Selection Sunday softball: Where could Texas State land in NCAA tournament bracket?

Texas State softball's run in the Sun Belt tournament came to an end Saturday, as it fell to South Alabama 3-2 in the finals. Without one of the 31 automatic bids into the NCAA tournament, the Bobcats will watch Sunday, anxiously waiting to hear their name called for a regional.

It wasn't Texas State's (38-20, 16-8 in conference) best regular season, as it finished third in the Sun Belt. But coach Ricci Woodard scheduled tough non-conference opponents for the Bobcats to face, and her belief paid off. Wins over Texas A&M, Texas Tech and Clemson have bolstered Texas State's resume, which should be enough to earn them a spot in a regional.

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The 2026 NCAA DI softball selection show will begin at 6 p.m. CT. Here are the Bobcats' odds to make the tournament.

Will Texas State make the NCAA tournament?

Texas State is ranked 31st in RPI, which is calculated using a team's winning percentage, its opponent's winning percentage and its opponent's opponents' winning percentage. Considering Texas State's ranking and its second-place finish in the Sun Belt tournament, it'll likely earn one of the 33 available at-large bids.

So, where could the Bobcats end up? In 2023, Texas State (35-25-1) ended up in the Austin regional hosted by No. 13 Texas. As the third seed, Texas A&M eliminated them in the regional 4-2. The Bobcats (39-14) again landed the Austin regional in 2021, hosted by No. 12 Texas.