
Five AI chatbots were tasked with predicting the 2026 NFL Draft outcomes. Their predictions are compared to those of human draft experts.
We asked five AI chatbots to predict the 2026 NFL Draft. Here's how it went
AI may have many uses. Predicting the NFL draft may not be one of them.
As the 2026 NFL Draft approaches, draft experts around the internet have tried to predict the outcome of the first round in their own unique mock drafts. Each expert has provided their own spin on the first 32 picks in this year's draft, and most of them have provided analysis while explaining their thought process for those picks.
But what if we pawned off all of that lousy "thinking" and "analysis" to a large language model (LLM) powered by AI? Can the chatbots come up with their own versions of a mock draft that compete with the accuracy and predictive analysis provided by real draft experts?
AI VS. EXPERT: How chatbot picks compare to expert predictions in 2026 NFL mock draft
Over the last month, USA TODAY Sports has consulted with five different AI chatbots, asking each one to come up with its own predictions for the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft. OpenAI's ChatGPT, xAI's Grok, Microsoft Copilot, Meta AI and Google Gemini each put together its own mock draft.
Here is a full roundup of the results of AI mock drafts ahead of the 2026 NFL Draft:
Quarterbacks headline early evaluations for the 2026 NFL Draft as teams begin sorting the best available prospects at the position.
See the college quarterbacks drawing attention as draft boards take shape ahead of the 2026 NFL Draft.
Above, Fernando Mendoza of the Indiana Hoosiers reacts after a touchdown against the Oregon Ducks during the fourth quarter of the 2025 College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 09, 2026, in Atlanta, Georgia.
Ty Simpson of the Alabama Crimson Tide scrambles during the first quarter against the Indiana Hoosiers in the College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at Rose Bowl Stadium on January 01, 2026, in Pasadena, California.
Garrett Nussmeier of the LSU Tigers drops back to pass against the Baylor Bears during the first half in the Kinder's Texas Bowl at NRG Stadium on December 31, 2024, in Houston, Texas.
Cade Klubnik of the Clemson Tigers warms up during the first half of a football game against the South Carolina Gamecocks at Williams-Brice Stadium on November 29, 2025, in Columbia, South Carolina.
Drew Allar of the Penn State Nittany Lions reacts after a touchdown against the UCLA Bruins during the fourth quarter at Rose Bowl Stadium on October 04, 2025, in Pasadena, California.
Miami's Carson Beck throws during the College Football Playoff National Championship college football game at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens on Monday, Jan. 19, 2026.
Arkansas Razorbacks quarterback Taylen Green passes during the third quarter against the Auburn Tigers at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium.
Colorado Buffaloes linebacker LaVonta Bentley #20 tackles North Dakota State Bison quarterback Cole Payton #9 in the first half at Folsom Field.
Luke Altmyer of the Illinois Fighting Illini throws a pass against the Western Illinois Leathernecks during the first half at Memorial Stadium on August 29, 2025, in Champaign, Illinois.
Diego Pavia of the Vanderbilt Commodores makes adjustments prior to the snap during the second quarter of the game against the Texas Longhorns at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium on November 01, 2025, in Austin, Texas.
1 / 10
Quarterbacks headline early evaluations for the 2026 NFL Draft as teams begin sorting the best available prospects at the position.
See the college quarterbacks drawing attention as draft boards take shape ahead of the 2026 NFL Draft.
Above, Fernando Mendoza of the Indiana Hoosiers reacts after a touchdown against the Oregon Ducks during the fourth quarter of the 2025 College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 09, 2026, in Atlanta, Georgia.
1 / 10
Quarterbacks headline early evaluations for the 2026 NFL Draft as teams begin sorting the best available prospects at the position.
See the college quarterbacks drawing attention as draft boards take shape ahead of the 2026 NFL Draft.
Above, Fernando Mendoza of the Indiana Hoosiers reacts after a touchdown against the Oregon Ducks during the fourth quarter of the 2025 College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 09, 2026, in Atlanta, Georgia.
2 / 10
Ty Simpson of the Alabama Crimson Tide scrambles during the first quarter against the Indiana Hoosiers in the College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at Rose Bowl Stadium on January 01, 2026, in Pasadena, California.
3 / 10
Garrett Nussmeier of the LSU Tigers drops back to pass against the Baylor Bears during the first half in the Kinder's Texas Bowl at NRG Stadium on December 31, 2024, in Houston, Texas.
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Cade Klubnik of the Clemson Tigers warms up during the first half of a football game against the South Carolina Gamecocks at Williams-Brice Stadium on November 29, 2025, in Columbia, South Carolina.
5 / 10
Drew Allar of the Penn State Nittany Lions reacts after a touchdown against the UCLA Bruins during the fourth quarter at Rose Bowl Stadium on October 04, 2025, in Pasadena, California.
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Miami's Carson Beck throws during the College Football Playoff National Championship college football game at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens on Monday, Jan. 19, 2026.
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Arkansas Razorbacks quarterback Taylen Green passes during the third quarter against the Auburn Tigers at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium.
8 / 10
Colorado Buffaloes linebacker LaVonta Bentley #20 tackles North Dakota State Bison quarterback Cole Payton #9 in the first half at Folsom Field.
9 / 10
Luke Altmyer of the Illinois Fighting Illini throws a pass against the Western Illinois Leathernecks during the first half at Memorial Stadium on August 29, 2025, in Champaign, Illinois.
10 / 10
Diego Pavia of the Vanderbilt Commodores makes adjustments prior to the snap during the second quarter of the game against the Texas Longhorns at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium on November 01, 2025, in Austin, Texas.
Note: All five mock draft predictions were compiled before the Cincinnati Bengals traded the No. 10 overall pick to the New York Giants.
The only consensus pick of the entire mock draft roundup. Mendoza to the Raiders is the closest thing to a foregone conclusion in this draft, so even the artificial intelligence couldn't screw this pick up.
The Jets' selection at No. 2 was one of the picks that came the closest to a consensus in this roundup of AI mock drafts. One has to wonder how much of that came down to three out of the five chatbots seemingly forgetting about Texas Tech edge rusher David Bailey's existence. Copilot's decision to have Love match Eagles running back Saquon Barkley's draft position at No. 2 overall was a real head-scratcher, but it's not even the worst pick of the group. ChatGPT's selection of Moore, who has already announced he would return to Oregon instead of declaring for the draft, was just a bit of foreshadowing for the disastrous mock draft OpenAI's LLM put together.
Spoiler alert: Gemini's pick is the highest that Bailey goes in any AI mock draft in this roundup. Meanwhile, Copilot had Arizona opting for a different edge rusher – Microsoft's LLM had Bailey go later – and the two social media-owned AIs were in lockstep on an offensive tackle selection instead. Bailey and Mauigoa are among consensus selections for the Cardinals in the draft community, so those picks don't stand out. Bain at No. 3 is a bit of a reach in the post-NFL combine world where his arm length raised concerns. Elsewhere, ChatGPT continued to march to the beat of its own drum.
Another near-consensus pick. Tennessee would love to have Reese fall to them as one of the top edge rushers in the class, and Love is otherwise a popular consensus pick for the Titans among experts' mock drafts. For ChatGPT, none of that meant anything. While building up the offensive line in front of Cam Ward makes sense, no draft expert has Proctor as the top offensive tackle in this class, which is where he lands in OpenAI's mock.
According to five different AI large language models, one thing was for sure when it came to the No. 5 pick: an Ohio State Buckeye was coming off of the board. Though the LLMs did not have a consensus pick, all of the selections made sense for New York. Downs and Styles provide a necessary upgrade to Big Blue's defense, while Tate is an excellent wide receiver to pair with lead wideout Malik Nabers to support quarterback Jaxson Dart.
Build up the trenches! Getting an offensive tackle in the building is important for protecting whichever quarterback wins the starting battle in Cleveland for 2026, whether that be Mauigoa, Fano or Freeling (though the latter is a bit of a reach at 6). ChatGPT continues to do its own thing here, and while Woods is also a reach this early, he is also one of the top defensive tackle prospects in the class.
The Commanders' pick was another rare instance in which there were several different options from the different LLMs and all of them would make sense. Styles is a pick that would make a ton of sense for Washington if he fell this far – helping to replace Bobby Wagner in the linebackers group and provide a capable pass defender at the position. Downs would help give the Commanders an extra boost in the secondary, which they desperately need with a weak group of cornerbacks. Bain could slot in across from free agent signing Odafe Oweh to upgrade Washington's pass-rush attack in a big way, and Tate could be the No. 2 wide receiver the Commanders are in need of behind Terry McLaurin.
Addressing the worst pick first: ChatGPT's selection of Stewart was the second time in its mock draft it tried to pick a player that did not declare for the draft. Outside of that, it was either Tate – to give New Orleans quarterback Tyler Shough a strong second option to throw to outside of Chris Olave – or Delane, a cornerback that fills a need across from Kool-Aid McKinstry after Alontae Taylor's departure in free agency. Not bad.
Giving Mahomes more wide receiver help with Tyson would make sense at No. 9, as would improving the secondary or edge rusher situation in Kansas City. The Chiefs have not done well getting after opposing quarterbacks on the edge – though Chris Jones has held things down in the interior – and they've lost some key defenders in the secondary this offseason.
What does not make sense in the slightest is wasting a top-10 pick on a player that already plays for another professional team. This is only the beginning of many (many) such moves by ChatGPT.
Improving the defense had to be a clear point of focus for the Bengals this offseason – which they made clear in their trade of this pick for Dexter Lawrence. These AI mock drafts were all put together before that trade, and each LLM understood that assignment except for ChatGPT. Offensive tackle is a position of need, but Cincinnati will have a hard time if it tries to draft one of the Saints' players.
New Orleans Saints
Tyler Shough #6 of the New Orleans Saints and Chris Olave #12 celebrate a touchdown during the second half against the Carolina Panthers in the game at Bank of America Stadium on November 09, 2025, in Charlotte, North Carolina.
Washington Commanders
Terry McLaurin #17 of the Washington Commanders celebrates with Jayden Daniels #5 after catching a pass for a touchdown during the second quarter against the Detroit Lions in the NFC Divisional Playoff at Ford Field on January 18, 2025, in Detroit, Michigan.
New York Giants
Jaxson Dart #6 and Cam Skattebo #44 of the New York Giants celebrate after Skattebo carried the ball into the endzone for a touchdown during the second quarter of the game against the Philadelphia Eagles at MetLife Stadium on October 09, 2025, in East Rutherford, New Jersey.
Tennessee Titans
Head coach Brian Callahan talks with Cam Ward of the Tennessee Titans during the fourth quarter of a game against the Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium on October 05, 2025, in Glendale, Arizona.
Cleveland Browns
Shedeur Sanders of the Cleveland Browns reacts to a touchdown in the fourth quarter against the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium on November 23, 2025, in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Dallas Cowboys
Dak Prescott #4 and CeeDee Lamb #88 of the Dallas Cowboys celebrate after their touchdown connection against the Kansas City Chiefs during the first quarter in the game at AT&T Stadium on November 27, 2025, in Arlington, Texas.
Las Vegas Raiders
Maxx Crosby of the Las Vegas Raiders celebrates after a missed field goal during the game against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium on September 07, 2025, in Foxborough, Massachusetts.
Miami Dolphins
De'Von Achane #28 of the Miami Dolphins rushes for yards against Brandin Echols #26 of the Pittsburgh Steelers in the fourth quarter of the game at Acrisure Stadium on December 15, 2025, in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Kansas City Chiefs
Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs and Andy Reid interact against the New York Giants during the second quarter at MetLife Stadium on September 21, 2025, in East Rutherford, New Jersey.
New York Jets
Head coach Aaron Glenn of the New York Jets looks on during the fourth quarter against the Green Bay Packers during the NFL Preseason 2025 game between New York Jets and Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on August 09, 2025, in Green Bay, Wisconsin.
1 / 10
New Orleans Saints
Tyler Shough #6 of the New Orleans Saints and Chris Olave #12 celebrate a touchdown during the second half against the Carolina Panthers in the game at Bank of America Stadium on November 09, 2025, in Charlotte, North Carolina.
1 / 10
New Orleans Saints
Tyler Shough #6 of the New Orleans Saints and Chris Olave #12 celebrate a touchdown during the second half against the Carolina Panthers in the game at Bank of America Stadium on November 09, 2025, in Charlotte, North Carolina.
2 / 10
Washington Commanders
Terry McLaurin #17 of the Washington Commanders celebrates with Jayden Daniels #5 after catching a pass for a touchdown during the second quarter against the Detroit Lions in the NFC Divisional Playoff at Ford Field on January 18, 2025, in Detroit, Michigan.
3 / 10
New York Giants
Jaxson Dart #6 and Cam Skattebo #44 of the New York Giants celebrate after Skattebo carried the ball into the endzone for a touchdown during the second quarter of the game against the Philadelphia Eagles at MetLife Stadium on October 09, 2025, in East Rutherford, New Jersey.
4 / 10
Tennessee Titans
Head coach Brian Callahan talks with Cam Ward of the Tennessee Titans during the fourth quarter of a game against the Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium on October 05, 2025, in Glendale, Arizona.
5 / 10
Cleveland Browns
Shedeur Sanders of the Cleveland Browns reacts to a touchdown in the fourth quarter against the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium on November 23, 2025, in Las Vegas, Nevada.
6 / 10
Dallas Cowboys
Dak Prescott #4 and CeeDee Lamb #88 of the Dallas Cowboys celebrate after their touchdown connection against the Kansas City Chiefs during the first quarter in the game at AT&T Stadium on November 27, 2025, in Arlington, Texas.
7 / 10
Las Vegas Raiders
Maxx Crosby of the Las Vegas Raiders celebrates after a missed field goal during the game against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium on September 07, 2025, in Foxborough, Massachusetts.
8 / 10
Miami Dolphins
De'Von Achane #28 of the Miami Dolphins rushes for yards against Brandin Echols #26 of the Pittsburgh Steelers in the fourth quarter of the game at Acrisure Stadium on December 15, 2025, in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
9 / 10
Kansas City Chiefs
Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs and Andy Reid interact against the New York Giants during the second quarter at MetLife Stadium on September 21, 2025, in East Rutherford, New Jersey.
10 / 10
New York Jets
Head coach Aaron Glenn of the New York Jets looks on during the fourth quarter against the Green Bay Packers during the NFL Preseason 2025 game between New York Jets and Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on August 09, 2025, in Green Bay, Wisconsin.
2026 NFL DRAFT: Small-school standouts led by San Diego State CB
Lemon's a good fit for a team that released wide receiver Tyreek Hill and traded away Jaylen Waddle this offseason. Bailey is a steal at the No. 11 pick in the draft and gets the Dolphins a high-ceiling replacement for Bradley Chubb, whom they also released in the offseason. But once again, ChatGPT is trying to use the draft to steal players from other teams. Johnson was the Cardinals' second-round pick last year.
Defense, defense, defense for the Cowboys, who finished last year with one of the worst units in the sport. Dallas allowed the third-highest completion rate, second-highest passer rating and most passing yards to opponents in 2025, so adding a cornerback makes sense. Styles, a super-versatile freak athlete, would be a steal for Dallas here as well. But not as much of a steal as Pearce, who is currently rostered by the Atlanta Falcons.
Fano would give the Rams talented extra depth at offensive tackle, while Tyson and Lemon would do the same at wide receiver to eventually replace Davante Adams. Notably, Grok just re-drafted Lemon two picks after sending him to the Dolphins. Sadiq would be a strong addition to an offense that loved to run three-tight-end sets in 2025, though there isn't an immediate need there. Meanwhile, ChatGPT tries to steal a player who is already in the NFL for a fifth straight pick.
Make it six straight stolen players for ChatGPT as Hunter, currently on the Jaguars, apparently manages to both play offense and defense and play for two different teams. Otherwise, Ioane is the most popular pick for a Ravens offensive line that just parted ways with center Tyler Linderbaum. Edge rusher is not as pressing a need for Baltimore after it signed Trey Hendrickson, and the Parker pick is also a bit of a reach by Copilot. Still not as bad as ChatGPT.
Replacing wide receiver Mike Evans is on the docket for the Buccaneers in the logic of Copilot and ChatGPT, but only one of them picked a draftable player. McMillan, the reigning Offensive Rookie of the Year for the Carolina Panthers, isn't going anywhere. The three other LLMs opted to address a more pressing draft need for Tampa Bay: edge rusher.
A new quarterback for Gang Green? That makes sense, Copilot and Gemini. More wide receiver help across from Garrett Wilson? Solid decisions, Grok and Meta AI. An edge rusher that ranks outside the top 75 of USA TODAY Sports' draft expert Ayrton Ostly's big board? Well, ChatGPT, at least it's a 2026 draft prospect for the first time since No. 7 overall.
Offensive tackle is a clear need for the Lions with Taylor Decker's surprise release request, and four out of five AI LLMs got that memo. If you had one guess as to which missed it... That's right, ChatGPT picked another player that already plays in the NFL.
Thieneman is by far the most popular pick for the Vikings at No. 18 in draft experts' mocks around the web, so it makes sense to see him well-represented in the LLMs' picks. McCoy also makes some sense for Minnesota as help in the secondary at a different position. What doesn't make sense? Drafting an offensive tackle that already plays for the Houston Texans.
More pass-catching help for Bryce Young? Sure, even if it means a third straight year of taking a wide receiver in the first round. For Grok, this is the third time Lemon has been drafted, so that's not ideal. Gemini's Sadiq selection is the best of the bunch here by getting tight end help instead. While ChatGPT's "heart" was in the right place, its logic once again misled it by trying to draft yet another player that has already been employed by another pro team.
More defensive help for the Cowboys in most of the selections here at No. 20 after most LLMs had them taking a cornerback at 12. Meanwhile, ChatGPT is back to its old ways and trying to give Dallas another already-drafted player: first it was James Pearce Jr., now Walker, who was the Bills' fourth-round pick last year.
NFL TRADE PREDICTIONS: A.J. Brown tops NFL draft trade candidates
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No real theme emerges from the collective AI picks at No. 21. In addition to ChatGPT continuing its tendency to select 2025 draft picks (Morrison was a second-rounder for the Buccaneers last year), Grok got in on the weirdness. The xAI chatbot tried to select Ioane a second time after sending him to the Ravens seven picks prior.
So Grok apparently loves re-drafting players in the same draft. First Lemon, now Ioane gets drafted a third time. ChatGPT still loves stealing players from other teams, with the Commanders losing their offensive tackle this time. Tackle depth makes some sense here from Meta AI and Gemini's picks after last year's disaster. Johnson, one of the best small school prospects in this class, gets into the first round in Copilot's mock draft.
If the Eagles are able to get Sadiq, their eventual replacement for Dallas Goedert, at No. 23, their draft would be off to an incredible start. One thing Howie Roseman definitely won't do? Try to poach Luther Burden III from the Bears with his first-round pick, at least in any way that isn't via trade. McNeil-Warren and Faulk would address Philly's needs on defense, with edge rusher among the biggest roster holes.
Disregarding ChatGPT again here, the rest of the picks mostly make sense. Copilot's move to have Cleveland double down on offensive tackles in the first round is questionable, but the wide receiver picks from other LLMs make a ton of sense for a team needing more support in the receiving corps.
Once again, we're going to disregard ChatGPT's shenanigans at this point. The Bears could really use safety help after letting so many of their safeties walk in free agency this offseason. Grok and Meta AI's McNeil-Warren picks address that. Copilot's Omar Cooper Jr. selection serves as Chicago's replacement for DJ Moore, whom the Bears traded to the Bills, but is also a more questionable pick with more pressing needs elsewhere.
Again, ChatGPT makes a horrible pick of a 2025 draft prospect, and again, we disregard. Gemini and Grok's picks for an edge rusher make the most sense here to address one of Buffalo's biggest needs.
ChatGPT disregarded. Gemini and Meta AI have the 49ers drafting their possible Trent Williams replacement, while Copilot and Grok have them addressing one of their biggest needs at edge rusher. Outside of ChatGPT, solid choices all around.
All AI LLMs (except one, because of course) went with an interesting strategy of going defense with the Texans' first-round pick. Houston already has one of the strongest defensive units in the sport, and offensive line felt like a bigger priority heading into this draft. The chatbots seemed to disagree here at pick 28.
Similar to the Chiefs' first pick in this mock draft roundup at No. 9, pretty much every pick (except the one bad one, you know which) makes sense. Cornerback needs to be a priority with Trent McDuffie and Jaylen Watson going to the Rams earlier in the offseason, and that's what Grok and Meta AI address. Wide receiver and edge rusher help is necessary as well, which jibe with Copilot and Gemini's selections.
Another pick, another nonsensical ChatGPT selection. Outside of that, more draft capital spent on building up the Dolphins' foundation makes sense after each AI took strides to do so with the No. 11 pick. Meta AI's selection stands out as the most unique of this bunch as a player at a non-premium position.
Copilot got in on the jaw-droppingly bad logic train with this pick. The Patriots are not drafting a quarterback in the first round after Drake Maye was the MVP runner up and led New England back to the Super Bowl. ChatGPT also picked another 2025 prospect, so nothing new there, and Meta AI reached for a linebacker. That leaves Grok, shockingly, with one of the better picks to give Maye some blocking help up front. Gemini's defensive tackle pick – getting Woods, a top-ranked player at his position as well – is the best pick here.
ChatGPT closes out its mock with a whimper. Copilot, Grok and Meta AI all make a logical pick for a cornerback with Riq Woolen departing earlier in the offseason. Gemini's selection of a wide receiver is a bit surprising given Seattle's retention of Rashid Shaheed in free agency, but the extra depth wouldn't hurt for the Seahawks' offense.
This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Five AI chatbots predict the 2026 NFL Draft: Mock draft roundup
The AI chatbots provided their own versions of a mock draft, which are compared to predictions made by human draft experts.
The article explores whether AI-generated mock drafts can compete with the accuracy and analysis of real draft experts.
The predictions highlight the evolving role of AI in sports analysis and whether it can match human expertise in predicting outcomes.
The article references various draft experts who have created their own mock drafts, but does not specify individual names.


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