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Kentucky Derby 2026 predictions, betting odds: Win, place, show, trifecta, exacta, superfecta best bets
TL;DR
Further Ado is predicted to be the favorite for the 2026 Kentucky Derby with a Beyer Speed Figure of 106. Current odds place Further Ado at 6-1, tied with Commandment, while Renegade leads at 4-1.
Key points
- Further Ado has a Beyer Speed Figure of 106
- Current odds for Further Ado are 6-1
- Renegade has the best odds at 4-1
- Last five Derby champions had speed figures between 84 and 95
- Recent history suggests winning a prior race may not guarantee Derby success
Kentucky Derby 2026
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The Beyer Speed Figure is a measure of how fast a horse ran a race, adjusted for track conditions, distance and competition. It offers a number that can be compared to other horses on other tracks, regardless of conditions. If you believe the 2026 Kentucky Derby Beyer Figures, Further Ado should be the favorite to win it all on May 2 in Churchill Downs. The 106 Beyer figure at the Blue Grass Stakes for Further Ado dwarfs the rest of the Kentucky Derby 2026 field. And yet, the 2026 Kentucky Derby odds have Further Ado at 6-1, tied with Commandment and behind Renegade (4-1).
With so much to consider while making your 2026 Kentucky Derby picks, a little expert help can go a long way. Bet the Kentucky Derby with the latestTwinSpires offer codeCBSSPORTS to get up to $400 in bonus bets, double what's available to the general public:
When it comes to the Beyer Figure, recent history proves it may not be as strong an indicator as perceived. The last five Kentucky Derby champions all had modest speed figures between 84 and 95 in the race leading up to the first leg of the Triple Crown -- and none of them won that race. If not winning a race provides an edge, or at least a handicapping value play, there are a few Kentucky Derby horses that fit the bill. The Puma (10-1) took second behind Commandment at the Florida Derby. Chief Wallabee (6-1) took third in that same race. Those seeking an edge in their Kentucky Derby picks may want to consider that history.
Given all the history, there's a method to picking which horses to focus on for exacta, trifecta and superfecta bets in a Kentucky Derby like this, and SportsLine expert Jody Demling knows what it is. He can help you make the best 2026 Kentucky Derby picks possible.
Q&A
What are the current betting odds for Further Ado in the 2026 Kentucky Derby?
Further Ado is currently at 6-1 odds for the 2026 Kentucky Derby.
How does the Beyer Speed Figure affect Kentucky Derby predictions?
The Beyer Speed Figure measures a horse's speed adjusted for various factors, and it suggests that Further Ado should be the favorite based on a figure of 106.
Which horses are considered top contenders for the 2026 Kentucky Derby?
Top contenders include Further Ado, Commandment, and Renegade, with Renegade having the best odds at 4-1.
What historical trends should be considered for Kentucky Derby betting?
Recent history shows that the last five Kentucky Derby champions had speed figures between 84 and 95 in their prior races, indicating that winning a race may not always correlate with Derby success.