Timberwolves vs Spurs best props for Game 2: Trade NBA Playoffs on Polymarket

Heading into this crucial Game 2 matchup, the primary storyline centers on whether San Antonio can even the series on its home floor or if Minnesota will take a commanding 2-0 advantage. The Timberwolves are closely monitoring the health of star guard Anthony Edwards, while San Antonio hopes to leverage its distinct size advantage to tie things up.

Timberwolves vs Spurs best props for Game 2

The data-driven probabilities heavily favor the Spurs in Game 2, giving them a dominant 78% chance to secure the victory on their home floor. Despite the Timberwolves holding the series lead, the numbers indicate a high level of confidence in San Antonio bouncing back to even the score. This leaves Minnesota with just a 23% probability of overcoming the clear favorites and stealing another win on the road.

Timberwolves vs Spurs stats & key matchups

In Game 1, Minnesota secured a 104-102 victory behind a balanced performance, with Julius Randle leading the charge by dropping 21 points to build early series momentum. San Antonio suffered a narrow defeat despite a strong effort of its own, paced by Dylan Harper's team-high 18 points.

So, how do these two teams stack up against each other statistically as the series progresses? In Game 1, Minnesota showed a distinct offensive edge on the perimeter and in taking care of the basketball. The Timberwolves shot an efficient 39% from three-point range, dwarfing San Antonio's sluggish 28% mark from deep. Minnesota also played a cleaner brand of basketball in Game 1, comitting fewer turnovers (10) than the Spurs (13).

The defining key matchup lies in the frontcourt clash of styles. San Antonio commands the interior scoring, San Antonio scored 58 points in the paint in Game 1, compared to Minnesota's 52. With Victor Wembanyama locking down the paint defensively, the Timberwolves will need to rely on precise ball movement to counter San Antonio's elite size and transition speed.

Timberwolves vs Spurs injury report

Minnesota Timberwolves

• Anthony Edwards (G): Knee, Day-to-Day (Questionable)
• Ayo Dosunmu (G): Calf, Day-to-Day (Questionable)
• Donte DiVincenzo (G): Leg, Out for Season

San Antonio Spurs

• Carter Bryant (F): Foot, Day-to-Day (Questionable)
• David Jones Garcia (G): Ankle, Out for Season

The potential absence of star guard Anthony Edwards looms large for Minnesota, as his knee issue could significantly hinder the team's offensive firepower. The backcourt depth for the Timberwolves is already severely depleted, with Donte DiVincenzo missing the remainder of the postseason due to a torn Achilles and Ayo Dosunmu also questionable. For the Spurs, Carter Bryant's uncertain status could test their frontcourt rotation, while David Jones Garcia remains sidelined for the year.

Best props for Timberwolves vs Spurs in Game 2

Victor Wembanyama Over 11.5 Rebounds (53% on Polymarket)

Wembanyama is a dominant force on the glass, and Game 1 showcased his rebounding prowess with a massive 15-rebound performance (2 offensive, 13 defensive) in 40 minutes of action. For the entire postseason, he's averaging 10 rebounds per game with three double-doubles across five games. Minnesota's offense generates plenty of rebounding opportunities; the Timberwolves attempted 90 field goals in Game 1 and shot just 46%, meaning there were 49 missed shots to contest. With Wembanyama's 7-foot-4 frame, elite positioning, and heavy minutes load at home, expect another monster night on the boards against a Minnesota squad that will continue launching contested two-point attempts into the teeth of San Antonio's interior defense.

Julius Randle Over 17.5 Points (56% on Polymarket)

Randle has been Minnesota's most dependable scorer this postseason, averaging 19.4 points per game and pouring in 21 in Game 1 on 20 field goal attempts. With Edwards questionable and Dosunmu unlikely to suit up, the offensive burden falls squarely on Randle's shoulders. He commanded a massive 29.6% usage rate in the series opener, and that workload should only increase if the Timberwolves' backcourt remains depleted. Randle will get his shots and has the mid-range and post game to produce regardless of San Antonio's elite rim protection.

Stephon Castle Over 16.5 Points (53% on Polymarket)

Castle exploded for 17 points in Game 1 on hyper-efficient 50% shooting (4-of-8 from the field) while drawing a game-high 9 fouls and getting to the free-throw line 8 times. For the postseason, he's averaging 19.3 points per game with a 26.8 percent usage rate — the highest on the Spurs. Playing at home with the crowd behind him, Castle should continue to attack a Minnesota backcourt that is missing key perimeter defenders in DiVincenzo and potentially Edwards and Dosunmu. His ability to create off the dribble and get to the line makes this a strong over play.

Timberwolves vs Spurs prediction for Game 2

In Game 1, the Timberwolves rode a balanced performance to a 104-102 victory, fueled by Julius Randle's standout 21-point effort to take the early series momentum. San Antonio suffered a tough defeat in that close game decided by single digits, despite a balanced performance of its own and Dylan Harper leading the way with 18 points.

Heading into Game 2, the momentum of that thrilling finish technically favors Minnesota, but the underlying matchup dynamics and injury realities point strongly toward a San Antonio rebound. The Timberwolves are dealing with significant backcourt attrition. Donte DiVincenzo is out for the postseason with a torn Achilles, while star Anthony Edwards and key contributor Ayo Dosunmu are both questionable. If Edwards is limited or unavailable, Minnesota will struggle to replicate the 39% efficiency from three-point range that was so critical to its Game 1 success.

The Spurs are primed to exploit their massive size and speed advantages on their home floor. In the series opener, San Antonio generated an impressive 27 fast-break points and dominated the interior with 58 points in the paint and 14 total blocks. If the Spurs can tighten up their perimeter defense and slightly improve upon their sluggish 28% three-point shooting, their sheer physical advantages should overwhelm a banged-up Minnesota squad.

Expect San Antonio to force the tempo, utilize elite rim protection to shut down interior drives, and capitalize on the injury concerns for the Timberwolves. The underlying data gives the Spurs a dominant probability to win at the Frost Bank Center, and they should comfortably secure the victory to tie the series at 1-1.

Prediction: San Antonio Spurs 112, Minnesota Timberwolves 101