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The Timberwolves face the Spurs in Game 4 of the Western Conference Semifinals at 7:30 PM ET. The Spurs lead the series after a Game 3 win, with Victor Wembanyama showcasing impressive stats.

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The stakes are massive as the Timberwolves host the Spurs at Target Center for Game 4 of the Western Conference Semifinals. Scheduled for a 7:30 PM ET tip-off and broadcast nationally on NBC and Peacock, this postseason clash is a pivotal turning point. Before the action begins, follow along with this expert breakdown for the best Spurs vs Timberwolves props for Game 4.
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Representing the Northwest and Southwest divisions, these foes have delivered an intense playoff battle. In Game 3, San Antonio secured a 115-108 victory, fueled by the elite play of Victor Wembanyama. The superstar big man has been a two-way force through the first three games, racking up 69 points, 45 rebounds, and 19 blocks.
Minnesota continues to lean heavily on star guard , who tallied 32 points in the recent defeat. A season-ending Achilles injury to has thinned out the backcourt rotation, leaving Edwards with a massive workload. The defining storyline heading into this matchup is whether Minnesota can adjust to the overwhelming interior dominance of Wembanyama or if San Antonio will continue to dictate the paint.
Game 4 starts at 7:30 PM ET.
The Spurs won Game 3 with a score of 115-108.
Victor Wembanyama has recorded 69 points, 45 rebounds, and 19 blocks in the playoffs.
The game will be broadcast nationally on NBC and Peacock.

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According to the latest data-driven models, San Antonio enters Game 4 as the clear frontrunner with a 63% win probability. Despite playing on their home floor, Minnesota faces an uphill battle with just a 37% chance of securing a victory. The numbers suggest strong confidence in the Spurs maintaining their momentum on the road.
Through three games of this Western Conference Semifinal, San Antonio has dictated the overall pace. The Spurs are coming off a 115-108 victory in Game 3, riding high after a strong offensive showing led by a 39-point explosion from Wembanyama. Minnesota suffered a tough defeat on their home floor despite a balanced effort and a team-high 32 points from Edwards.
Statistically, the Spurs have established a clear advantage in this series. They are averaging 116.7 points per game compared to 102.3 for the Timberwolves. A glaring mismatch has emerged inside the paint and in transition. San Antonio is racking up 54.0 points in the paint and 23 fast-break points per contest, dwarfing the respective marks of 42 and 7.33 for Minnesota. Defensively, the immense length of the Spurs is heavily impacting shooters. Anchored by Wembanyama, San Antonio is recording an imposing 10 blocks and 8.67 steals per game, easily outpacing the 4.67 blocks and 5.67 steals from Minnesota.
The key matchup within Game 4 revolves around interior control. The frontcourt for the Timberwolves must find a way to contain rim protection and disrupt scoring efficiency, as the Spurs are shooting 47% from the field to 41% for Minnesota. On the other side, Edwards needs more consistent support to overcome a tough defense. While the Timberwolves hold a slight edge on the offensive glass by pulling down 13 offensive rebounds per game to 11.33 for San Antonio, they must capitalize on those second-chance opportunities and reduce their 14.67 turnovers per game if they hope to tie the series.
Timberwolves:
Spurs:
The season-ending Achilles injury to DiVincenzo deals a severe blow to backcourt depth and perimeter shooting for Minnesota during this critical postseason run. Without him, the Timberwolves must rely heavily on their remaining guards to provide secondary scoring and support Edwards.
Wembanyama has been virtually unstoppable in this series, totaling 69 points across three games for a 23 PPG average. He erupted for 39 points in Game 3 and is shooting 50% from the field against a Minnesota defense that has no reliable answer for his length at the rim. His playoff-wide average of 21.9 PPG further supports this number, and with the Spurs generating 54 points in the paint per game, expect Wemby to continue feasting inside.
Edwards is shouldering an enormous offensive load with DiVincenzo out for the season. He's averaging 20.7 PPG in this series but flashed his ceiling with a 32-point outburst in Game 3. Facing elimination pressure on home court, expect the Timberwolves to funnel even more usage his way. His 28.33% usage rate leads the team in this series, and with Minnesota's backcourt depth severely depleted, Edwards will need to carry a heavy scoring burden once again to keep his team in the fight.
Wembanyama has been an absolute force on the glass in this series, pulling down 45 total rebounds across three games for a dominant 15. RPG average, well above the 13.5 line. He's grabbed 7 offensive and 38 defensive rebounds, consistently controlling both ends of the floor. While his playoff-wide average sits at 11.4 RPG over seven games, his production against Minnesota has been significantly elevated due to the matchup dynamics. The Timberwolves have struggled to box out his 7'4" frame, and with San Antonio generating 54 points in the paint per game, there are ample rebounding opportunities created by missed shots around the rim. Expect Wembanyama to continue dominating the boards in Game 4 as Minnesota remains without a reliable answer for his length and positioning.
The Spurs enter Game 4 riding a massive wave of momentum following their 115-108 victory in Game 3. Highlighted by a highly efficient offensive showing, San Antonio has consistently executed its game plan. Wembanyama completely took over with a 39-point top performance in that recent win, emphasizing just how difficult it has been for Minnesota to defend the interior.
The Timberwolves are searching for answers after their recent home defeat. While Minnesota put together a balanced performance in Game 3, they are struggling to match the overall firepower of their opponent. Edwards delivered an impressive 32 points as the team's top performer, but the season-ending Achilles injury to DiVincenzo has severely thinned the backcourt rotation. This leaves Edwards with an overwhelming offensive burden.
Statistically, the Spurs simply have too many advantages right now. San Antonio is averaging an imposing 116.7 points per game in this series, compared to 102.3 for the Timberwolves. The Spurs are relentlessly attacking the basket to generate 54 points in the paint per contest while using their massive length to average 10 blocks defensively. Minnesota has not found a reliable counter strategy to navigate this interior dominance. While San Antonio is missing Jones Garcia to an ankle injury, his absence has not derailed their postseason rotation the way the injury to DiVincenzo has impacted spacing and depth for Minnesota.
Given their recent form, offensive efficiency, and ability to completely shut down the paint, the Spurs are primed to take another win on the road. Expect Wembanyama to once again control the glass and protect the rim, forcing Minnesota into tough perimeter shots.
Prediction: Spurs 114, Timberwolves 103