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Nuggets vs Spurs Computer Picks: Our Best Player Prop Projections for April 12
TL;DR
The Nuggets face the Spurs in the final NBA regular season game on April 12, with player prop bets offering more value than traditional betting lines. Key projections highlight potential betting opportunities based on player performance.
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The NBA regular season concludes on Sunday night with a Nuggets vs. Spurs matchup that offers more betting value in the player prop market than the spread or total.
Our NBA player prop projections break down the expected production on both sides, highlighting where the numbers create betting value.
Alongside our Nuggets vs. Spurs predictions and top NBA picks, here are the best player props to target for April 12.
Nuggets vs Spurs computer picks for April 12
| Nuggets | Spurs |
|---|---|
| Jokic o0.5 threesĀ -150 | Fox u6.5 assistsĀ -105 |
| Jones u5.5 assistsĀ -112 | Champagnie u12.5 pointsĀ -110 |
| Strawther u2.5 threesĀ -135 | Fox o1.5 threesĀ -110 |
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Nuggets computer picks
Nikola Jokic Over 0.5 threes (-150)
Projection: 1.5 threes
Nikola Jokic clearing one three is about as low a bar as it gets, especially in a game Denver actually cares about. With the Nuggets still pushing for seeding, expect full minutes and a normal offensive role.
San Antonioās defense gives up clean looks to bigs on the perimeter, and Jokic has been more willing to fire.
He's hit at least one 3-pointer in two of his last three games.
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Tyus Jones Under 5.5 assists (-112)
Projection: 4.1 assists
Tyus Jonesā role is the issue here, not his talent. With Denver playing for seeding, the ball is going to live in Nikola Jokicās hands, not Jonesā.
Heās more of a secondary initiator in this offense, and his assist upside is capped unless minutes spike. In a tighter rotation game, thatās unlikely.
Jones has gone Under this total in 14 straight games.
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Julian Strawther Under 2.5 threes (-135)
Projection: 2.0 threes
Julian Strawtherās role is always fragile, and thatās amplified in a high-leverage game for Denver. The Nuggets will tighten the rotation, leaning more on trusted options, which limits Strawtherās volume and minutes.
Even if he gets on the floor, heās a streaky shooter who needs attempts to get there.
He's gone Under this number in 16 of his last 17 games.
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Spurs computer picks
De'Aaron Fox Under 6.5 assists (-120)
Projection: 5.6 assists
De'Aaron Foxās role is score-first, and that becomes even more pronounced in a meaningless end-of-season spot.
With the Spurs not playing for anything, offensive structure tends to break down, leading to fewer clean assist opportunities. Heās more likely to hunt his own shot than facilitate, and the projection reflects that.
At 5.6 assists, this line is simply a bit too aggressive for his expected usage and game environment.
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Julian Champagnie Under 12.5 points (-110)
Projection: 10.9 points
Julian Champagnie is a decent role player, but 12.5 is a touch too high for someone whose production can disappear fast if the shot volume is not there.
With a projection of 10.9, there is enough cushion to back the Under, especially if his minutes or usage dip even slightly.
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De'Aaron Fox Over 1.5 threes (-110)
Projection: 1.7 threes
DeāAaron Fox isnāt known as a high-volume 3-point shooter, but heās quietly cleared this number with more consistency when his usage spikes.
With a 1.7 projection, youāre not getting a massive edge, but you donāt need one at this line.
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How to watch Nuggets vs Spurs tonight
| Location | Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX |
| Date | Sunday, April 12, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Not intended for use in MA.
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Q&A
What are the best player prop bets for the Nuggets vs Spurs game on April 12?
The best player prop bets focus on individual player performances that are expected to yield high value based on statistical projections.
Why are player prop bets considered more valuable than spread or total bets for the Nuggets vs Spurs matchup?
Player prop bets are seen as more valuable because they offer specific insights into player performance, which can be more predictable than overall game outcomes.
When does the NBA regular season end for the Nuggets and Spurs?
The NBA regular season concludes on Sunday night, April 12, with the game between the Nuggets and Spurs marking the final matchup.
What should bettors consider when placing bets on the Nuggets vs Spurs game?
Bettors should analyze player performance projections and historical data to identify favorable player prop bets that could provide better returns.
