The Yankees aim for a series sweep against the Orioles on May 4 after winning the first three games by a combined score of 27–9. New York leads the AL East at 22–11, while Baltimore struggles at 15–18, particularly with a 6.30 ERA in recent games.
Key points
Yankees lead the AL East with a 22–11 record
Yankees have won the first three games of the series
Orioles struggle with a 6.30 ERA in recent games
Yankees are 17–0 when out-hitting opponents
Orioles need to score five or more runs to win
YankeesOrioles
Yankees vs. Orioles prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for May 4
The Yankees (22–11) and Orioles (15–18) close out their four-game series tonight with New York looking for the sweep of their American League East rival.
The Yankees have won the first three games of the series by a combined 27–9 margin, including an 11–3 win yesterday. New York sits atop the AL East at 22–11, backed by a lineup that has been scorching over its last 10 games hitting .266 while outscoring their opponents by 25 runs and a pitching staff with a 2.45 ERA. The Yankees are now 17–0 when they out-hit their opponents, a trend that has helped to define this series so far.
The Orioles are 15–18 overall and 6–9 on the road as they look to salvage the finale of this series. As strong and productive as the Yankees’ bats and pitching have been, the oppositie holds for the O’s whose hurlers have posted a 6.30 ERA over their last 10 games while being outscored by 17 runs. A look deeper inside the numbers finds the Orioles are 12–4 when scoring five or more runs, a mark they have not reached in any of the series’ first three games.
Tonight, Baltimore turns to Shane Baz (1–2, 4.50 ERA), whose fastball velocity ranks in the 88th percentile, giving him the swing‑and‑miss potential to keep the Orioles competitive if he commands the zone. New York counters with Cam Schlittler (4–1, 1.51 ERA), one of the league’s most efficient starters, averaging 17.9 outs per start—an 88th‑percentile mark that consistently saves the bullpen. The statistical gap between the two rotations overall is stark: Yankees pitchers own a 3.01 ERA, while Baltimore’s staff sits at 4.76, a difference that has been evident throughout the series.
For the Orioles, the path to a win likely requires Baz delivering one of his best outings of the young season and the lineup capitalizing on early opportunities before Schlittler settles in. Given the trends, the Yankees enter as clear favorites, but divisional games can often turn on one big inning—and Baltimore desperately needs one to change the tone of this series.
Q&A
What are the Yankees' recent stats leading into the May 4 game?
The Yankees have a 22–11 record, hitting .266 over their last 10 games and boasting a 2.45 ERA from their pitching staff.
How have the Orioles performed in their recent series against the Yankees?
The Orioles have lost all three games in the series, being outscored 27–9, and their pitchers have a 6.30 ERA over the last 10 games.
What is the significance of the Yankees' hitting performance?
The Yankees are 17–0 when they out-hit their opponents, a trend that has been crucial in their dominance during this series.
What do the Orioles need to do to win the final game of the series?
The Orioles need to score five or more runs, a benchmark they haven't reached in the first three games of the series.
Related Articles
Soccer·Recap
Hearts edge closer to historic title with comeback win over Rangers
Hearts secure comeback win over Rangers, edging closer to the title!
Sky Sports··1 min read
Sports
'Self-belief' stirs McWilliams, 62, before NW200
At 62, Jeremy McWilliams is happier than ever as he competes in the NW200.
BBC Sport··1 min read
NBA·Feature
How Anthony Edwards earned his 'Wolverine' nickname
Discover how Anthony Edwards earned the nickname 'Wolverine'!
Yahoo Sports··1 min read
Sports
Packers will not sign Chase Claypool after receiver had tryout
Packers decide against signing Chase Claypool following his tryout.
Yahoo Sports··1 min read
Sports
Red Sox Fan's Proposal Quickly Unravels into Awkward Ballpark Moment
Red Sox fan proposal turns awkward at Fenway Park, goes viral!
Yahoo Sports··1 min read
Sports·Injury Update
Sabrina Ionescu injury update: Latest on Liberty star's ankle injury
Sabrina Ionescu will miss the start of the 2026 WNBA season due to an ankle injury.
See every story in Sports — including breaking news and analysis.
Lets dive into tonight’s matchup and find a sweat or two.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
FollowRotoworld Player Newsfor the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.
Game Details and How to Watch: Yankees vs. Orioles
Date: Monday, May 4, 2026
Time: 7:05PM EST
Site: Yankee Stadium
City: New York, NY
Network/Streaming: MLB.TV, YES, MASN
Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.
The Latest Odds: Yankees vs. Orioles
The latest odds as of Monday courtesy ofDraftKings:
Moneyline: New York Yankees (-219), Baltimore Orioles (+179)
Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!
Top Betting Trends & Insights: Yankees vs. Rangers
The Orioles are 6-10 on the road this season
The Yankees are 11-5 at home this season
The Yankees are 20-14 on the Run Line this season
The Orioles are 14-20 on the Run Line this season
The OVER has cashed an MLB-best 23 times for Baltimore this season (23-11)
The OVER has cashed 15 times for the Yankees this season (15-17-2)
If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!
Expert picks & predictions: Yankees vs. Orioles
Rotoworld Bet Best Bet
Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.
Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s game between the Yankees and the Orioles:
Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
Spread: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the Yankees on the Run Line
Total: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the Yankees’ Team Total OVER 4.5 runs
Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
