UFL odds, picks: Week 5 best bets from top expert for D.C. vs. Birmingham, St. Louis vs. Orlando and more

Orlando -3 vs. St. Louis

You have to love the scrappy nature of the Battlehawks. They do a great job of just staying in the fight for 60 minutes and consistently finding ways to make game-changing plays. Orlando is the UFL's most balanced team, capable of running the ball and playing fundamentally sound defense. One thing's for sure; the Storm do not beat themselves. This spread feels just about right for a scrappy team versus a more disciplined one. I'm laying the points with Orlando and leaning to Under 45.5 points.

Houston +4.5 vs. Columbus

This game features two unpredictable teams and that makes the matchup intriguing. Columbus is coming off its first win of the season, achieving it by showing much more offensive consistency than it has all season. It really looks like things are starting to come together on that side of the ball. Houston's special teams were a major reason for their upset victory last weekend. I love how Coach Sumlin just consistently took the points, which ultimately gave him the win. Expect a close game between two highly inconsistent teams that'll come down to the wire but I expect Houston to cover and lean to Under 45.5.

Louisville +7.5 vs. Dallas

In a surprise move, the Kings traded QB Jason Bean and will start Chandler Rogers for the rest of the season. To be honest, don't expect much of a drop-off, as Rogers can legitimately play well. What will be interesting to watch is how defensive coordinator Jamie Sharper will dial up the pressure to frustrate red-hot QB Austin Reed in the pocket. What will keep this game close is the unknown nature of how the game plan will change for Rogers, coupled with the Kings' aggressive defense. I'm taking Louisville and the points and leaning Under 47.5 points.