The battle for sixth... and why teams might need to lose on final day

With Aston Villa six points clear in fifth spot, sixth appears to be the highest any of the other teams could finish.

At the moment Bournemouth are on 52 points, one point clear of Brentford, who are in turn one point above Brighton.

Bournemouth and Brentford have never played in any European competition before, while Brighton's only Uefa campaign was in the 2023-24 Europa League.

Chelsea are four points behind the Cherries, but have a game in hand against Nottingham Forest on Monday.

Fulham are level on points with Chelsea. Everton - who have a game in hand against Manchester City - and Sunderland are on 47 points, so just about in the race.

Newcastle, Crystal Palace and Leeds could still mathematically - but not realistically - qualify for the Champions League.

What about seventh?

Whoever just misses out on sixth will have the compensation of securing at least a Conference League spot, which as it stands goes to seventh place.

All the Villa/fifth-place shenanigans do not affect that - because if England gets that extra Champions League spot they lose a Europa League place.

But, and of course there's a but, eighth place could yet qualify for the Conference League.

If Manchester City win the FA Cup, or if Chelsea win it and finish in the top seven - they are currently ninth - then the European spots will change.

In that scenario, seventh place would get into the Europa League and eighth would be a Conference League spot.

So what was that about teams wanting to lose?

It is unlikely to come to fruition but there is a chance the team in sixth place might need to lose on the final day to earn a Champions League spot.

Brighton are at home to Manchester United - and Brentford are at Liverpool.

Before Sunday's match between the Red Devils and Liverpool, third-placed United were three points ahead of Arne Slot's side, who were above Villa in fifth on goal difference.

If Brighton or Brentford were confident of holding on to sixth spot even with a loss - given they could be relying on their opponents to win and keep Villa in fifth place as explained above - that could get them into the Champions League instead of the Europa League.

How many English teams could qualify still?

As things stand eight English teams will qualify for Europe - but it could be as high as 10.

If Nottingham Forest win the Europa League and Crystal Palace win the Conference League (and don't finish in the top seven or eight), then half the league will be in Europe next season.