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The 2026 Kentucky Derby is set for May 2, with Renegade as the favorite at 9-2. Other top contenders include Commandment at 6-1 and Further Ado at 5-1.

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With the 2026 Kentucky Derby just one week away, the field for the 152nd Run for the Roses is taking shape following the post draw on Saturday, April 25. The favorite for the May 2 race is Renegade (9-2), who drew the rail position on Saturday. His half-brother, Commandment, is coming back at 6-1. Commandment began his career in October with a fourth-place finish at his first MSW race. He has followed that up in impressive fashion.
He has registered four consecutive victories, including the 2026 Fountain of Youth in February and the 2026 Florida Derby in March. Other favorites include Further Ado (5-1), The Puma (10-1) and Chief Wallabee (12-1). So which horse has what it takes to win the Kentucky Derby 2026? Before making any 2026 Kentucky Derby picks, be sure to see the horse racing predictions and futures bets from SportsLine's elite horse racing expert Jody Demling.
Bet the Kentucky Derby with the latestTwinSpires offer codeCBSSPORTS to claim up to $400 in bonus bets here:
A fixture in the horse racing world who has been writing about, talking about and betting on races for years, Demling has nailed the Kentucky Oaks-Derby double 12 times in the last 17 years. He also predicted the top three 2025 Kentucky Derby finishers in the correct order and called the exacta in last year's Preakness. Anyone who has followed him on horse racing betting sites could be way up.
Now, with the 2026 Kentucky Derby approaching and horse racing futures odds on the board, Demling is sharing his 2026 Kentucky Derby betting picks and 2026 Kentucky Derby predictions over at SportsLine. .
The top horses include Renegade at 9-2, Commandment at 6-1, and Further Ado at 5-1.
The 2026 Kentucky Derby is scheduled for May 2, 2026.
Renegade drew the rail position for the 2026 Kentucky Derby.
Commandment has won four consecutive races, including the 2026 Fountain of Youth and the 2026 Florida Derby.

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One of Demling's surprising 2026 Kentucky Derby picks: He is fading Commandment (6-1), even though the Florida Derby winner is one of the favorites. Although Commandment has been on a roll, winning his last four races, he was trained by Brad H. Cox, who has just one Kentucky Derby win in his career. That came in 2021, when Mandaloun was declared the winner. Mandaloun actually crossed the finish line second, but was elevated to champion after Medina Spirit tested positive for a banned substance.
Cox, 46, also has just one other U.S. Triple Crown race win. That also came in 2021, when Essential Quality won the Belmont Stakes. Cox has registered over 2,500 wins in his career. Despite that, Demling sees value elsewhere. See who to back at SportsLine.
Demling also locked in his 2026 Kentucky Derby prediction for Renegade, who at 9-2 is trying to become the first favorite to win the Kentucky Derby since 2018. It's been a mixed bag for Kentucky Derby favorites recently as this seven-year drought without a victory immediately followed a six-year run (2013-18) in which the favored horse won every year. Renegade has won both of his starts as a 3-year-old, including the G1 Arkansas Derby in late March. This comes after going winless as a juvenile across three races.
Renegade was sired by Into Mischief, who won his lone start on dirt at the 2007 CashCall Futurity but never attempted a race longer than 1 1/16 miles. Saddled by Todd Pletcher, Renegade has the most experienced trainer in Kentucky Derby history. Pletcher's had 65 starters at the Run for the Roses, which is 14 more than any other trainer. Two of those horses have prevailed at Churchill Downs for Pletcher, but none of his last 13 Derby starters have finished in the money. Bet the Kentucky Derby with the latest TwinSpires promo code CBSSPORTS to claim up to $400 in bonus bets:
Demling has also locked in his 2026 Kentucky Derby picks for Further Ado (5-1), who won at Churchill Downs late in his 2-year-old season. That win came in the Kentucky Jockey Club, and the horse followed that up with a runner-up in his 3-year-old debut. He got back into the winner's circle in his last race, taking the G1 Blue Grass Stakes on April 4.
That gives Further Ado 28 days in between his last race and the Derby. Each of the last six Derby winners had at least 35 days of rest, with them averaging 38.5 days of rest. While this four-week turnaround is going against recent Derby history for winners, it's a time frame that the horse and his connections are familiar with. That's because Further Ado's Blue Grass victory came on 28 days of rest. See which other horses to back at SportsLine, and you can make 2026 Kentucky Derby bets at TwinSpires here with the offer code CBSSPORTS:
Demling is also high on a longshot who "demolished the field" in his last start. Anyone who backs this colt could hit it big. Demling is sharing which horse it is, along with his entire projected 2026 Kentucky Derby leaderboard, over at SportsLine.
Which horse wins the Kentucky Derby 2026, and which longshot is a must-back? Check out the latest 2026 Kentucky Derby odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Demling's picks for the Kentucky Derby, all from the expert who has nailed 12 Derby-Oaks doubles.
| Post | Horse | Odds | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Renegade | 9-2 | SEE PICKS |
| 2 | Albus | 40-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 3 | Intrepido | 50-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 4 | Litmas Test | 30-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 5 | Right to Party | 50-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 6 | Commandment | 6-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 7 | Danon Bourbon | 50-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 8 | So Happy | 15-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 9 | The Puma | 10-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 10 | Wonder Dean | 25-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 11 | Incredibolt | 25-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 12 | Chief Wallabee | 10-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 13 | Silent Tactic | 30-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 14 | Potenete | 15-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 15 | Emerging Market | 20-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 16 | Pavlovian | 40-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 17 | Six Speed | 40-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 18 | Further Ado | 5-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 19 | Golden Tempo | 30-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 20 | Fulleffort | 20-1 | SEE PICKS |