2026 NBA Draft Lottery: Each team's odds of landing the first overall pick

The Wizards, Indiana Pacers and Brooklyn Nets all have equal odds (14%) of landing the No. 1 pick. After that, the Utah Jazz and Sacramento Kings have the fourth-best odds (11.5%) to pick first after tying for the fourth-worst record. The New Orleans Pelicans finished tied with the Dallas Mavericks for the seventh-worst record in the league. However, the Pelicans don't own their first-round pick after trading it away on draft night last summer in a deal centered around Derik Queen.

The Atlanta Hawks will have two bites at the apple because they own the Pelicans' selection and have swap rights with the Milwaukee Bucks. The Los Angeles Clippers owe their first-round pick to the Oklahoma City Thunder no matter what, but could still pick at No. 5 or No. 6. The Pacers traded a top-four protected pick at the trade deadline to Los Angeles for Ivica Zubac.

The pick would go to Los Angeles this year if it's outside the top four. And if it doesn't? It becomes an unprotected first-rounder in 2031.

Here are the official odds ahead of the draft lottery this weekend.

What are the odds for the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery?

The Wizards finished with the NBA's worst record in 2025-26, thus earning a 14% chance to win the lottery. Indiana had the second-worst record and has a 14% chance as well.

The full odds board for each team to win the No. 1 pick and the chances each pick lands in the top four are below.

x - Pick may be conveyed to another team

• If Indiana's pick lands outside of the top four selections, the Clippers will receive the pick. If Indiana falls out of the top four, its pick would be No. 5 or No. 6.
• The Bucks are the only team here unable to receive the No. 1 pick. The Hawks have swap rights with the Bucks, meaning that if the Bucks draw the first overall pick, it can be swapped. Milwaukee would then receive the Pelicans' first-round pick, via the Hawks. The Spurs own the Hawks' first-round pick, which is slotted at pick No. 20.