

Bitcoin has surged to a three-week peak, nearing the upper boundary of its multi-month trading range, indicating a potential breakout. Positive on-chain signals, including a three-week high in the Coinbase Bitcoin Premium, suggest institutional accumulation is increasing.
Although it continues to trade in a multi-month range, BTC has neared the upper boundary and could be close to a more decisive breakout.
Here are some of the positive on-chain signs that support such a narrative, plus the dark horse that might actually decide the assetâs short-term fate.
Popular analyst Ted Pillows noted earlier today that the Coinbase Bitcoin Premium, the key metric showing the difference between BTC buying on the largest US exchange and Binance, has continued to be in the green and has actually marked a three-week high. Similar instances show that institutional investors, who are the typical clientele of Coinbase, have gone on an accumulation spree.
However, Ted explained that the significant increases over the past few days could be linked to Strategyâs latest multi-million-dollar purchase. Nevertheless, the graph below demonstrates that when the metric is in the red, BTC tends to underperform and vice versa.
Coinbase Bitcoin Premium has spiked to its highest level in 3 weeks.
And this is primarily due to $STRC aggressive accumulation. pic.twitter.com/HuUWytXc5f
â Ted (@TedPillows) April 10, 2026
Fellow analyst CW brought out the other bullish signals for BTC, which are in a similar category. They explained that ânet buying of BTC long positionsâ has risen, which, coupled with the âsteadily increasingâ Open Interest, shows a âbullish trend.â On a similar note, bitcoin buying on other exchanges, such as OKX, has flipped to a positive territory.
Lastly, CW updated that the bitcoin exchange reserves have continued to decline, while whale accumulation has returned.
âWe are currently still in the process of preparing for a bull market. There was no real bull market in this cycle,â the analyst concluded.
Although the aforementioned on-chain signs seem to be going in bitcoinâs way, thereâs one significant uncertainty that continues to impact the asset the most: the war in the Middle East. The two-week cease-fire announced earlier this week served as a breath of fresh air for BTC, which jumped from $68,000 to over $73,000 earlier today.
The latest news on the matter came hours ago as the US delegation led by VP JD Vance touched down in Islamabad, Pakistan, where they are scheduled to begin face-to-face talks with Iranâs reps, led by Parliament Speaker Mohammad Badher Ghalibaf. A permanent peace decision or a war escalation could influence BTCâs price even faster and more violently than the signals mentioned above.
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The Coinbase Bitcoin Premium indicates that Bitcoin is being bought at a higher price on Coinbase compared to Binance, suggesting increased demand from institutional investors.
Recent multi-million-dollar purchases by institutions could drive Bitcoin's price higher, as they indicate strong accumulation and confidence in the asset's future performance.
Nearing the upper boundary of its trading range suggests that Bitcoin may be on the verge of a breakout, potentially leading to significant price increases if momentum continues.






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