Raptors vs Cavs picks and predictions for Game 3: Trade NBA Playoffs on Polymarket

Raptors vs Cavs picks and predictions for Game 3

The prediction markets currently favor the visiting Cavaliers, giving them a 59% chance to secure the victory. Despite having home court advantage, the Raptors enter this matchup as the statistical underdogs with a 42% win probability. This 17% probability gap suggests the market has solid confidence in Cleveland and their ability to overcome a hostile postseason crowd to take control of this critical series.

Team stats comparison & matchup analysis

Through the first two games of this postseason series, the Cavaliers have established a clear offensive advantage, averaging a robust 120.5 points per game on 54% shooting from the field and 40% from beyond the arc. The Raptors are trailing in overall production at 51% shooting, though they are moving the ball more effectively, dishing out 26 assists per game to begin this series.

The most glaring mismatch so far is ball security. The defensive pressure from the Cavaliers has been relentless, generating 22 steals through the first two contests and forcing Toronto into 19.5 turnovers per game. Cleveland is maximizing these mistakes, converting them into 22 points off turnovers on average.

Key matchups will dictate the flow at Scotiabank Arena. Donovan Mitchell and James Harden look to maintain their perimeter dominance against RJ Barrett and Gradey Dick. In the frontcourt, Scottie Barnes and Brandon Ingram must use their versatility to challenge Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen inside, where both teams are intensely contesting the paint. The Cavaliers are averaging 52 paint points to 50 for the Raptors.

While the starting lineup for Cleveland has largely dictated the offensive tempo, the second unit for Toronto has been a major bright spot, supplying 37.5 bench points per game to keep the series highly competitive. To shift the momentum and protect their home court, the Raptors must clean up their turnovers and find a way to navigate that stifling defensive backcourt.

Raptors vs Cavs injury report

As both teams prepare for this crucial postseason clash, health remains a key factor. Here are the active injury updates:

• Immanuel Quickley, PG (Raptors): Hamstring, Day-To-Day. Quickley was forced to miss the previous matchup on April 20 against Cleveland due to a hamstring issue.
• Thomas Bryant, C (Cavaliers): Calf, Day-To-Day. Bryant was sidelined during the April 20 contest against Toronto with a calf injury.

Injury Impact Analysis

For Toronto, the day-to-day status of Immanuel Quickley is a major storyline. As a key guard in the Toronto rotation, his offensive playmaking and perimeter scoring are vital to the backcourt attack. If he remains sidelined, the Raptors will lose a critical ball handler, forcing the rest of the starting unit to shoulder the offensive load against relentless defensive pressure.

Meanwhile, Cleveland is dealing with frontcourt depth concerns due to the calf injury for Thomas Bryant. While the starting lineup remains intact, being without Bryant limits their rotation at the center position. His potential absence forces the Cavaliers to rely even more heavily on their starting big men to contest the paint and maintain their rebounding efforts throughout a grinding playoff matchup.

Cavs vs Raptors final prediction for Game 3

Despite the hostile environment expected at Scotiabank Arena, the Cavaliers possess too much sheer offensive firepower and defensive disruption for the Raptors to overcome in this postseason clash.

That star trio in Cleveland is currently operating at peak efficiency. Donovan Mitchell has been nearly unstoppable, pouring in 31 points per game on 55.8% shooting from the field to begin these Playoffs. James Harden perfectly complements him by orchestrating the offense, while also wrecking the defensie game plan for Toronto. Down low, Evan Mobley has been automatic, contributing 21 points and 7.5 rebounds per game on an eye-popping 77.3% shooting rate.

For the Raptors to pull off the upset, they need flawless execution. RJ Barrett, and Scottie Barnes. However, they cannot afford another quiet night from Brandon Ingram, who is struggling to find his rhythm and averaging just 12 points on a chilly 33.3% from the floor through his first two postseason outings in this campaign. Additionally, the uncertainty surrounding Immanuel Quickley leaves the Raptors highly vulnerable to relentless backcourt pressure.

Ultimately, the ability of the Cavaliers to force turnovers, spearheaded by the active hands of Harden, and translate them into high percentage looks for Mitchell and Mobley gives them a distinct edge. While ball movement and transition play from the Raptors will keep things competitive early, expect seasoned execution from Cleveland to wear them down in the second half to take command of the series.

Predicted Final Score: Cavaliers 118, Raptors 108.