Broncos strength of schedule not as tough as expected?

Basing strength of schedule on last year’s records is lazy, inaccurate, and inefficient.

NFL teams often undergo significant changes between seasons, including roster adjustments, coaching staff changes, and player development.

Additionally, the NFL’s 17-game season is a small sample size.

Outcomes can be heavily influenced by luck, such as fumble recoveries or tipped passes.

These factors make prior season records a poor indicator of future performance.

Statistical analysis supports this.

From 2010 to 2018, only 5.7% of a team’s actual SOS was explained by opponents’ prior-year records, and this correlation dropped to just 3.9% in more recent years. The predicted win total strength of schedule has actually shown more accuracy than the previous years’ results. He goes on to explain why in the link above. However, if we use the standard strength of schedule models based on the previous years’ results then Denver’s ranking doesn’t change all that much jumping to 15th — or middle of the road — with a .512 opponent win percentage. What do you think of the Broncos strength of schedule? I feel like its going to be tough regardless, but at least they are playing the teams I think are playoff contenders at home rather than on the road.