NHL team blew a 3-0 series lead. The time before that, in 1942, was the Stanley Cup Final where pulled the comeback against Detroit.
It sounds daunting to even consider the Penguins joining those groups of teams to make a run. Based on the numbers (209 out of 213) itâs obvious a lot of these series are bound to conclude in four or five games when it gets to this situation. Just call it some Friday morning optimism that just because the vast majority of these instances are foregone conclusions doesnât necessarily mean itâs unprecedented.
âWe have to win a hockey game,â Dan Muse . âSo, weâll have a practice [Friday], get ready for that game. Then, weâll go into that game, we need to win a game. And so, thatâs entirely where the focus is right now.â
Climbing out of an 0-3 hole is sort of like that old saying about eating an elephant. It has to be done one bite at a time. Game 4 is that first bite. Win that, extend the season and earn the chance to take that next bite in Game 5. Itâs easier said than done but the Penguins still have an opportunity available to go down a path that exists for teams to at least make a run at pulling the reverse sweep.
Q&A
What are the chances of the Pittsburgh Penguins coming back from a 0-3 deficit?
Historically, teams down 0-3 in the NHL have won only 4 out of 213 series, making the odds of a Penguins comeback extremely slim.
When was the last successful 0-3 comeback in NHL history?
The last successful 0-3 comeback in the NHL occurred in 2014 when the Los Angeles Kings defeated the San Jose Sharks in the first round.
Which teams have come close to overcoming a 0-3 deficit in the NHL?
Teams like the Chicago Blackhawks in 2011 and the Philadelphia Flyers in 2010 have come close, with the Flyers successfully overcoming their deficit against the Boston Bruins.
What did Stuart Skinner say about playing under pressure in the playoffs?
Stuart Skinner mentioned that being down 3-0 can free players from pressure, allowing them to play more freely and potentially change the momentum of the series.
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