The Raptors face the Cavaliers in the NBA Playoffs on April 18, with computer projections highlighting key player prop bets. Immanuel Quickley is a standout in the predictions for this matchup.
Immanuel Quickley is projected to beat this line by over three full points, good for a +27% EV edge.
"The matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers is a strong one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 2nd-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (41.4%)."
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Immanuel Quickley Over 4.5 assists (+122)
Projection: 5.1 assists
With a nearly +21% EV edge, this Quickley prop is a four-star play.
"The Toronto Raptors will likely see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 10th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Cavaliers)."
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Brandon Ingram Under 21.5 points (-120)
Projection: 19.9 points
Our computer is bullish on Quickley but bearish on Brandon Ingram, expecting him to fall 1.6 points shy of today's betting line.
"This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 3.9 three attempts per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, labeling this as a difficult matchup."
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Sam Merrill has cleared this line in seven of his last 10 games, and our system believes home court will help him reward Over bettors again.
"As it relates to scoring, the Cleveland Cavaliers's stellar 121.9 points per game with the home court advantage measures as the 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 25 games."
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Our computer believes Donovan Mitchell won't have an easy time of things from 3-point land, which will lead to him falling short of his scoring prop today.
"The matchup vs. Toronto is a hard one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Raptors are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have averaged the 2nd-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.3)."
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Evan Mobley Over 16.5 points (-115)
Projection: 18 points
Evan Mobley has gone Over this line in 14 of his last 19. Our system is calling for 18 points from the Cleveland big man, good for a +14.1% EV edge.
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