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2026 Kentucky Derby predictions, horses, odds, post time: Surprising picks by elite horse racing expert
TL;DR
The 2026 Kentucky Derby will feature a 19-horse field starting at 6:57 p.m. ET, with Renegade as the 4-1 favorite. Bob Baffert aims for a record seventh win with longshots Potente and Litmus Test.
Key points
- 2026 Kentucky Derby starts at 6:57 p.m. ET
- Renegade is the 4-1 favorite
- Bob Baffert has two longshot horses
- Michelle Yu has a successful prediction history
Mentioned in this story
TwinSpiresMichelle YuBob Baffert
RenegadeFurther AdoCommandmentPotente
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Another run at the Triple Crown of horse racing begins when a 19-horse field breaks from the gate at 6:57 p.m. ET in the 2026 Kentucky Derby on Saturday. The Kentucky Derby weather forecast is close to ideal, and a dry track should set up well for the favorites, led by the Todd Pletcher-trained Renegade, who is the 4-1 favorite in the 2026 Kentucky Derby odds. Brad Cox has two horses expected to make a serious run at victory, with Further Ado and Commandment right behind Renegade at 6-1 odds. Pletcher has won the Kentucky Derby twice, but Renegade jockey Irad Ortiz Jr., a two-time Belmont Stakes winner, is looking for his first win in the Fastest Two Minutes in Sports. Bet the Kentucky Derby with the exclusiveTwinSpires offer codeCBSSPORTS to receive up to $400 in bonus bets, double what's available to the general public:
Legendary trainer Bob Baffert has two shots at winning a record-breaking seventh Kentucky Derby, and taking another step towards his third Triple Crown winner. Baffert's Potente (20-1) and Litmus Test (30-1) are Kentucky Derby longshots, but Baffert's history can't be ignored. Before making any 2026 Kentucky Derby picks, you'll want to see what racing reporter and analyst Michelle Yu has to say before making any 2026 Kentucky Derby bets.
In a wide-open Kentucky Derby in 2021, Yu gave out Medina Spirit, who crossed the finish line first, as the winner at 12-1. In Pool 5 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager three years ago, she suggested a play on All Other 3-Year-Olds, which cashed at a whopping 18-1 when Rich Strike won.
She started off 2025 by correctly going all-in on Citizen Bull to win the Robert B. Lewis Stakes, and she also predicted Forever Young's win in the Saudi Cup, Journalism's win in the San Felipe Stakes, Sandman's win in the Arkansas Derby and Mindframe's win in the Churchill Downs Stakes. She also hit the exacta in the Kentucky Derby. In August she hit the Fierceness-Journalism exacta in the Pacific Classic, and in March 2026 she nailed the Renegade-Silent Tactic-Taptastic trifecta in the Arkansas Derby. Anyone who has followed her on those picks on betting sites like , and could be up huge.
Q&A
What time does the 2026 Kentucky Derby start?
The 2026 Kentucky Derby starts at 6:57 p.m. ET.
Who are the top favorites for the 2026 Kentucky Derby?
The top favorites include Renegade at 4-1, Further Ado, and Commandment at 6-1.
What are the odds for Bob Baffert's horses in the 2026 Kentucky Derby?
Bob Baffert's horses Potente and Litmus Test have odds of 20-1 and 30-1, respectively.
What is Michelle Yu's track record for Kentucky Derby predictions?
Michelle Yu successfully predicted Medina Spirit as the winner in 2021 at 12-1 and suggested All Other 3-Year-Olds at 18-1 in a previous wager.
