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2026 Wurth 400 predictions, odds, start time: NASCAR at Texas picks, best bets by advanced model
TL;DR
The 2026 Wurth 400 at Texas Motor Speedway starts at 3:30 p.m. ET, with Denny Hamlin favored at +500. Tyler Reddick leads the NASCAR standings, while Carson Hocevar comes off his first Cup Series win.
Key points
- 2026 Wurth 400 starts at 3:30 p.m. ET
- Denny Hamlin is the favorite at +500
- Tyler Reddick leads the NASCAR standings
- Carson Hocevar comes off his first Cup Series win
- Brad Keselowski is a +2500 longshot
Mentioned in this story
Texas Motor Speedway
2026 Wurth 400NASCARDenny HamlinTyler Reddick
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With 10 races in the rearview mirror, the Cup Series heads to Texas Motor Speedway for the 2026 Wurth 400 on Sunday. The green flag drops at 3:30 p.m. ET with Tyler Reddick atop the NASCAR standings. He's one of nine NASCAR Texas winners over the last nine races at the track, which certainly won't make it easy to make Wurth 400 DFS picks or 2026 NASCAR at Texas predictions. Meanwhile, Carson Hocevar is coming off his first Cup Series win last week which has given him a bump up the latest NASCAR Texas odds.
However, it's Denny Hamlin who is the +500 favorite, followed by Reddick (+600) and Kyle Larson (+600). Despite last week's Talladega win, Hocevar is still only priced at +1600 to make it back-to-back victories. The latest 2026 Wurth 400 odds have Brad Keselowski, who has eight top 10s over his last nine Texas starts, as a +2500 longshot. Before locking in any NASCAR Texas predictions or NASCAR DFS lineups, you need to see the projected leaderboard from Mike McClure's proven model.
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McClure is a legendary professional DFS player with more than $2 million in career winnings. He uses a powerful prediction model that simulates every lap of NASCAR action 10,000 times. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 29 winners since 2021 and hit 11 winners in 2025. Anyone following his NASCAR betting picks at their favorite sportsbooks could have seen huge returns.
Now, McClure has turned his attention to the NASCAR Wurth 400. He's only sharing his best bets at SportsLine.
Q&A
What time does the 2026 Wurth 400 start?
The 2026 Wurth 400 starts at 3:30 p.m. ET.
Who are the top favorites for the 2026 Wurth 400?
Denny Hamlin is the favorite at +500, followed by Tyler Reddick and Kyle Larson, both at +600.
What are the latest odds for Carson Hocevar in the Wurth 400?
Carson Hocevar is priced at +1600 to win the Wurth 400 after his first Cup Series victory.
How has Brad Keselowski performed at Texas Motor Speedway?
Brad Keselowski has eight top 10 finishes in his last nine starts at Texas, making him a +2500 longshot for the Wurth 400.