What are the Chances Tarik Skubal Gets Traded to LA?

TL;DR

Tarik Skubal's trade to the Los Angeles Dodgers seems unlikely despite ongoing ties and contract issues with the Detroit Tigers. Experts believe the Tigers will retain him as they aim for contention in a weak division.

Key points

Tarik Skubal has contract disagreements with the Tigers
Los Angeles Dodgers have shown interest in Skubal
Experts believe a trade is unlikely
Tigers are a contending team in a weak division
Skubal's relationship with the Tigers is deteriorating

Tarik SkubalLos Angeles DodgersDetroit Tigers

Apr 12, 2026; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Detroit Tigers pitcher Tarik Skubal (29) pitches in the first inning against the Miami Marlins at Comerica Park. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images

The Los Angeles Dodgers have had ties with Detroit Tigers ace Tarik Skubal since his contract disagreements in the offseason, but could they really land him?

Many experts, such as Sports Illustrated’s Tom Verducci and The Athletic’s Fabian Ardaya, think not.

Despite Skubal’s deteriorating relationship with his current team’s front office—who were well short of his asking price in both contract negotiation and arbitration—the Tigers are nearly certain to hold onto the left-hander due to their status as a contending team in a notably weak division.

“The Tigers entered Tuesday with a 71.2 percent chance of making the postseason and 52.2 percent chance of winning the AL Central, according to FanGraphs’ playoff odds,” Ardaya wrote. “Those odds have the Tigers with a better chance of winning the World Series (5.9 percent) than the following clubs, among others: the Toronto Blue Jays, Philadelphia Phillies, New York Mets and .

Q&A

What are the reasons Tarik Skubal might be traded to the Dodgers?

Tarik Skubal has had contract disagreements with the Tigers, which has led to speculation about a trade to the Dodgers.

How does Tarik Skubal's relationship with the Tigers affect his trade chances?

Skubal's deteriorating relationship with the Tigers' front office could suggest a trade is possible, but the team is likely to keep him due to their competitive status.

What do experts say about Tarik Skubal's potential trade to LA?

Experts like Tom Verducci and Fabian Ardaya believe that a trade to the Dodgers is unlikely given the Tigers' intentions to retain him.

What is the current status of the Detroit Tigers in their division?

The Detroit Tigers are considered a contending team in a notably weak division, which influences their decision to keep Skubal.