UFC 328 features a middleweight title fight between Khamzat Chimaev and Sean Strickland in Newark, N.J. Chimaev is the -520 favorite, while Strickland is at +390, with the main card starting at 9 p.m. ET.
Key points
UFC 328 features Khamzat Chimaev vs. Sean Strickland
UFC heads to Newark, N.J., this week, highlighted by a middleweight title bout between defending champion and unbeaten Khamzat Chimaev and third-ranked Sean Strickland. Chimaev (15-0) is looking to win his 10th fight since joining UFC in July 2020, while Strickland (30-7) is looking to extend his winning streak to two. The main card begins at 9 p.m. ET on Paramount+ from Prudential Center in Newark. The latest UFC 328 odds list Chimaev the -520 favorite (risk $520 to win $100), while Strickland comes back at +390.
The co-main event for UFC 328 is a flyweight title bout between Joshua Van and Tatsuro Taira. With an 18-1 record, Taira is the -155 favorite (risk $155 to win $100) to utilize in UFC bets. The preliminary card features four fights, with four early prelims. Before locking in any UFC 328 picks, make sure you see the UFC 328 predictions and betting advice from Mike McClure's proven computer model.
Paramount+is the only place tostream EVERY UFC numbered event and UFC Fight Night live, at no additional cost. A subscription also gives you access to other sports content, including the UEFA Champions League, college basketball, the NFL and Big Ten on CBS and countless movies and shows. Plans start at just $8.99 per month, so
Q&A
What are the odds for Chimaev vs. Strickland at UFC 328?
Khamzat Chimaev is the -520 favorite, while Sean Strickland is at +390.
When does UFC 328 start and where is it held?
UFC 328 starts at 9 p.m. ET and is held at Prudential Center in Newark, N.J.
Who is the co-main event fighter at UFC 328?
The co-main event features a flyweight title bout between Joshua Van and Tatsuro Taira.
What is Khamzat Chimaev's professional MMA record?
Khamzat Chimaev has an unbeaten professional MMA record of 15-0.
Related Articles
Soccer·Recap
Brighton sweep aside Wolves to boost European hopes
Brighton secures a 3-0 victory over Wolves, enhancing their European qualification chances!
Sky Sports··1 min read
Sports
Milan ultras focus anger on Furlani, but Allegri and Tare could pay instead
Milan ultras are protesting against Furlani, risking Allegri and Tare's positions.
Yahoo Sports··1 min read
Sports
El Sevilla no entiende de retirada ni de rendición
El Sevilla no se rinde y logra una emocionante remontada contra el Espanyol
Marca··1 min read
Sports·Feature
USC legend Pete Carroll returning to sidelines at Polynesian Bowl
USC legend Pete Carroll returns to coach at the Polynesian Bowl against Mack Brown!
Yahoo Sports··1 min read
NFL·Feature
Rob Havenstein reveals a top compliment he and Rams o-line ever got
Rob Havenstein shares a top compliment for the Rams' offensive line.
Yahoo Sports··1 min read
Sports·Feature
Exclusive: How WNBA mascot Ellie the Elephant honored Whitney Houston
Ellie the Elephant pays tribute to Whitney Houston during WNBA halftime show!
McClure's UFC model runs 10,000 simulations for every fight. Each simulation plays out the fight round-by-round, accounting for dynamic win probability that shifts based on fighter attributes, round-by-round finish calculations with KO/submission timing, accumulating damage factors that increase finish likelihood in later rounds and fighter-specific finishing tendencies such as power punchers vs grapplers vs decision fighters.
The model backtested against more than 500 fights from 2023-25 and showed more than 18 units of profit — a 6.1% ROI on UFC betting. It also got off to a hot start for the new era of UFC on Paramount+, hitting both Justin Gaethe to win outright (+195) and the Over in total rounds in the main event at UFC 324.
Now, the model has analyzed Chimaev vs. Strickland from every angle and revealed its top betting picks and best bets. Head to SportsLine to see them.
Chimaev vs. Strickland preview
Chimaev, 32, is No. 3 in the UFC men's pound-for-pound rankings. He has been dominant since turning pro in 2018, winning each of his 15 bouts. He has multiple skills and can win on the feet or on the mat. Chimaev has registered six wins by knockout, six by submission and three by decision. The accomplished fighter has also won multiple honors. Besides earning the UFC middleweight championship, he is a six-time Performance of the Night honoree.
He is a one-time Fight of the Night winner and is the first Chechen-born fighter to win a UFC championship. He is tied with Demetrious Johnson for fourth-most takedowns landed in a UFC title fight. He accomplished that last August when he defeated Dricus du Plessis at UFC 319 for the middleweight crown. He is also an accomplished wrestler, winning three gold medals at the Swedish Nationals in 2015, 2016 and 2018. Check out SportsLine to see the model's picks and analysis.
Strickland, 35, has also had a lot of success. In 37 career matches, he has compiled a 30-7 record. He has 12 wins by knockout, four by submission and 14 by decision. He is a former UFC middleweight champion and is No. 3 in the UFC middleweight rankings. He has competed professionally since 2008, and is also a former middleweight champion of the King of the Cage.
Strickland is a four-time Performance of the Night recipient, as well as a one-time Fight of the Night honoree. He has the most significant strikes landed in middleweight division history with 1,575, and the second-most significant strikes landed in UFC history with 2,307. He was a 2023 President's Choice Performance of the Year nominee, and was ranked as the No. 4 Fighter of the Year by UFC.com in 2023. You can only see the model's UFC picks and analysis at SportsLine.
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland predictions
One of the model's top UFC 328 picks: It is backing Under 2.5 rounds (+3.1% edge) in the lightweight bout of Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon, which returns +157. "My model projects 42% probability that this fight finishes Under 2.5 rounds," McClure said. "With a 53% overall finish rate and an average fight length of 2.10 rounds, the numbers clearly support taking the Under here. The combined submission rate sits at 45%. When this fight hits the mat, there's a real chance someone taps. That grappling threat on both sides supports the Under." See who else to back here.
New to sports trading? Visit ourKalshi promo codereview to see their latest offers and get started.
How to make UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland picks
The model has 12 other picks from bouts on the UFC card. It is also backing multiple underdogs, as well as a UFC best bet that returns +900. You can see who it is only at SportsLine.
Khamzat Chimaev (-520) vs. Sean Strickland (+390)
Joshua Van (+130) vs. Tatsuro Taira (-155)
Alexander Volkov (-130) vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (+110)
Sean Brady (-180) vs. Joaquin Buckley (+150)
King Green (-425) vs. Jeremy Stephens (+330)
