The PGA Championship is set to take place at Aronimink Golf Club in Pennsylvania, featuring World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler as the reigning champion. Cameron Young, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Ludvig Ć berg are currently leading the trend table ahead of the tournament.
Key points
PGA Championship hosted at Aronimink Golf Club
Scottie Scheffler is the reigning champion
Cameron Young leads the trend table
Aronimink rewards length and strong approach play
Club pros rarely make the cut at the tournament
Mentioned in this story
Scottie SchefflerCameron YoungMatt FitzpatrickLudvig Ć bergAronimink Golf Club
Corebridge Financial TeamBMW ChampionshipAT&T National
The seasonās second major is upon us as Aronimink Golf Club hosts the PGA Championship, the first major championship to be contested at the Newtown Square, Pennsylvania club.
World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is the reigning PGA champion, having won last year at Quail Hollow, though Scheffler enters this week fourth on Data Golfās trend table behind Cameron Young, Matt Fitzpatrick and Ludvig Ć berg.
Young has won twice in his last five starts, including The Players, while also tying for third at the Masters. Heās the strongest bet to win among players currently without a major title.
Aronimink has hosted three previous PGA Tour events, most recently the 2018 BMW Championship, as well as the AT&T National in 2010 and 2011. From what weāve learned, itās a ballpark that rewards length and strong approach play (shockers!) but also one where putting is perhaps more important and driving accuracy is less important than typical major venues. The par-3s at Aronimink are particularly difficult, there are 180 bunkers in play and the undulating Donald Ross greens are comprised of bentgrass.
Without further delay, letās get into ranking the entire field, with the last 20 spots reserved for the Corebridge Financial Team because club pros rarely make the cut ā and are even less likely to do what Blockie did at Oak Hill:
Nos. 1-10
1. Cameron Young: The hottest player in the world who has two wins plus a T-3 at the Masters in his last five starts. He also is the Tourās leader in par-3 scoring while ranking top 5 in strokes gained off the tee and proximity. Itās time for him to score his first major title.
2. Scottie Scheffler: Could be a touch lower, though heās still posted three straight runner-up finishes. Heās third in strokes gained off the tee and around the green, with only his iron-play proximity posing a concern.
3. Jon Rahm: Has continued to dominate LIV with two wins and a second in his last four starts, but his T-38 at the Masters shows itās not all translating to majors. Still, heās one of the best all-around players in the world and competing on a golf course that should be set up to reward complete players.
4. Ludvig Ć berg: Had cracked the top 5 in four of his last six starts, and heās top 10 in total driving, proximity, approaches over 200 yards and par-3 scoring, among other categories. Could be another guy who could have his first major title come Sunday night.
5. Rory McIlroy: The best driver of the golf ball in the world also is top 10 in strokes gained approach. The putting hasnāt been great, which will probably cost him. His inconsistent play at Quail is worrisome, too, as that is a place that heās owned. He was fifth at Aronimink in 2018.
6. Matthew Fitzpatrick: Perhaps the momentum is wearing off, but any player who has won three of his past five starts canāt be ignore, especially considering the putting is improving to go along with some career ball-striking numbers.
Q&A
Who is the reigning champion of the PGA Championship?
Scottie Scheffler is the reigning champion, having won the tournament last year at Quail Hollow.
What are the key features of Aronimink Golf Club for the PGA Championship?
Aronimink Golf Club rewards length and strong approach play, has difficult par-3s, and features 180 bunkers with undulating bentgrass greens.
Which players are leading the trend table ahead of the PGA Championship?
Cameron Young, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Ludvig Ć berg are currently leading the trend table, with Young being noted as a strong bet to win.
What notable events have been held at Aronimink Golf Club?
Aronimink has hosted three previous PGA Tour events, including the 2018 BMW Championship and the AT&T National in 2010 and 2011.
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7. Patrick Reed: Has cracked the top 20 at three of his last six PGAs and did the same here in 2018. Drove it great at Augusta, and if he does that here, he contends.
8. Adam Scott: Has put together a lot of great rounds in recent months, and has a pair of top-4s to show for it. Leads the Tour in strokes gained approach and is second in par-3 scoring.
9. Xander Schauffele: Had been so great since Pebble with five top-12 finishes, but struggled at Quail, a recent PGA venue, and hasnāt been good on the par-3s. That said, he was third here in 2018 and placed high on my model, which he typically doesnāt do yet always outperforms.
10. Rickie Fowler: Displaying some of the best golf of his career right now, riding elite iron play to three straight top-10s on Tour. The putter has been there all year, and heās even got a top-10 finish to his name at Aronimink in 2018.
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Nos. 11-20
11. Collin Morikawa: Gutted out a T-7 at the Masters and then T-4 at RBC Heritage. He took Truist off after struggling at Doral. If heās healthy, heāll be fine, though the putter could cost him.
12. Jake Knapp: Yet to make a cut in two career PGA starts, but his solo 11th at the Masters shows heās ready to be a regular contender at majors. Top 10 in both total driving and strokes gained putting, which is a lethal PGA combo.
13. Brooks Koepka: His season-long stats donāt tell the full story. Heās striking it at a very high level and the putter continues to slowly get more reliable. Heās in a great headspace, and if he starts seeing putts fall, heāll be a factor.
14. Bryson DeChambeau: Nice to see him get back on track at LIV Virginia, and heās been top 4 in four of his past five PGA starts, but it just feels like there is too much noise surrounding him, both on and off the course. He canāt afford to hit his irons like he did at Augusta here.
15. Patrick Cantlay: Riding a run of four straight top-12s. His waywardness off the tee should be mitigated a touch, and even then, heās still top 20 in strokes gained off the tee. Plus, he plays the par-3s at a top-10 rate on Tour and chips it well.
16. Si Woo Kim: Always a statistical darling going into majors, and this week is no different as he popped fifth in the model thanks to some elite approach numbers. But he has rarely contended in majors, and when it comes to the PGA, he missed three of four cuts before his T-8 last year. Also, the T-65 at Quail scares me.
17. Thomas Detry: A strong play for low LIV player, as heās finished top 10 in four of his last five LIV appearances. Was T-4 at the 2024 PGA at Valhalla.
18. Min Woo Lee: Another guy who the model seems to always love way more than he performs in majors, but maybe this time is the charm. Top 10 in total driving and no real glaring weaknesses. Closed strong at Truist for a second straight top-20 finish.
19. Alex Smalley: Ranks top 10 on Tour in proximity and trending, with seven top-25s in his last nine starts. Has a couple top-30s already in three career PGAs, too.
20. Russell Henley: Overall, hasnāt been elite with the long irons this season, but he turned in one of his best iron weeks at the Masters and was T-3. Owns just one top-20 finish in a dozen career PGA starts.
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Nos. 21-30
21. Tyrrell Hatton: Heās been T-16 or better five times in majors since joining LIV, including last monthās T-3 at the Masters. Fits this golf course well. Probably should be higher than this.
22. Sudarshan Yellamaraju: Last guy in, but hear me out: He stripes it. Heās the best long-iron player on Tour right now and nearly top 10 in total driving, too. Checks a ton of boxes other than experience.
23. Alex Fitzpatrick: Call me crazy, but Iām riding the hot hand. He doesnāt have nearly enough rounds to qualify, but heād lead the Tour in strokes gained off the tee right now if he did. He flushes his irons. And heās hot, with top-10s in two straight tournaments since winning Zurich with his brother.
24. Nicolai HĆøjgaard: Loved what I saw at Truist, as he now has a pair of runners-up in his last five starts. Has been above average statistically this season and really good with his irons, especially the longer ones.
25. Tommy Fleetwood: Bumped him up a few spots after his T-5 at Truist, his fifth top-10 in his last nine starts. He only boasts one career top-15 at the PGA, a T-5 in 2022, but he was eighth at Aronimink in 2018.
26. Viktor Hovland: He doesnāt have a top-10 finish since Phoenix as heās struggled mostly with the putter and short game, but he has managed to show up usually in the majors. He has missed just four major cuts in his career and has cracked the top 30 in four of his last five while being T-33 or better in five of six career PGA starts.
27. Chris Gotterup: His T-14 at Quail gives him a little momentum back after a rough ball-striking week at Doral, and heās still top 10 in strokes gained off the tee. Heāll need to hit his long irons a little better, but heās been sneaky good on the greens since Bay Hill.
28. Sepp Straka: Completely folded after an opening 66 at Truist, and he was looking like a great pick following a T-4 at Doral. That said, heās top 5 in par-3 scoring and approach proximity from outside 200 yards. The iron play will show up, itās just a matter of what else does.
29. Hideki Matsuyama: Heās fallen off mightily since his T-12 at the Masters, but Matsuyama typically finds a way when you least expect it. Heās so good with the long irons and on par-3s, that this could be one of those weeks. I just wish he didnāt beat only one guy at Truist because I initially had him as high as seventh.
30. Akshay Bhatia: Still has no top-10s since winning API, and the driving has been a struggle. Add in that the Tourās third-ranked putter was 49th in strokes gained putting at Truist, and he should be nowhere near the top 25. But heās one of the best scramblers in the world and the approach play has been top 15 this season. Heāll figure it out this week.
