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2026 Kentucky Derby predictions, horses, odds, race date: Surprising picks from top horse racing expert
TL;DR
The 2026 Kentucky Derby is set for May 2 at Churchill Downs, with Renegade as the favorite at 4-1 odds. Legendary trainer Bob Baffert aims to break a tie for the most Derby wins with his horses Potente and Litmus Test.
Key points
- 2026 Kentucky Derby scheduled for May 2 at Churchill Downs
- Renegade is the favorite at 4-1 odds
- Bob Baffert aims to break tie for most Derby wins
- Potente and Litmus Test are Baffert's entries
Mentioned in this story
Bob Baffert
Kentucky Derby 2026
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Legendary trainer Bob Baffert has won the Kentucky Derby six times and he's also been responsible for the last two Triple Crown winners in the sport. Baffert can make history and break a tie with Ben Jones for most wins by a trainer if either Potente (20-1) or Litmus Test (30-1) can win the 2026 Kentucky Derby on Saturday, May 2 at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Ky. The gates open at 6:57 p.m. ET and Renegade is the favorite in the latest Kentucky Derby 2026 betting odds at 4-1, with Further Ado (6-1) and Commandment (6-1) priced as close contenders behind the Arkansas Derby winner. Bet the Kentucky Derby with the exclusiveTwinSpires offer codeCBSSPORTS to receive up to $400 in bonus bets, double what's available to the general public:
Baffert's horses might be longshots but perhaps his pedigree as a trainer can unearth some additional advantages in the 152nd running of the Kentucky Derby on Saturday. There are plenty of intriguing angles when it comes to horse racing betting, especially in a loaded field like the Kentucky Derby. Before making any 2026 Kentucky Derby picks, you'll want to see what racing reporter and analyst Michelle Yu has to say before making any 2026 Kentucky Derby bets.
In a wide-open Kentucky Derby in 2021, Yu gave out Medina Spirit, who crossed the finish line first, as the winner at 12-1. In Pool 5 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager three years ago, she suggested a play on All Other 3-Year-Olds, which cashed at a whopping 18-1 when Rich Strike won.
She started off 2025 by correctly going all-in on Citizen Bull to win the Robert B. Lewis Stakes, and she also predicted Forever Young's win in the Saudi Cup, Journalism's win in the San Felipe Stakes, Sandman's win in the Arkansas Derby and Mindframe's win in the Churchill Downs Stakes. She also hit the exacta in the Kentucky Derby. In August she hit the Fierceness-Journalism exacta in the Pacific Classic, and in March 2026 she nailed the Renegade-Silent Tactic-Taptastic trifecta in the Arkansas Derby. Anyone who has followed her on those picks on betting sites like , and could be up huge.
Q&A
What are the odds for the 2026 Kentucky Derby horses?
Renegade is the favorite at 4-1, followed by Further Ado and Commandment at 6-1.
When is the 2026 Kentucky Derby race date?
The 2026 Kentucky Derby will take place on Saturday, May 2, 2026.
Who is the favorite trainer for the 2026 Kentucky Derby?
Legendary trainer Bob Baffert, who has six Derby wins, is a key figure in the race.
What horses is Bob Baffert entering in the 2026 Kentucky Derby?
Bob Baffert is entering Potente at 20-1 odds and Litmus Test at 30-1 odds.
