Ranking the top 15 NFL quarterbacks on rookie contract in 2026

1. Drake Maye

• 2026 cap hit: $10 million
  Maye’s rapid ascent has already placed him among the NFL’s elite young signal-callers. After nearly capturing league MVP honors in just his second season, he proved he can handle both adversity and expectation, including bouncing back from a tough Super Bowl loss. His blend of poise, arm talent, and leadership evokes shades of New England’s past greatness. The Patriots appear to have found their long-term answer under center, and the ceiling remains incredibly high.

2. Caleb Williams

2. Caleb Williams

• 2026 cap hit: $10.8 million
  Williams’ development under Ben Johnson has been nothing short of transformative. Once criticized for overthinking, he evolved into a decisive, clutch performer who delivered multiple signature wins for Chicago. His natural playmaking ability now pairs with improved discipline and command of the offense. Entering 2026, he looks every bit the franchise quarterback worthy of his No. 1 overall selection.

3. Jayden Daniels

3. Jayden Daniels

• 2026 cap hit: $10.3 million
  Daniels’ 2025 season was derailed by injuries, but his upside remains undeniable. When healthy, he’s one of the most electrifying dual-threat quarterbacks in football, capable of carrying an offense with both his arm and legs. The Commanders’ success hinges largely on his availability moving forward. If he stays on the field, he has the talent to justify this lofty ranking.

4. Bo Nix

4. Bo Nix

• 2026 cap hit: $5.1 million
  Nix has quietly solidified himself as Denver’s franchise quarterback after early skepticism. While his sophomore season had its ups and downs, his late-season surge showcased his ability to lead a winning team. His command of the offense and resilience under pressure have stood out. If he builds on that momentum, a major payday could be on the horizon.

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5. C.J. Stroud

5. C.J. Stroud

• 2026 cap hit: $11.5 million
  Stroud continues to validate his reputation as one of the most polished young quarterbacks in the league. His accuracy, timing, and pocket presence make him a steady force for Houston’s offense. Even amid evolving team dynamics, he remains the focal point of their success. With continued growth, he could push even higher on future rankings.

6. Cam Ward

6. Cam Ward

• 2026 cap hit: $11.1 million
  Ward exceeded expectations as a rookie, stepping into a challenging situation in Tennessee and delivering solid performances. Despite limited weapons around him, he maximized the offense’s potential and avoided costly mistakes. His weekly flashes of brilliance suggest a player capable of much more. With better support, his trajectory could rise quickly.

7. Bryce Young

Bryce Young

• 2026 cap hit: $12.1 million
  Young’s career has been defined by inconsistency, alternating between brilliance and frustration. At his best, he’s a dynamic passer capable of explosive production, but sustaining that level remains the challenge. Carolina is still searching for stability, both around him and within his play. The 2026 season feels pivotal in determining his long-term future.

8. Jaxson Dart

8. Jaxson Dart

• 2026 cap hit: $3.9 million
  Dart brings an exciting, fearless style that energizes the Giants’ offense. His willingness to push the ball downfield and take risks makes him one of the league’s most entertaining young quarterbacks. However, durability and decision-making have occasionally held him back. If he can stay healthy and refine his game, his upside is significant.

9. Tyler Shough

9. Tyler Shough

• 2026 cap hit: $2.5 million
  Shough quietly impressed during his rookie campaign, showing composure and adaptability in New Orleans. His steady improvement throughout the season hinted at a quarterback capable of long-term success. With a creative offensive mind guiding him, his development will be fascinating to watch. He may not be flashy, but he’s increasingly effective.

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10. Fernando Mendoza

10. Fernando Mendoza

• Projected 2026 cap number: $10.6 million
  Mendoza enters the league with immense expectations after a decorated college career. His clutch performances and championship pedigree suggest a player built for big moments. With a veteran presence easing his transition, he won’t be rushed into the spotlight. Still, his talent alone makes him one of the most intriguing rookies to monitor.

11. Michael Penix Jr.

11. Michael Penix Jr.

• 2026 cap number: $6.2 million
  Penix’s career has been shaped by flashes of brilliance and unfortunate injuries. Before his latest setback, he showed promising signs as Atlanta’s starter, mixing big plays with occasional inconsistency. Health will be the defining factor in his development. If he can stay on the field, his arm talent gives him a chance to thrive.

12. Aidan O’Connell

12. Aidan O’Connell

• 2026 cap number: $3.8 million
  O’Connell has carved out a valuable role as a reliable backup with starting experience. His understanding of the game and ability to manage an offense make him a trusted option in critical moments. While he may not possess elite traits, his consistency keeps him relevant. Teams value quarterbacks who can stabilize situations, and he fits that mold.

13. J.J. McCarthy

13. J.J. McCarthy

• 2026 cap number: $6 million
  McCarthy remains something of an enigma at this stage of his career. His flashes of high-level play are balanced by a lack of sustained production. Minnesota’s quick pivot to a veteran quarterback underscores lingering questions about his readiness. Still, his natural talent keeps the door open for a potential breakout.

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14. Shedeur Sanders

14. Shedeur Sanders

• 2026 cap number: $1.1 million
  Sanders showed flashes during his rookie season but has yet to firmly establish himself. With a crowded quarterback room in Cleveland, his development may come outside the spotlight. His skill set suggests he can grow into a capable starter or high-end backup. For now, he remains a developmental prospect with intrigue.

15. Ty Simpson

15. Ty Simpson

• Projected 2026 cap number: $4.7 million
  Simpson enters a favorable situation in Los Angeles, where he can develop behind an established veteran. The lack of immediate pressure should allow him to refine his mechanics and understanding of the game. While questions remain about his draft value, his environment is ideal for growth. Patience will be key in evaluating his long-term potential.

Conclusion

Conclusion

Ultimately, the success of these quarterbacks will be measured not just by individual statistics, but by how far they can take their teams when it matters most. Some are already knocking on the door of greatness, while others are still working to turn potential into production. As the 2026 season unfolds, this group will play a defining role in shaping the NFL’s future landscape.