The NBA draft lottery is almost here. Here are the odds for each team

With the 2026 NBA draft lottery on the horizon, 14 teams will gather in Chicago to hear if they will get the No. 1 overall pick in this class.

Pick Nos. 15-60 are already finalized but the lottery order is yet to be determined. With such a top-heavy class, there are plenty of reasons for fans to get excited even if their favorite team is not called at No. 1 overall.

This year has notable prospects including AJ Dybantsa, Cameron Boozer, Darryn Peterson and Caleb Wilson. So even a top-four pick could change a franchise.

MORE: AI predicts the 2026 NBA Draft; Who are the top picks?

While the future of how the NBA draft lottery will work is currently undetermined based on concerns about tanking, the odds for this year are set in stone. Here is what you need to know, including trade details, for each team picking in the lottery.

The NBA playoffs bring out more than high‑stakes basketball, as stars showcase their sneaker style on the league’s biggest stage.

See the coolest kicks worn during the 2026 NBA Playoffs, where footwear becomes part of the spotlight.

Above, The shoes of Jalen Brunson #11 of the New York Knicks are seen during the first half of Game One of the Eastern Conference First Round NBA Playoffs against the Atlanta Hawks at Madison Square Garden on April 18, 2026, in New York City.

The shoes of Karl-Anthony Towns #32 of the New York Knicks are seen before Game One of the Eastern Conference First Round NBA Playoffs against the Atlanta Hawks at Madison Square Garden on April 18, 2026, in New York City.

The shoes of Josh Hart #3 of the New York Knicks are seen during the third quarter of Game One of the Eastern Conference First Round NBA Playoffs at Madison Square Garden on April 18, 2026, in New York City.

Shoes worn by Nikola Jokic #15 of the Denver Nuggets against the Minnesota Timberwolves in the first quarter during Game One of the First Round of the NBA Western Conference Playoffs at Ball Arena on April 18, 2026, in Denver, Colorado.

The Nike Lebron XXIII shoes worn by Los Angeles Lakers forward LeBron James (23) against the Houston Rockets in the first half during game one of the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs, at Crypto.com Arena.

Shoes worn by Anthony Edwards #5 of the Minnesota Timberwolves against the Denver Nuggets in the first quarter during Game One of the First Round of the NBA Western Conference Playoffs at Ball Arena on April 18, 2026, in Denver, Colorado.

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - APRIL 18: The shoes of Karl-Anthony Towns #32 of the New York Knicks are seen during the first half of Game One of the Eastern Conference First Round NBA Playoffs against the Atlanta Hawks at Madison Square Garden on April 18, 2026 in New York City. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)

The shoes of Karl-Anthony Towns #32 of the New York Knicks are seen during the third quarter of Game One of the Eastern Conference First Round NBA Playoffs at Madison Square Garden on April 18, 2026, in New York City.

The shoes of Jonathan Kuminga #0 of the Atlanta Hawks are seen during the third quarter of Game One of the Eastern Conference First Round NBA Playoffs against the Atlanta Hawks at Madison Square Garden on April 18, 2026, in New York City.

1 / 9

Coolest kicks of the NBA playoffs as stars show their sneaker style

The NBA playoffs bring out more than high‑stakes basketball, as stars showcase their sneaker style on the league’s biggest stage.

See the coolest kicks worn during the 2026 NBA Playoffs, where footwear becomes part of the spotlight.

Above, The shoes of Jalen Brunson #11 of the New York Knicks are seen during the first half of Game One of the Eastern Conference First Round NBA Playoffs against the Atlanta Hawks at Madison Square Garden on April 18, 2026, in New York City.

1 / 9

Coolest kicks of the NBA playoffs as stars show their sneaker style

The NBA playoffs bring out more than high‑stakes basketball, as stars showcase their sneaker style on the league’s biggest stage.

See the coolest kicks worn during the 2026 NBA Playoffs, where footwear becomes part of the spotlight.

Above, The shoes of Jalen Brunson #11 of the New York Knicks are seen during the first half of Game One of the Eastern Conference First Round NBA Playoffs against the Atlanta Hawks at Madison Square Garden on April 18, 2026, in New York City.

2 / 9

Coolest kicks of the NBA playoffs as stars show their sneaker style

The shoes of Karl-Anthony Towns #32 of the New York Knicks are seen before Game One of the Eastern Conference First Round NBA Playoffs against the Atlanta Hawks at Madison Square Garden on April 18, 2026, in New York City.

3 / 9

Coolest kicks of the NBA playoffs as stars show their sneaker style

The shoes of Josh Hart #3 of the New York Knicks are seen during the third quarter of Game One of the Eastern Conference First Round NBA Playoffs at Madison Square Garden on April 18, 2026, in New York City.

4 / 9

Coolest kicks of the NBA playoffs as stars show their sneaker style

Shoes worn by Nikola Jokic #15 of the Denver Nuggets against the Minnesota Timberwolves in the first quarter during Game One of the First Round of the NBA Western Conference Playoffs at Ball Arena on April 18, 2026, in Denver, Colorado.

5 / 9

Coolest kicks of the NBA playoffs as stars show their sneaker style

The Nike Lebron XXIII shoes worn by Los Angeles Lakers forward LeBron James (23) against the Houston Rockets in the first half during game one of the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs, at Crypto.com Arena.

6 / 9

Coolest kicks of the NBA playoffs as stars show their sneaker style

Shoes worn by Anthony Edwards #5 of the Minnesota Timberwolves against the Denver Nuggets in the first quarter during Game One of the First Round of the NBA Western Conference Playoffs at Ball Arena on April 18, 2026, in Denver, Colorado.

7 / 9

Coolest kicks of the NBA playoffs as stars show their sneaker style

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - APRIL 18: The shoes of Karl-Anthony Towns #32 of the New York Knicks are seen during the first half of Game One of the Eastern Conference First Round NBA Playoffs against the Atlanta Hawks at Madison Square Garden on April 18, 2026 in New York City. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)

8 / 9

Coolest kicks of the NBA playoffs as stars show their sneaker style

The shoes of Karl-Anthony Towns #32 of the New York Knicks are seen during the third quarter of Game One of the Eastern Conference First Round NBA Playoffs at Madison Square Garden on April 18, 2026, in New York City.

9 / 9

Coolest kicks of the NBA playoffs as stars show their sneaker style

The shoes of Jonathan Kuminga #0 of the Atlanta Hawks are seen during the third quarter of Game One of the Eastern Conference First Round NBA Playoffs against the Atlanta Hawks at Madison Square Garden on April 18, 2026, in New York City.

1. Washington Wizards

A general view of the Washington Wizards logo on a court mop before the game between the Washington Wizards and the Chicago Bulls at Capital One Arena on October 21, 2022 in Washington, DC.

Odds to land No. 1 pick: 14.0%

Odds to land top-4 pick: 52.1%

Most likely draft range: No. 3–5

Worst-case drop: No. 7

Even with the best odds in the lottery, Washington is still more likely to pick No. 5 (47.9%) than anywhere in the top four.

2. Indiana Pacers

Detailed view of the Indiana Pacers logo during the game against New Orleans Pelicans during the first half at Smoothie King Center.

Odds to land No. 1 pick: 14.0%

Odds to land top-4 pick: 52.1%

Most likely draft range: No. 4-6

Worst-case drop: No. 6

This pick is traded to the Clippers if it falls at No. 5 (27.8%) or No. 6 (20.1%), giving the Pacers a 47.9% chance of losing it.

3. Brooklyn Nets

The Brooklyn Nets NBA Cup logo at center court before tip-off against the Orlando Magic at Barclays Center.

Odds to land No. 1 pick: 14.0%

Odds to land top-4 pick: 52.1%

Most likely draft range: No. 4-6

Worst-case drop: No. 7

The Nets have better-than-even odds at a top-four pick (52.1%) but their most likely individual outcome (26.0%) is still No. 6 overall.

4. Utah Jazz

Utah Jazz logo is seen on a uniform during a time out against the New Orleans Pelicans during the first half at Smoothie King Center.

Odds to land No. 1 pick: 11.5%

Odds to land top-4 pick: 45.1%

Most likely draft range: No. 5-7

Worst-case drop: No. 8

Utah has a 45.1% chance to land a top-four pick but its most likely outcome (27.1%) is No. 6 overall.

5. Sacramento Kings

Detailed view of the Sacramento Kings logo during the game against the New Orleans Pelicans in the first half at Smoothie King Center.

Odds to land No. 1 pick: 11.5%

Odds to land top-4 pick: 45.1%

Most likely draft range: No. 5-8

Worst-case drop: No. 9

Sacramento’s odds are solid for a top-four pick but the most likely outcome (25.5%) is No. 7 overall.

6. Memphis Grizzlies

Odds to land No. 1 pick: 9.0%

Odds to land top-4 pick: 37.2%

Most likely draft range: No. 6-8

Worst-case drop: No. 10

Memphis cannot land at No. 5 or anywhere from No. 11 through No. 14.

7. Atlanta Hawks (via New Orleans Pelicans)

Odds to land No. 1 pick: 6.8%

Odds to land top-4 pick: 29.3%

Most likely draft range: No. 7-9

Worst-case drop: No. 11

This pick was traded to the Hawks from the Pelicans in the 2025 NBA Draft. It cannot land at No. 5 or No. 6. If it lands worse than Milwaukee’s pick, the Hawks will swap for the Bucks’ selection instead.

8. Dallas Mavericks

Odds to land No. 1 pick: 6.7%

Odds to land top-4 pick: 28.9%

Most likely draft range: No. 8-10

Worst-case drop: No. 12

Dallas cannot land at No. 5, No. 6 or No. 7 overall.

9. Chicago Bulls

Odds to land No. 1 pick: 4.5%

Odds to land top-4 pick: 20.2%

Most likely draft range: No. 9-11

Worst-case drop: No. 13

Chicago cannot land at No. 5 through No. 8 and has a nearly zero chance of falling to No. 12 through No. 14.

10. Milwaukee Bucks

Odds to land No. 1 pick: 3.9%

Odds to land top-4 pick: 13.9%

Most likely draft range: No. 10-12

Worst-case drop: No. 14

If the Bucks have a better pick than the Pelicans, which would only happen if Milwaukee jumps into the top four or New Orleans slides to No. 10, the pick is traded to the Hawks. Milwaukee would then receive the Pelicans’ selection. There is an 11.8% chance of that happening. Milwaukee cannot land at No. 5 through No. 8. and holds a nearly 0% chance at No. 13 or No. 14.

11. Golden State Warriors

Odds to land No. 1 pick: 2.0%

Odds to land top-4 pick: 9.4%

Most likely draft range: No. 11-13

Worst-case drop: No. 14

Golden State cannot land at No. 5 through No. 10 with less than 1.0% chance at No. 13 or No. 14.

12. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Los Angeles Clippers)

Odds to land No. 1 pick: 1.5%

Odds to land top-4 pick: 7.2%

Most likely draft range: No. 12-14

Worst-case drop: No. 14

Oklahoma City cannot land at No. 5 through No. 11 with a nearly 0% chance at No. 14.

13. Miami Heat

Odds to land No. 1 pick: 1.0%

Odds to land top-4 pick: 4.7%

Most likely draft range: No. 12-14

Worst-case drop: No. 14

Miami cannot land at No. 5 through No. 12.

14. Charlotte Hornets

Odds to land No. 1 pick: 0.5%

Odds to land top-4 pick: 2.4%

Most likely draft range: No. 12-14

Worst-case drop: No. 14

Charlotte cannot land No. 5 through No. 13. with a 97.6% chance at No. 14, the highest probability of any single outcome in the lottery.

When is the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery?

The 2026 NBA Draft Lottery is Sunday, May 10, 2026, at 3 p.m. ET on ABC in Chicago at McCormick Place.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: NBA draft lottery odds: Complete breakdown for each team