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Fernando Mendoza, the No. 1 overall pick in the 2026 NFL draft, is projected to start approximately 8.5 games for the Las Vegas Raiders this season. The coaching staff aims to give him time to adjust to the NFL and master the playbook.
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HENDERSON, NEVADA - APRIL 24: Quarterback Fernando Mendoza (C), selected yesterday by the Las Vegas Raiders as the No. 1 overall pick in the 2026 NFL draft, poses with Raiders general manager John Spytek (L) and head coach Klint Kubiak (R) after a news conference at the Las Vegas Raiders Headquarters/Intermountain Health Performance Center on April 24, 2026 in Henderson, Nevada. (Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Weāre a week removed from the 2026 NFL draft, so the dust has settled and itās time to dive into a few new players on the Las Vegas Raidersā roster. We have a lot to go over for this weekās mailbag, so letās get to it!
Q: Whatās a reasonable over/under for Fernando Mendozaās regular-season starts this season?
A: I think a good line would be at 8.5 games, meaning Mendoza takes over for Kirk Cousins around the halfway point of the season. That gives the rookie some time to master Klint Kubiakās playbook while adjusting to the NFL without having to be thrown right into the fire. Also, that extends the window for the coaching staff to put the five best offensive linemen on the field and gives the unit more reps to build chemistry together, helping ensure the No. 1 pick doesnāt get crushed when he drops back to pass.
Granted, this could depend on when the Raidersā bye week is, which we donāt know until the schedule gets announced, and that date is TBD but expected to be in mid-May. I could see a situation where the coaching staff wants to announce Mendoza as the starter right before the bye to give him an extra week to prepare for that first start.
Q: What was your grade on the draft?
A: I float between a B and a B-.
Iām excited about Mendoza, and while I do like what Treydan Stukes brings to the defense, anyone who followed me leading up to the draft knows who I would have gone with in the second round ā Kayden McDonald. The third round is whatās really bringing the grade down for me. I thought Keyron Crawford and Trey Zuhn III were overdrafted, and I get the feeling Zuhn is going to have a tough time finding a true position in the NFL.
Fernando Mendoza is projected to start around 8.5 games for the Las Vegas Raiders in the 2026 season.
Fernando Mendoza's head coach is Klint Kubiak.
Fernando Mendoza plays as a quarterback for the Las Vegas Raiders.
Mendoza is expected to take over midway through the season to allow him time to adjust to the NFL and learn the playbook.

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That being said, I loved the Day 3 haul. Taking a chance on getting a first-round talent in the fourth with Jermod McCoy is worth the risk, in my opinion, and Mike Washington was good value, too. Plus, Iām intrigued by what Hezekiah Masses can bring to the defense as a fifth-rounder, given his zone coverage and ball skills. Getting another versatile defensive back in Dalton Johnson adds depth to a position group that really needed it.
The Raidersā roster still has some big question marks, most notably at nose tackle and wide receiver, but they werenāt going to fill every hole in one offseason, considering how many they started with. Overall, this was a good draft haul and a good offseason to kick off the rebuild.
Q: Taking into account the entirety of the offseason, what would you guess is the limiting factor on team success going into this season?
A: Youth.
John Spytek was smart to get younger players in the building, as thatās the proper way to rebuild a roster. However, that does lead to some growing pains where the immediate returns on the offseason investments will likely be low in terms of wins and losses. So it might be frustrating in 2026, but I do think the organization is building the team the right way. It just might take a year to start seeing the fruits of their labor pay off.
Q: What are the chances of Laki Tasi being the nose tackle? Do you think they didnāt prioritize defensive tackle in the draft because they see something special in Tasi?
Laki Tasi
A: The competition at nose tackle is so wide open that you could tell me any player at the position could start or get cut and Iād buy it. Thatās good news for Tasi, who appears to be working with the defensive linemen during the teamās offseason workouts. However, his chances are pretty low, where JJ Pegues, Brodric Martin and Brandon Cleveland are the primary contenders. Of those three, my money is on Pegues to win the job.
Tasi has an uphill battle considering heās barely played football, and that last season is basically a wash since heās switching positions. Maybe he surprises us during training camp and the preseason, but thereās a reason why that would be a surprise. And no, I donāt think Tasi is the reason why Spytek didnāt prioritize defensive tackle in the draft. They havenāt even put pads on yet in Las Vegas, so if one player was the reason for that decision, itās most likely Pegues.
Q: Do you think we are reading too much into the 3-4 need a nose tackle thing? If fronts are frequently multiple or hybrid, maybe the Raiders donāt actually need a traditionally built 3-4 front and NT. That would explain why Spytek has felt so little urgency to grab one.
A: Klink Kubiak talked about Rob Leonardās ability to coach multiple fronts, and Leonard said a month ago on the Raidersā YouTube channel that āweāre gonna do what we have to do to play good footballā when talking about his scheme. So, maybe the plan is to be more multiple than what was originally suggested.
That being said, playing multiple fronts and being diverse would include having some 3-4 packages, and the defense could still use a gap-filler at defensive tackle regardless of even or odd fronts. Hopefully, someone steps up and emerges during training camp. Otherwise, that could be a need that leaks into 2027.
Q: What are the chances of the UDFA quarterback being the quarterback #3?
A: Keep your eyes and ears peeled for Aidan OāConnell to potentially hit the trade market if another team needs a backup. Heās on the last year of his rookie deal and, obviously, doesnāt have a future in Las Vegas. So, it would make sense for both parties to move on, giving OāConnell a fresh start somewhere else, and the Raiders get something in return for him. I wouldnāt expect anything more than a sixth- or seventh-round pick, but thatās more valuable than a quarterback who, ideally, never plays for the team next season.
But if AOC is still on the roster, Jacob Clarkās chances of being the emergency quarterback are pretty slim. It would make more sense to keep a guy who has starting and backup experience for that role than an undrafted rookie. Clark seems destined to spend at least a year on the practice squad, especially since heās coming from Missouri State, which didnāt become an FBS program until last year.
If youāre referring to Sawyer Robertson, heās just a rookie minicamp invite and not officially part of the UDFA class, yet. So, Clark is ahead of Robertson on the depth chart right now. If weāre being technical, the latter isnāt actually on it.
Q: Should we expect more competition to start at right tackle before the first game?
A: I could see the Raiders adding Jonah Williams or Jack Conklin to throw a well-tenured veteran in the mix at right tackle, but both of those guys are available because they struggle to stay healthy, which doesnāt get better with age.
Maybe they take a flyer on moving Taylor Decker or Cam Robinson from left to right tackle. However, Iām not a fan of moving linemen who spent their entire career on one side of the center and then switching spots at the end. Thatās another injury waiting to happen, a la Donald Penn in 2018.
I think the more likely scenario is that Zuhn competes for playing time with DJ Glaze and Charles Grant. The third-round pick is a very good athlete and was elite in pass protection last season at Texas A&M. However, I am concerned that his lack of length will be a bigger issue in the NFL, and he doesnāt bring much to the running game. Also, Zuhn only took four snaps at right tackle in college, but that isnāt as big an issue for younger players. That being said, the Raiders roster has him listed as a guard, so it seems like the plan is to have him on the interior.
TraiderN
Can you rank how likely you think it is that the following players start at some point this season:
Dalton Johnson at Nickel CB
Charles Grant at RT
Laki Tasi at NT
Trey Zuhn at either Guard spot
Iād probably rank them Grant>Zuhn>Tasi>Johnson, but my hope would be all step up and play this year.
A: The only change I would make is flipping Johnson and Tasi, simply because I think Johnson has a much better chance of making the 53-man roster. Of course, that could change if Tasiās rugby skills prove to be a more natural fit at nose during training camp. Also, it is a slim chance that Johnson gets a start at nickel, considering Taron Johnson, Jeremy Chinn and Stukes can call line up over the slot.
On a related topic, this is my way-too-early projected starting offensive line: LT Kolton Miller, LG Jackson Powers-Johnson, C Tyler Linderbaum, RG Caleb Rogers, RT Charles Grant.
Quick break, my friends at Homage have a couple of new Raiders products seen below. Follow this link to get the windbreaker, and this link for the Mendoza shirt.
NFL Starter Windbreakers
Now, back to mailbag!
Q: Which drafted player do you think has the greatest potential to surprise to the upside or downside? Who is most likely to be a Maxx Crosby diamond in the rough in the later rounds?
A: Can I cheat and say McCoy? LOL!
Removing the first-round talent, I think Masses has the best chance to be a diamond in the rough. Heās a good zone corner with great ball skillsāfive interceptions and 13 PBUs in 2025āto move up the depth chart faster than many expect.
On the other end of the spectrum, Crawford is my pick to disappoint. I get the idea of him, a high-level athlete who has untapped potential given his limited football experience. But I think heās a bigger project than a lot of people realize and could see Crawford having a similar start to his career as Malcolm Koonceās, where he doesnāt get much playing time in years one and two. Thatās not ideal for a Top 75 pick.
Silvercreek65
Hi Matt,
What chances do you give the āTokyo Toeā to be our starting kicker this season? What might his range be?
Thanks.
A: I think Kansei Matsuzawa has a pretty good chance at being the Raidersā kicker this season. Matt Gay was bad last year, going 13 of 19 (68.4 percent) on his field goal attempts in Washington before the Commanders cut him midseason. He did go four-for-four with the 49ers to get up to just under 75 percent for the year, but thatās still a pretty low rate. Thereās definitely a legitimate kicker battle in Las Vegas, and that makes Matsuzawa one of the most likely undrafted free agents to make the team.
Mark Davisā hair
How many starters do you think the raiders came away with after this draft for this upcoming year? How about 3 years from now too?
A: I donāt think itās likely, but there is a chance the Raiders donāt have a single rookie start in Week 1. As mentioned above, Mendoza is expected to begin the year behind Cousins. Stukes either has to beat out Taron Johnson at nickel or win the free safety job over Isaiah Pola-Mao, and he has limited experience playing as a true free safety.
On top of what I just mentioned about Crawford, edge is arguably the deepest position on the roster between Maxx Crosby, Kwity Paye and Koonce. McCoy might have to take a redshirt year depending on his knee, and Washington was drafted to be the RB2 behind Jeanty.
You could make an argument that Cleveland and Trey Benson, the last two picks of the draft class, have the best chance to be a Week 1 starter since they have the paths of least resistance at nose tackle and wide receiver, respectively.
However, I do think Stukes can be the starting free safety, Mendoza will take over at some point, and if healthy, McCoy is the most talented cornerback on the roster.
As far as the three-year plan goes, on top of those guys, Crawford, Zuhn and Masses have starting potential. Johnson is on the fringe for me, but I think heās more of a versatile backup than a true starter. Obviously, Iām not the biggest fan of all of them, but those are the picks Iād give the benefit of the doubt to, right now.
Q: Howās the salary cap after unloading Tyree Wilsonās contract?
A: Trading Wilson didnāt change much because the Raiders are taking on just under $3.8 million in dead cap, per Over The Cap. For those curious, heās a $4.2 million cap hit for the Saints. As of May 1, Las Vegas is 13th in the NFL with $25.8 million of cap space and 17th in effective cap space at $12.9 million. The latter factors in rookie contracts that havenāt been signed yet.
Someone else asked the same question, and what the Raiders should spend the rest of it on. Remember that unused salary cap rolls over into next season, so thereās no sense in spending the money just to spend the money. Thatās especially true for a team thatās rebuilding and could use the extra salary cap space in a year or two when theyāre looking at being a contender. Plus, general managers like to and should leave themselves a little breathing room to sign players during the season after injuries happen.
Thatāll do it for this weekās mailbag. Thank you all for submitting questions and, as your weekly reminder, if youād like to have your questions answered in a future column, tweet them at me,Ā @MHolder95, email them toĀ SBPQuestions1@gmail.comĀ or look for our weekly call for questions on the site. The latter will continue to publish on Thursdays.