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Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young prediction, pick for UFC Winnipeg
TL;DR
Thiago Moises faces Gauge Young at UFC Fight Night 273 in Winnipeg. The matchup is part of the main card on Saturday at Canada Life Centre.
Key points
- Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young at UFC Fight Night 273
- Fight location: Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
- Moises has a recent record of 4-1
- UFC main card record for Moises: 33-17
Mentioned in this story
Canada Life CentreWinnipeg
Thiago MoisesGauge YoungUFC Fight Night 273
Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young prediction, pick for UFC Winnipeg
Thiago Moises and Gauge Young meet on the UFC Fight Night 273 main card Saturday at Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg. Check out this quick breakdown of the matchup from MMA Junkie analyst Dan Tom.
- Last event's results: 4-1
- UFC main cards, 2026: 33-17
Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young UFC Winnipeg preview
Moises (19-9 MMA, 8-7 UFC) has alternated wins and losses since January 2023, going 3-3 in that span. He's coming off a first-round knockout loss to Jared Gordon in May 2025. After losing his UFC debut, Young (10-3 MMA, 1-1 UFC) picked up his first promotional win last August by unanimous decision.
Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young UFC Winnipeg expert pick, prediction
Filling out the main card is a lightweight bout between Thiago Moises and Gauge Young.
Even though both men have traded wins and losses as of late, this is an undeniable step up for Young.
Young, who made my prospects to watch list circa 2024, is a fighter I've been high on and like very much. However, after seeing more of him at a higher level, part of me worries that this could be the classic case of being pushed to the UFC too soon.
Moises is a fighter who I felt has been traditionally overrated and have subsequently looked to fade him way more than I look to back him, but these are the fights he traditionally tends to win.
Young is at the age where I expect to see fight-to-fight improvements, I'm just not sure how confident I can be in the American outside of the (albeit real) possibility of him exposing Moises' suspect chin. And if this does end up being the distance striking battle that I'm forecasting, I think that Moises' leg kicks and counters will be able to keep a cap on things, as I see this matchup looking a lot like his fight with Alex Hernandez.
The pick is Moises to edge out a competitive but clear decision win on the scorecards.
Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young UFC Winnipeg odds
The oddsmakers and the public slightly favor the American fighter, listing Young -150 and Moises +122 via FanDuel.
Q&A
What is the date and location of the Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young fight?
The fight takes place on Saturday at Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg during UFC Fight Night 273.
What were the last event results for Thiago Moises?
Thiago Moises has a recent record of 4 wins and 1 loss in his last event.
How have Thiago Moises and Gauge Young performed in UFC main cards?
Thiago Moises has a UFC main card record of 33 wins and 17 losses as of 2026.
